Bias in the ER - Issue 45: Power - Nautilus

They must be doing something." Amos and Danny didn't have much doubt that a lot of people would get the questions they had dreamed up wrong--because Danny and Amos had gotten them, or versions of them, wrong. If they both committed the same mental errors, or were tempted to commit them, they assumed--rightly, as it turned out--that most other people would commit them, too. The questions they had spent the year cooking up were not so much experiments as they were little dramas: Here, look, this is what the uncertain human mind actually does. Their first paper had shown that people faced with a problem that had a statistically correct answer did not think like statisticians.