Experts predict when machines will be better than you at your job

The experts predict that AI will outperform humans in the next 10 years in tasks such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high school essays (by 2026), and driving trucks (by 2027). Forty years is an important number when humans make predictions because it is the length of most people's working lives. To find out if different groups made different predictions, Grace and co looked at how the predictions changed with the age of the researchers, the number of their citations (i.e., their expertise), and their region of origin. While North American researchers expect AI to outperform humans at everything in 74 years, researchers from Asia expect it in just 30 years.