MoFo: Empowering Long-term Time Series Forecasting with Periodic Pattern Modeling

Neural Information Processing Systems 

The stable periodic patterns present in the time series data serve as the foundation for long-term forecasting. However, existing models suffer from limitations such as continuous and chaotic input partitioning, as well as weak inductive biases, which restrict their ability to capture such recurring structures. In this paper, we propose MoFo, which interprets periodicity as both the correlation of periodaligned time steps and the trend of period-offset time steps. We first design periodstructured patches--2D tensors generated through discrete sampling--where each row contains only period-aligned time steps, enabling direct modeling of periodic correlations. Period-offset time steps within a period are aligned in columns.

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