Predicting Disease Transmission from Geo-Tagged Micro-Blog Data

These results far outperform alternative models. This work is an important step towards the development Recent work has demonstrated that micro-blogging data can of automated methods that identify disease vectors, trace the be used to predict a variety of phenomena, including movie transmission between concrete individuals, and ultimately box-office revenues (Asur and Huberman 2010), elections help us understand and predict the spread of infectious diseases (Tumasjan et al. 2010), and flu epidemics (Lampos, De Bie, with fine granularity. It provides a foundation for and Cristianini 2010). Most research to date has focused on research on fundamental questions of public health, such predicting aggregate properties of the population from the as: How does an epidemic on a population scale emerge activity of the bloggers. A different kind of problem one can from low-level interactions between people in the course pose, however, is to predict the behavior or state of particular of their everyday lives? Can we identify a potentially noncooperative individuals within the social network. For instance, one individual who is a vector of a dangerous disease, could try to predict whether a person will go to a movie or i.e., a "Typhoid Mary"? What is the interaction between vote for a particular candidate based on micro-blog data. The friendship, location, and co-location in the spread of individual's own data may or may not be accessible.