Estimating Conditional Probability Densities for Periodic Variables

Many applications of neural networks can be formulated in terms of a multivariate nonlinear mapping from an input vector x to a target vector t. A conventional neural network approach, based on least squares for example, leads to a network mapping which approximates the regression of t on x. A more complete description of the data can be obtained by estimating the conditional probability density of t, conditioned on x, which we write as p(tlx). Various techniques exist for modelling such densities when the target variables live in a Euclidean space. However, a number of potential applications involve angle-like output variables which are periodic on some finite interval (usually chosen to be (0,271")).