Beyond Expected Information Gain: Stable Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design with Integral Probability Metrics and Plug-and-Play Extensions
Wu, Di, Liang, Ling, Yang, Haizhao
Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) provides a rigorous framework for decision-making tasks in which data acquisition is often the critical bottleneck, especially in resource-constrained settings. Traditionally, BOED typically selects designs by maximizing expected information gain (EIG), commonly defined through the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence. However, classical evaluation of EIG often involves challenging nested expectations, and even advanced variational methods leave the underlying log-density-ratio objective unchanged. As a result, support mismatch, tail underestimation, and rare-event sensitivity remain intrinsic concerns for KL-based BOED. To address these fundamental bottlenecks, we introduce an IPM-based BOED framework that replaces density-based divergences with integral probability metrics (IPMs), including the Wasserstein distance, Maximum Mean Discrepancy, and Energy Distance, resulting in a highly flexible plug-and-play BOED framework. We establish theoretical guarantees showing that IPM-based utilities provide stronger geometry-aware stability under surrogate-model error and prior misspecification than classical EIG-based utilities. We also validate the proposed framework empirically, demonstrating that IPM-based designs yield highly concentrated credible sets. Furthermore, by extending the same sample-based BOED template in a plug-and-play manner to geometry-aware discrepancies beyond the IPM class, illustrated by a neural optimal transport estimator, we achieve accurate optimal designs in high-dimensional settings where conventional nested Monte Carlo estimators and advanced variational methods fail.
Apr-24-2026
- Country:
- North America > United States
- Tennessee > Knox County
- Knoxville (0.04)
- Maryland > Prince George's County
- College Park (0.04)
- Tennessee > Knox County
- Europe > United Kingdom
- England > Oxfordshire > Oxford (0.04)
- North America > United States
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- Research Report (1.00)
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