Uncertainty
Combining causal and similarity-based reasoning
Kemp, Charles, Shafto, Patrick, Berke, Allison, Tenenbaum, Joshua B.
Everyday inductive reasoning draws on many kinds of knowledge, including knowledge about relationships between properties and knowledge about relationships between objects. Previous accounts of inductive reasoning generally focus on just one kind of knowledge: models of causal reasoning often focus on relationships between properties, and models of similarity-based reasoning often focus on similarity relationships between objects. We present a Bayesian model of inductive reasoning that incorporates both kinds of knowledge, and show that it accounts well for human inferences about the properties of biological species.
Robotic Grasping of Novel Objects
Saxena, Ashutosh, Driemeyer, Justin, Kearns, Justin, Ng, Andrew Y.
We consider the problem of grasping novel objects, specifically ones that are being seenfor the first time through vision. We present a learning algorithm that neither requires, nor tries to build, a 3d model of the object. Instead it predicts, directly as a function of the images, a point at which to grasp the object. Our algorithm istrained via supervised learning, using synthetic images for the training set. We demonstrate on a robotic manipulation platform that this approach successfully graspsa wide variety of objects, such as wine glasses, duct tape, markers, a translucent box, jugs, knife-cutters, cellphones, keys, screwdrivers, staplers, toothbrushes, a thick coil of wire, a strangely shaped power horn, and others, none of which were seen in the training set.
A Collapsed Variational Bayesian Inference Algorithm for Latent Dirichlet Allocation
Teh, Yee W., Newman, David, Welling, Max
Latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) is a Bayesian network that has recently gained much popularity in applications ranging from document modeling to computer vision. Due to the large scale nature of these applications, current inference procedures like variational Bayes and Gibbs sampling have been found lacking. In this paper we propose the collapsed variational Bayesian inference algorithm for LDA, and show that it is computationally efficient, easy to implement and significantly more accurate than standard variational Bayesian inference for LDA.
Simplifying Mixture Models through Function Approximation
Finite mixture model is a powerful tool in many statistical learning problems. In this paper, we propose a general, structure-preserving approach to reduce its model complexity, which can bring significant computational benefits in many applications. The basic idea is to group the original mixture components into compact clusters, and then minimize an upper bound on the approximation error between the original and simplified models.
A Nonparametric Bayesian Method for Inferring Features From Similarity Judgments
Navarro, Daniel J., Griffiths, Thomas L.
The additive clustering model is widely used to infer the features of a set of stimuli from their similarities, on the assumption that similarity is a weighted linear function ofcommon features. This paper develops a fully Bayesian formulation of the additive clustering model, using methods from nonparametric Bayesian statistics to allow the number of features to vary. We use this to explore several approaches to parameter estimation, showing that the nonparametric Bayesian approach provides astraightforward way to obtain estimates of both the number of features used in producing similarity judgments and their importance.
Near-Uniform Sampling of Combinatorial Spaces Using XOR Constraints
Gomes, Carla P., Sabharwal, Ashish, Selman, Bart
We propose a new technique for sampling the solutions of combinatorial problems ina near-uniform manner. We focus on problems specified as a Boolean formula, i.e.,on SAT instances. Sampling for SAT problems has been shown to have interesting connections with probabilistic reasoning, making practical sampling algorithms for SAT highly desirable. The best current approaches are based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, which have some practical limitations. Our approach exploits combinatorial properties of random parity (XOR) constraints to prune away solutions near-uniformly. The final sample is identified amongst the remaining ones using a state-of-the-art SAT solver.
Learning Nonparametric Models for Probabilistic Imitation
Grimes, David B., Rashid, Daniel R., Rao, Rajesh P.
Learning by imitation represents an important mechanism for rapid acquisition of new behaviors in humans and robots. A critical requirement for learning by imitation is the ability to handle uncertainty arising from the observation process as well as the imitator's own dynamics and interactions with the environment. In this paper, we present a new probabilistic method for inferring imitative actions that takes into account both the observations of the teacher as well as the imitator's dynamics. Our key contribution is a nonparametric learning method which generalizes to systems with very different dynamics. Rather than relying on a known forward model of the dynamics, our approach learns a nonparametric forward model via exploration. Leveraging advances in approximate inference in graphical models, we show how the learned forward model can be directly used to plan an imitating sequence. We provide experimental results for two systems: a biome-chanical model of the human arm and a 25-degrees-of-freedom humanoid robot. We demonstrate that the proposed method can be used to learn appropriate motor inputs to the model arm which imitates the desired movements. A second set of results demonstrates dynamically stable full-body imitation of a human teacher by the humanoid robot.
Conditional mean field
Carbonetto, Peter, Freitas, Nando D.
Despite all the attention paid to variational methods based on sum-product message passing(loopy belief propagation, tree-reweighted sum-product), these methods are still bound to inference on a small set of probabilistic models. Mean field approximations have been applied to a broader set of problems, but the solutions are often poor. We propose a new class of conditionally-specified variational approximations basedon mean field theory. While not usable on their own, combined with sequential Monte Carlo they produce guaranteed improvements over conventional mean field. Moreover, experiments on a well-studied problem-- inferring the stable configurations of the Ising spin glass--show that the solutions can be significantly better than those obtained using sum-product-based methods.