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 Uncertainty


Scalable Rule-Based Representation Learning for Interpretable Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Rule-based models, e.g., decision trees, are widely used in scenarios demanding high model interpretability for their transparent inner structures and good model expressivity. However, rule-based models are hard to optimize, especially on large data sets, due to their discrete parameters and structures. Ensemble methods and fuzzy/soft rules are commonly used to improve performance, but they sacrifice the model interpretability. To obtain both good scalability and interpretability, we propose a new classifier, named Rule-based Representation Learner (RRL), that automatically learns interpretable non-fuzzy rules for data representation and classification. To train the non-differentiable RRL effectively, we project it to a continuous space and propose a novel training method, called Gradient Grafting, that can directly optimize the discrete model using gradient descent. An improved design of logical activation functions is also devised to increase the scalability of RRL and enable it to discretize the continuous features end-to-end. Exhaustive experiments on nine small and four large data sets show that RRL outperforms the competitive interpretable approaches and can be easily adjusted to obtain a trade-off between classification accuracy and model complexity for different scenarios. Our code is available at: https://github.com/12wang3/rrl.


Extracting stochastic dynamical systems with $\alpha$-stable L\'evy noise from data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

From this point of view, dynamical modeling requires a deep understanding of the process to be analyzed. The essence of model abstraction is an approximation to the observed reality, which is usually represented by a system composed of ordinary or partial differential equations, deterministic or stochastic differential equations, and control equations. Although mathematical models are accurate for many processes, it is particularly difficult to develop such models for some of the most challenging systems, including climate dynamics, brain dynamics, biological systems and financial markets. Fortunately, more and more data are observed or measured in recent years with the development of scientific tools and simulation capabilities. Therefore, a large number of data-driven methods has been proposed to discover governing laws of systems from data. For instance, several researchers designed the Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics approach to extract deterministic ordinary [5] or partial [15, 29, 31] differential equations from available path data.


DNN-assisted Particle-based Bayesian Joint Synchronization and Localization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this work, we propose a Deep neural network-assisted Particle Filter-based (DePF) approach to address the Mobile User (MU) joint synchronization and localization (sync\&loc) problem in ultra dense networks. In particular, DePF deploys an asymmetric time-stamp exchange mechanism between the MUs and the Access Points (APs), which, traditionally, provides us with information about the MUs' clock offset and skew. However, information about the distance between an AP and an MU is also intrinsic to the propagation delay experienced by exchanged time-stamps. In addition, to estimate the angle of arrival of the received synchronization packet, DePF draws on the multiple signal classification algorithm that is fed by Channel Impulse Response (CIR) experienced by the sync packets. The CIR is also leveraged on to determine the link condition, i.e. Line-of-Sight (LoS) or Non-LoS. Finally, to perform joint sync\&loc, DePF capitalizes on particle Gaussian mixtures that allow for a hybrid particle-based and parametric Bayesian Recursive Filtering (BRF) fusion of the aforementioned pieces of information and thus jointly estimate the position and clock parameters of the MUs. The simulation results verifies the superiority of the proposed algorithm over the state-of-the-art schemes, especially that of Extended Kalman filter- and linearized BRF-based joint sync\&loc. In particular, only drawing on the synchronization time-stamp exchange and CIRs, for 90$\%$of the cases, the absolute position and clock offset estimation error remain below 1 meter and 2 nanoseconds, respectively.


Automatic discovery and description of human planning strategies

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Scientific discovery concerns finding patterns in data and creating insightful hypotheses that explain these patterns. Traditionally, this process required human ingenuity, but with the galloping advances in artificial intelligence (AI) it becomes feasible to automate some parts of scientific discovery. In this work we leverage AI for strategy discovery for understanding human planning. In the state-of-the-art methods data about the process of human planning is often used to group similar behaviors together and formulate verbal descriptions of the strategies which might underlie those groups. Here, we automate these two steps. Our algorithm, called Human-Interpret, uses imitation learning to describe process-tracing data collected in psychological experiments with the Mouselab-MDP paradigm in terms of a procedural formula. Then, it translates that formula to natural language using a pre-defined predicate dictionary. We test our method on a benchmark data set that researchers have previously scrutinized manually. We find that the descriptions of human planning strategies obtained automatically are about as understandable as human-generated descriptions. They also cover a substantial proportion of all types of human planning strategies that had been discovered manually. Our method saves scientists' time and effort as all the reasoning about human planning is done automatically. This might make it feasible to more rapidly scale up the search for yet undiscovered cognitive strategies to many new decision environments, populations, tasks, and domains. Given these results, we believe that the presented work may accelerate scientific discovery in psychology, and due to its generality, extend to problems from other fields.


Generalization Bounds For Meta-Learning: An Information-Theoretic Analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We derive a novel information-theoretic analysis of the generalization property of meta-learning algorithms. Concretely, our analysis proposes a generic understanding of both the conventional learning-to-learn framework and the modern model-agnostic meta-learning (MAML) algorithms. Moreover, we provide a data-dependent generalization bound for a stochastic variant of MAML, which is non-vacuous for deep few-shot learning. As compared to previous bounds that depend on the square norm of gradients, empirical validations on both simulated data and a well-known few-shot benchmark show that our bound is orders of magnitude tighter in most situations.


Non-stationary Gaussian process discriminant analysis with variable selection for high-dimensional functional data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

High-dimensional classification and feature selection tasks are ubiquitous with the recent advancement in data acquisition technology. In several application areas such as biology, genomics and proteomics, the data are often functional in their nature and exhibit a degree of roughness and non-stationarity. These structures pose additional challenges to commonly used methods that rely mainly on a two-stage approach performing variable selection and classification separately. We propose in this work a novel Gaussian process discriminant analysis (GPDA) that combines these steps in a unified framework. Our model is a two-layer non-stationary Gaussian process coupled with an Ising prior to identify differentially-distributed locations. Scalable inference is achieved via developing a variational scheme that exploits advances in the use of sparse inverse covariance matrices. We demonstrate the performance of our methodology on simulated datasets and two proteomics datasets: breast cancer and SARS-CoV-2. Our approach distinguishes itself by offering explainability as well as uncertainty quantification in addition to low computational cost, which are crucial to increase trust and social acceptance of data-driven tools.


Diffusion-Based Voice Conversion with Fast Maximum Likelihood Sampling Scheme

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Voice conversion is a common speech synthesis task which can be solved in different ways depending on a particular real-world scenario. The most challenging one often referred to as one-shot many-to-many voice conversion consists in copying the target voice from only one reference utterance in the most general case when both source and target speakers do not belong to the training dataset. We present a scalable high-quality solution based on diffusion probabilistic modeling and demonstrate its superior quality compared to state-of-the-art one-shot voice conversion approaches. Moreover, focusing on real-time applications, we investigate general principles which can make diffusion models faster while keeping synthesis quality at a high level. As a result, we develop a novel Stochastic Differential Equations solver suitable for various diffusion model types and generative tasks as shown through empirical studies and justify it by theoretical analysis.


Parametric Bayesian Inference: Implementation of Numerical Sampling Techniques with Proofs

#artificialintelligence

Parametric Bayesian Inference: Implementation of Numerical Sampling Techniques with Proofs. Acceptance/Rejection Sampling & MCMC Metropolis-Hastings Sampling with full Computational Simulation.


The Role of Lookahead and Approximate Policy Evaluation in Policy Iteration with Linear Value Function Approximation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

When the sizes of the state and action spaces are large, solving MDPs can be computationally prohibitive even if the probability transition matrix is known. So in practice, a number of techniques are used to approximately solve the dynamic programming problem, including lookahead, approximate policy evaluation using an m-step return, and function approximation. In a recent paper, (Efroni et al. 2019) studied the impact of lookahead on the convergence rate of approximate dynamic programming. In this paper, we show that these convergence results change dramatically when function approximation is used in conjunction with lookout and approximate policy evaluation using an m-step return. Specifically, we show that when linear function approximation is used to represent the value function, a certain minimum amount of lookahead and multi-step return is needed for the algorithm to even converge. And when this condition is met, we characterize the finite-time performance of policies obtained using such approximate policy iteration. Our results are presented for two different procedures to compute the function approximation: linear least-squares regression and gradient descent.


Bayesian Transfer Learning: An Overview of Probabilistic Graphical Models for Transfer Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Transfer learning where the behavior of extracting transferable knowledge from the source domain(s) and reusing this knowledge to target domain has become a research area of great interest in the field of artificial intelligence. Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) have been recognized as a powerful tool for modeling complex systems with many advantages, e.g., the ability to handle uncertainty and possessing good interpretability. Considering the success of these two aforementioned research areas, it seems natural to apply PGMs to transfer learning. However, although there are already some excellent PGMs specific to transfer learning in the literature, the potential of PGMs for this problem is still grossly underestimated. This paper aims to boost the development of PGMs for transfer learning by 1) examining the pilot studies on PGMs specific to transfer learning, i.e., analyzing and summarizing the existing mechanisms particularly designed for knowledge transfer; 2) discussing examples of real-world transfer problems where existing PGMs have been successfully applied; and 3) exploring several potential research directions on transfer learning using PGM.