Goto

Collaborating Authors

 Uncertainty


This is the Way: Differential Bayesian Filtering for Agile Trajectory Synthesis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

One of the main challenges in autonomous racing is to design algorithms for motion planning at high speed, and across complex racing courses. End-to-end trajectory synthesis has been previously proposed where the trajectory for the ego vehicle is computed based on camera images from the racecar. This is done in a supervised learning setting using behavioral cloning techniques. In this paper, we address the limitations of behavioral cloning methods for trajectory synthesis by introducing Differential Bayesian Filtering (DBF), which uses probabilistic B\'ezier curves as a basis for inferring optimal autonomous racing trajectories based on Bayesian inference. We introduce a trajectory sampling mechanism and combine it with a filtering process which is able to push the car to its physical driving limits. The performance of DBF is evaluated on the DeepRacing Formula One simulation environment and compared with several other trajectory synthesis approaches as well as human driving performance. DBF achieves the fastest lap time, and the fastest speed, by pushing the racecar closer to its limits of control while always remaining inside track bounds.


POCD: Probabilistic Object-Level Change Detection and Volumetric Mapping in Semi-Static Scenes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Maintaining an up-to-date map to reflect recent changes in the scene is very important, particularly in situations involving repeated traversals by a robot operating in an environment over an extended period. Undetected changes may cause a deterioration in map quality, leading to poor localization, inefficient operations, and lost robots. Volumetric methods, such as truncated signed distance functions (TSDFs), have quickly gained traction due to their real-time production of a dense and detailed map, though map updating in scenes that change over time remains a challenge. We propose a framework that introduces a novel probabilistic object state representation to track object pose changes in semi-static scenes. The representation jointly models a stationarity score and a TSDF change measure for each object. A Bayesian update rule that incorporates both geometric and semantic information is derived to achieve consistent online map maintenance. To extensively evaluate our approach alongside the state-of-the-art, we release a novel real-world dataset in a warehouse environment. We also evaluate on the public ToyCar dataset. Our method outperforms state-of-the-art methods on the reconstruction quality of semi-static environments.


Ranking and Tuning Pre-trained Models: A New Paradigm for Exploiting Model Hubs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Model hubs with many pre-trained models (PTMs) have become a cornerstone of deep learning. Although built at a high cost, they remain \emph{under-exploited} -- practitioners usually pick one PTM from the provided model hub by popularity and then fine-tune the PTM to solve the target task. This na\"ive but common practice poses two obstacles to full exploitation of pre-trained model hubs: first, the PTM selection by popularity has no optimality guarantee, and second, only one PTM is used while the remaining PTMs are ignored. An alternative might be to consider all possible combinations of PTMs and extensively fine-tune each combination, but this would not only be prohibitive computationally but may also lead to statistical over-fitting. In this paper, we propose a new paradigm for exploiting model hubs that is intermediate between these extremes. The paradigm is characterized by two aspects: (1) We use an evidence maximization procedure to estimate the maximum value of label evidence given features extracted by pre-trained models. This procedure can rank all the PTMs in a model hub for various types of PTMs and tasks \emph{before fine-tuning}. (2) The best ranked PTM can either be fine-tuned and deployed if we have no preference for the model's architecture or the target PTM can be tuned by the top $K$ ranked PTMs via a Bayesian procedure that we propose. This procedure, which we refer to as \emph{B-Tuning}, not only improves upon specialized methods designed for tuning homogeneous PTMs, but also applies to the challenging problem of tuning heterogeneous PTMs where it yields a new level of benchmark performance.


Session-based Cyberbullying Detection in Social Media: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cyberbullying is a pervasive problem in online social media, where a bully abuses a victim through a social media session. By investigating cyberbullying perpetrated through social media sessions, recent research has looked into mining patterns and features for modeling and understanding the two defining characteristics of cyberbullying: repetitive behavior and power imbalance. In this survey paper, we define the Session-based Cyberbullying Detection framework that encapsulates the different steps and challenges of the problem. Based on this framework, we provide a comprehensive overview of session-based cyberbullying detection in social media, delving into existing efforts from a data and methodological perspective. Our review leads us to propose evidence-based criteria for a set of best practices to create session-based cyberbullying datasets. In addition, we perform benchmark experiments comparing the performance of state-of-the-art session-based cyberbullying detection models as well as large pre-trained language models across two different datasets. Through our review, we also put forth a set of open challenges as future research directions.


Improving the Accuracy of Marginal Approximations in Likelihood-Free Inference via Localisation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Likelihood-free methods are an essential tool for performing inference for implicit models which can be simulated from, but for which the corresponding likelihood is intractable. However, common likelihood-free methods do not scale well to a large number of model parameters. A promising approach to high-dimensional likelihood-free inference involves estimating low-dimensional marginal posteriors by conditioning only on summary statistics believed to be informative for the low-dimensional component, and then combining the low-dimensional approximations in some way. In this paper, we demonstrate that such low-dimensional approximations can be surprisingly poor in practice for seemingly intuitive summary statistic choices. We describe an idealized low-dimensional summary statistic that is, in principle, suitable for marginal estimation. However, a direct approximation of the idealized choice is difficult in practice. We thus suggest an alternative approach to marginal estimation which is easier to implement and automate. Given an initial choice of low-dimensional summary statistic that might only be informative about a marginal posterior location, the new method improves performance by first crudely localising the posterior approximation using all the summary statistics to ensure global identifiability, followed by a second step that hones in on an accurate low-dimensional approximation using the low-dimensional summary statistic. We show that the posterior this approach targets can be represented as a logarithmic pool of posterior distributions based on the low-dimensional and full summary statistics, respectively. The good performance of our method is illustrated in several examples.


Spin glass systems as collective active inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

An open question in the study of emergent behaviour in multi-agent Bayesian systems is the relationship, if any, between individual and collective inference. In this paper we explore the correspondence between generative models that exist at two distinct scales, using spin glass models as a sandbox system to investigate this question. We show that the collective dynamics of a specific type of active inference agent is equivalent to sampling from the stationary distribution of a spin glass system. A collective of specifically-designed active inference agents can thus be described as implementing a form of sampling-based inference (namely, from a Boltzmann machine) at the higher level. However, this equivalence is very fragile, breaking upon simple modifications to the generative models of the individual agents or the nature of their interactions. We discuss the implications of this correspondence and its fragility for the study of multiscale systems composed of Bayesian agents.


Shared perception is different from individual perception: a new look on context dependency

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Human perception is based on unconscious inference, where sensory input integrates with prior information. This phenomenon, known as context dependency, helps in facing the uncertainty of the external world with predictions built upon previous experience. On the other hand, human perceptual processes are inherently shaped by social interactions. However, how the mechanisms of context dependency are affected is to date unknown. If using previous experience - priors - is beneficial in individual settings, it could represent a problem in social scenarios where other agents might not have the same priors, causing a perceptual misalignment on the shared environment. The present study addresses this question. We studied context dependency in an interactive setting with a humanoid robot iCub that acted as a stimuli demonstrator. Participants reproduced the lengths shown by the robot in two conditions: one with iCub behaving socially and another with iCub acting as a mechanical arm. The different behavior of the robot significantly affected the use of prior in perception. Moreover, the social robot positively impacted perceptual performances by enhancing accuracy and reducing participants overall perceptual errors. Finally, the observed phenomenon has been modelled following a Bayesian approach to deepen and explore a new concept of shared perception.


Explainable Intrusion Detection Systems (X-IDS): A Survey of Current Methods, Challenges, and Opportunities

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) to cybersecurity challenges has gained traction in industry and academia, partially as a result of widespread malware attacks on critical systems such as cloud infrastructures and government institutions. Intrusion Detection Systems (IDS), using some forms of AI, have received widespread adoption due to their ability to handle vast amounts of data with a high prediction accuracy. These systems are hosted in the organizational Cyber Security Operation Center (CSoC) as a defense tool to monitor and detect malicious network flow that would otherwise impact the Confidentiality, Integrity, and Availability (CIA). CSoC analysts rely on these systems to make decisions about the detected threats. However, IDSs designed using Deep Learning (DL) techniques are often treated as black box models and do not provide a justification for their predictions. This creates a barrier for CSoC analysts, as they are unable to improve their decisions based on the model's predictions. One solution to this problem is to design explainable IDS (X-IDS). This survey reviews the state-of-the-art in explainable AI (XAI) for IDS, its current challenges, and discusses how these challenges span to the design of an X-IDS. In particular, we discuss black box and white box approaches comprehensively. We also present the tradeoff between these approaches in terms of their performance and ability to produce explanations. Furthermore, we propose a generic architecture that considers human-in-the-loop which can be used as a guideline when designing an X-IDS. Research recommendations are given from three critical viewpoints: the need to define explainability for IDS, the need to create explanations tailored to various stakeholders, and the need to design metrics to evaluate explanations.


Electromagnetic Source Imaging via a Data-Synthesis-Based Convolutional Encoder-Decoder Network

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Electromagnetic source imaging (ESI) requires solving a highly ill-posed inverse problem. To seek a unique solution, traditional ESI methods impose various forms of priors that may not accurately reflect the actual source properties, which may hinder their broad applications. To overcome this limitation, in this paper a novel data-synthesized spatio-temporally convolutional encoder-decoder network method termed DST-CedNet is proposed for ESI. DST-CedNet recasts ESI as a machine learning problem, where discriminative learning and latent-space representations are integrated in a convolutional encoder-decoder network (CedNet) to learn a robust mapping from the measured electroencephalography/magnetoencephalography (E/MEG) signals to the brain activity. In particular, by incorporating prior knowledge regarding dynamical brain activities, a novel data synthesis strategy is devised to generate large-scale samples for effectively training CedNet. This stands in contrast to traditional ESI methods where the prior information is often enforced via constraints primarily aimed for mathematical convenience. Extensive numerical experiments as well as analysis of a real MEG and Epilepsy EEG dataset demonstrate that DST-CedNet outperforms several state-of-the-art ESI methods in robustly estimating source signals under a variety of source configurations.


Probing the Robustness of Independent Mechanism Analysis for Representation Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

One aim of representation learning is to recover the original latent code that generated the data, a task which requires additional information or inductive biases. A recently proposed approach termed Independent Mechanism Analysis (IMA) postulates that each latent source should influence the observed mixtures independently, complementing standard nonlinear independent component analysis, and taking inspiration from the principle of independent causal mechanisms. While it was shown in theory and experiments that IMA helps recovering the true latents, the method's performance was so far only characterized when the modeling assumptions are exactly satisfied. Here, we test the method's robustness to violations of the underlying assumptions. We find that the benefits of IMA-based regularization for recovering the true sources extend to mixing functions with various degrees of violation of the IMA principle, while standard regularizers do not provide the same merits. Moreover, we show that unregularized maximum likelihood recovers mixing functions which systematically deviate from the IMA principle, and provide an argument elucidating the benefits of IMA-based regularization.