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 Uncertainty


Coherent Soft Imitation Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Imitation learning methods seek to learn from an expert either through behavioral cloning (BC) of the policy or inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) of the reward. Such methods enable agents to learn complex tasks from humans that are difficult to capture with hand-designed reward functions. Choosing BC or IRL for imitation depends on the quality and state-action coverage of the demonstrations, as well as additional access to the Markov decision process. Hybrid strategies that combine BC and IRL are not common, as initial policy optimization against inaccurate rewards diminishes the benefit of pretraining the policy with BC. This work derives an imitation method that captures the strengths of both BC and IRL. In the entropy-regularized ('soft') reinforcement learning setting, we show that the behaviour-cloned policy can be used as both a shaped reward and a critic hypothesis space by inverting the regularized policy update. This coherency facilitates fine-tuning cloned policies using the reward estimate and additional interactions with the environment. This approach conveniently achieves imitation learning through initial behaviour cloning, followed by refinement via RL with online or offline data sources. The simplicity of the approach enables graceful scaling to high-dimensional and vision-based tasks, with stable learning and minimal hyperparameter tuning, in contrast to adversarial approaches. For the open-source implementation and simulation results, see https://joemwatson.github.io/csil/.


A Comprehensive Review of Visual-Textual Sentiment Analysis from Social Media Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Social media networks have become a significant aspect of people's lives, serving as a platform for their ideas, opinions and emotions. Consequently, automated sentiment analysis (SA) is critical for recognising people's feelings in ways that other information sources cannot. The analysis of these feelings revealed various applications, including brand evaluations, YouTube film reviews and healthcare applications. As social media continues to develop, people post a massive amount of information in different forms, including text, photos, audio and video. Thus, traditional SA algorithms have become limited, as they do not consider the expressiveness of other modalities. By including such characteristics from various material sources, these multimodal data streams provide new opportunities for optimising the expected results beyond text-based SA. Our study focuses on the forefront field of multimodal SA, which examines visual and textual data posted on social media networks. Many people are more likely to utilise this information to express themselves on these platforms. To serve as a resource for academics in this rapidly growing field, we introduce a comprehensive overview of textual and visual SA, including data pre-processing, feature extraction techniques, sentiment benchmark datasets, and the efficacy of multiple classification methodologies suited to each field. We also provide a brief introduction of the most frequently utilised data fusion strategies and a summary of existing research on visual-textual SA. Finally, we highlight the most significant challenges and investigate several important sentiment applications.


Improving Gradient-guided Nested Sampling for Posterior Inference

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Gaussian noise was then added to produce a noisy simulated data. Given the data, the posterior of a model (a pixelated image of the undistorted background source) could be calculated by adding the likelihood and the prior terms. Furthermore since the model is perfectly linear (and known) and the noise and the prior are Gaussian, the posterior is a high-dimensional Gaussian posterior that could be calculated analytically, allowing us to compare the samples drawn with GGNS with the analytic solution. Figure 2 shows a comparison between the true image, and its noise, and the one recovered by GGNS. We see that we can recover both the correct image, and the noise distribution. We emphasize that this is a uni-modal problem and that the experiment's goal is to demonstrate the capability of GGNS to sample in high dimensions (in this case, 256), such as images, and to test the agreement between the samples and a baseline analytic solution.


Data-Adaptive Probabilistic Likelihood Approximation for Ordinary Differential Equations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Estimating the parameters of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is of fundamental importance in many scientific applications. While ODEs are typically approximated with deterministic algorithms, new research on probabilistic solvers indicates that they produce more reliable parameter estimates by better accounting for numerical errors. However, many ODE systems are highly sensitive to their parameter values. This produces deep local maxima in the likelihood function -- a problem which existing probabilistic solvers have yet to resolve. Here we present a novel probabilistic ODE likelihood approximation, DALTON, which can dramatically reduce parameter sensitivity by learning from noisy ODE measurements in a data-adaptive manner. Our approximation scales linearly in both ODE variables and time discretization points, and is applicable to ODEs with both partially-unobserved components and non-Gaussian measurement models. Several examples demonstrate that DALTON produces more accurate parameter estimates via numerical optimization than existing probabilistic ODE solvers, and even in some cases than the exact ODE likelihood itself.


Solving Linear Inverse Problems using Higher-Order Annealed Langevin Diffusion

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a solution for linear inverse problems based on higher-order Langevin diffusion. More precisely, we propose pre-conditioned second-order and third-order Langevin dynamics that provably sample from the posterior distribution of our unknown variables of interest while being computationally more efficient than their first-order counterpart and the non-conditioned versions of both dynamics. Moreover, we prove that both pre-conditioned dynamics are well-defined and have the same unique invariant distributions as the non-conditioned cases. We also incorporate an annealing procedure that has the double benefit of further accelerating the convergence of the algorithm and allowing us to accommodate the case where the unknown variables are discrete. Numerical experiments in two different tasks in communications (MIMO symbol detection and channel estimation) and in three tasks for images showcase the generality of our method and illustrate the high performance achieved relative to competing approaches (including learning-based ones) while having comparable or lower computational complexity.


On the Estimation Performance of Generalized Power Method for Heteroscedastic Probabilistic PCA

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The heteroscedastic probabilistic principal component analysis (PCA) technique, a variant of the classic PCA that considers data heterogeneity, is receiving more and more attention in the data science and signal processing communities. In this paper, to estimate the underlying low-dimensional linear subspace (simply called \emph{ground truth}) from available heterogeneous data samples, we consider the associated non-convex maximum-likelihood estimation problem, which involves maximizing a sum of heterogeneous quadratic forms over an orthogonality constraint (HQPOC). We propose a first-order method -- generalized power method (GPM) -- to tackle the problem and establish its \emph{estimation performance} guarantee. Specifically, we show that, given a suitable initialization, the distances between the iterates generated by GPM and the ground truth decrease at least geometrically to some threshold associated with the residual part of certain "population-residual decomposition". In establishing the estimation performance result, we prove a novel local error bound property of another closely related optimization problem, namely quadratic optimization with orthogonality constraint (QPOC), which is new and can be of independent interest. Numerical experiments are conducted to demonstrate the superior performance of GPM in both Gaussian noise and sub-Gaussian noise settings.


Solving Inverse Physics Problems with Score Matching

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose to solve inverse problems involving the temporal evolution of physics systems by leveraging recent advances from diffusion models. Our method moves the system's current state backward in time step by step by combining an approximate inverse physics simulator and a learned correction function. A central insight of our work is that training the learned correction with a single-step loss is equivalent to a score matching objective, while recursively predicting longer parts of the trajectory during training relates to maximum likelihood training of a corresponding probability flow. We highlight the advantages of our algorithm compared to standard denoising score matching and implicit score matching, as well as fully learned baselines for a wide range of inverse physics problems. The resulting inverse solver has excellent accuracy and temporal stability and, in contrast to other learned inverse solvers, allows for sampling the posterior of the solutions. Code and experiments are available at https://github.com/tum-pbs/SMDP.


Foundational propositions of hesitant fuzzy sets and parameter reductions of hesitant fuzzy information systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Hesitant fuzzy sets are widely used in the instances of uncertainty and hesitation. The inclusion relationship is an important and foundational definition for sets. Hesitant fuzzy set, as a kind of set, needs explicit definition of inclusion relationship. Base on the hesitant fuzzy membership degree of discrete form, several kinds of inclusion relationships for hesitant fuzzy sets are proposed. And then some foundational propositions of hesitant fuzzy sets and the families of hesitant fuzzy sets are presented. Finally, some foundational propositions of hesitant fuzzy information systems with respect to parameter reductions are put forward, and an example and an algorithm are given to illustrate the processes of parameter reductions.


The neural dynamics of auditory word recognition and integration

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Listeners recognize and integrate words in rapid and noisy everyday speech by combining expectations about upcoming content with incremental sensory evidence. We present a computational model of word recognition which formalizes this perceptual process in Bayesian decision theory. We fit this model to explain scalp EEG signals recorded as subjects passively listened to a fictional story, revealing both the dynamics of the online auditory word recognition process and the neural correlates of the recognition and integration of words. The model reveals distinct neural processing of words depending on whether or not they can be quickly recognized. While all words trigger a neural response characteristic of probabilistic integration -- voltage modulations predicted by a word's surprisal in context -- these modulations are amplified for words which require more than roughly 150 ms of input to be recognized. We observe no difference in the latency of these neural responses according to words' recognition times. Our results are consistent with a two-part model of speech comprehension, combining an eager and rapid process of word recognition with a temporally independent process of word integration. However, we also developed alternative models of the scalp EEG signal not incorporating word recognition dynamics which showed similar performance improvements. We discuss potential future modeling steps which may help to separate these hypotheses.


Concept Drift Adaptation in Text Stream Mining Settings: A Comprehensive Review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Due to the advent and increase in the popularity of the Internet, people have been producing and disseminating textual data in several ways, such as reviews, social media posts, and news articles. As a result, numerous researchers have been working on discovering patterns in textual data, especially because social media posts function as social sensors, indicating peoples' opinions, interests, etc. However, most tasks regarding natural language processing are addressed using traditional machine learning methods and static datasets. This setting can lead to several problems, such as an outdated dataset, which may not correspond to reality, and an outdated model, which has its performance degrading over time. Concept drift is another aspect that emphasizes these issues, which corresponds to data distribution and pattern changes. In a text stream scenario, it is even more challenging due to its characteristics, such as the high speed and data arriving sequentially. In addition, models for this type of scenario must adhere to the constraints mentioned above while learning from the stream by storing texts for a limited time and consuming low memory. In this study, we performed a systematic literature review regarding concept drift adaptation in text stream scenarios. Considering well-defined criteria, we selected 40 papers to unravel aspects such as text drift categories, types of text drift detection, model update mechanism, the addressed stream mining tasks, types of text representations, and text representation update mechanism. In addition, we discussed drift visualization and simulation and listed real-world datasets used in the selected papers. Therefore, this paper comprehensively reviews the concept drift adaptation in text stream mining scenarios.