Expert Systems
An expert system for detecting automobile insurance fraud using social network analysis
Šubelj, Lovro, Furlan, Štefan, Bajec, Marko
The article proposes an expert system for detection, and subsequent investigation, of groups of collaborating automobile insurance fraudsters. The system is described and examined in great detail, several technical difficulties in detecting fraud are also considered, for it to be applicable in practice. Opposed to many other approaches, the system uses networks for representation of data. Networks are the most natural representation of such a relational domain, allowing formulation and analysis of complex relations between entities. Fraudulent entities are found by employing a novel assessment algorithm, Iterative Assessment Algorithm (IAA), also presented in the article. Besides intrinsic attributes of entities, the algorithm explores also the relations between entities. The prototype was evaluated and rigorously analyzed on real world data. Results show that automobile insurance fraud can be efficiently detected with the proposed system and that appropriate data representation is vital. Key words: Fraud detection, Automobile insurance, Social network analysis, Link analysis, Assessment propagation 1. Introduction Fraud is encountered in a variety of domains. It comes in all different shapes and sizes, from traditional fraud, e.g. Such groups can be found in the automobile insurance domain. Here fraudsters stage traffic accidents and issue fake insurance claims to gain (unjustified) funds from their general or vehicle insurance. There are also cases where an accident has never occurred, and the vehicles have only been placed onto the road. Still, the majority of such fraud is not planned (opportunistic fraud) - an individual only seizes the opportunity arising from the accident and issues exaggerated insurance claims or claims for past damages. Staged accidents have several common characteristics. They occur in late hours and non-urban areas in order to reduce the probability of witnesses. Drivers are usually younger males, there are many passengers in the vehicles, but never children or elders. The police is always called to the scene to make the subsequent acquisition of means easier. It is also not uncommon that all of the participants have multiple (serious) injuries, when there is almost no damage on the vehicles. Many other suspicious characteristics exist, not mentioned here.
Closed-set-based Discovery of Bases of Association Rules
Balcázar, José L., García-Saiz, Diego, Gómez-Pérez, Domingo, Tîrnăucă, Cristina
The output of an association rule miner is often huge in practice. This is why several concise lossless representations have been proposed, such as the "essential" or "representative" rules. We revisit the algorithm given by Kryszkiewicz (Int. Symp. Intelligent Data Analysis 2001, Springer-Verlag LNCS 2189, 350-359) for mining representative rules. We show that its output is sometimes incomplete, due to an oversight in its mathematical validation. We propose alternative complete generators and we extend the approach to an existing closure-aware basis similar to, and often smaller than, the representative rules, namely the basis B*.
Combining Uncertainty and Description Logic Rule-Based Reasoning in Situation-Aware Robots
Krieger, Hans-Ulrich (DFKI GmbH, German Research Center For Artificial Intelligence) | Kruijff, Geert-Jan M. (DFKI GmbH, German Research Center For Artificial Intelligence)
The paper addresses how a robot can maintain a state representation of all that it knows about the environment over time and space, given its observations and its domain knowledge. The advantage in combining domain knowledge and observations is that the robot can in this way project from the past into the future, and reason from observations to more general statements to help guide how it plans to act and interact. The difficulty lies in the fact that observations are typically uncertain and logical inference for completion against a knowledge base is computationally hard.
On the Collaborative Formalization of Agile Semantics Using Social Network Applications
Fill, Hans-Georg (Stanford University) | Tudorache, Tania (Stanford University)
In this position paper we investigate the opportunities of using functionalities provided by social network sites for the collaborative formalization of semantics in the domain of health. In particular we identified benefits in regard to communication support, economic benefits, and technical opportunities. The implementation of the functionalities are illustrated by describing a use case from an ongoing project with the World Health Organization.
An Interface for Crowd-Sourcing Spatial Models of Commonsense
Johnston, Benjamin (University of Technology, Sydney)
Commonsense is a challenge not only for representation and reasoning but also for large scale knowledge engineering required to capture the breadth of our "everyday" world. One approach to knowledge engineering is to "outsource" the effort to the public through games that generate structured commonsense knowledge from user play. To date, such games have focused on symbolic and textual knowledge. However, an effective commonsense reasoning system will require spatial and physical reasoning capabilities. In this paper, I propose a tool for gathering commonsense information from ordinary people. It is a user-friendly 3D sculpting tool for modeling and annotating models of physical objects and spaces.
Individualization of Goods and Services: Towards a Logistics Knowledge Infrastructure for Agile Supply Chains
Leukel, Joerg (University of Hohenheim) | Jacob, Ansger (University of Hohenheim) | Karaenke, Paul (University of Hohenheim) | Kirn, Stefan (University of Hohenheim) | Klein, Achim (University of Hohenheim)
Our research is directed towards agile supply chains enabling enterprises to quickly respond to individual customer demand. From this perspective, agility encompasses three dimensions of adaptivity: space, time, and economy. Supply chain agility can be achieved by exploiting the most fundamental resource of any enterprise: knowledge. Studying supply chains, we regard all their tiers, participants, and potential relationships, as the search space for fulfilling individual customer demand. We study supply chains from a knowledge-based coordination perspective and regard logistics as the guiding conceptualization. The contribution of this research is a logistics knowledge infrastructure. We report about applying parts of this infrastructure to coordination problems in three selected case studies.
A Knowledge-Based Approach to Problem Formulation for Product Model-Based Multidisciplinary Design Optimization in AEC
Welle, Benjamin Ross (Stanford University) | Haymaker, John Riker (Design Process Innovation)
The cost-effectiveness and accuracy of a multidisciplinary design optimization (MDO) process is highly dependent on designers’ ability to flexibly formulate the optimization problem for specific challenges. Designers need to rapidly modify how object parameters are assigned to groupings of objects in the product model. Our research has developed a Reference-Based Optimization Method (RBOM) to enable this type of flexible problem formulation. However, the responsibility still falls on the designer to manage the problem formulation and MDO process, which can lead to inefficient and costly design decisions. By means of artificial intelligence, in particular knowledge-based systems, these potential barriers to MDO adoption in the Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AEC) industry could be mitigated, resulting in more efficient design processes and, ultimately, energy-efficient built environments.
Opportunities for AI to Improve Sustainable Building Design Processes
Haymaker, John R. (Design Process Innovation)
Sustainable building design is a complex social and technical process in which a broad range of stakeholders must construct and clearly communicate high quality design spaces. This paper summarizes recent assessments of current practice that illustrate how far industry today is from achieving this quality and clarity. Efforts to develop a platform of tools to address these limitations are discussed. PIP helps people communicate, share, and understand collaborative design processes; MACDADI helps project teams identify and manage rationale and consensus on decisions; Design Scenarios helps them generate requirements-driven alternative spaces, BIM, model-based analysis, and PIDO which helps to systematically assess these alternatives for their energy, daylight, structural, and cost impacts; and iRooms and the web, which help to communicate all of this information to engage designers, stakeholders, and decision makers in fast, multidisciplinary design and analysis processes. This new platform considerably improves the quality and clarity of AEC design spaces. However additional work would enable significant additional improvement. The paper concludes with a proposal for how AI might further improve the performance of this platform.
Knowledge Based Integration of Sustainability Issues in the (Re)Design Process
Erbas, Irem (Delft University of Technology) | Stouffs, Rudi (Delft University of Technology) | Sariyildiz, Sevil (Delft University of Technology)
The research project here described aims to contribute to the issue of sustainability of buildings by improving the architectural design process with the development of a decision support tool for the architect. In particular, the research adopts the improvement of existing designs, namely encouraging energy-efficient redesigns while improving indoor environmental quality as its strategy to promote sustainability. Redesign strategy is considered not only to extend the life cycle of a building but also to contribute to the realization of the overall transition towards an efficient and clean climate. The starting point for this research is the question of how to develop an integral framework which enables the modelling of design knowledge through more energy-efficient dwellings with acceptable indoor comfort in the sustainability context so that it would be possible to deal with qualitative, quantitative, complex and contradictory information at the same time and integrate these into design decision-making processes. This modelling approach is considered to provide a link to developing a tool or a link to be embedded in an existing tool. In the development of such an approach, how Artificial Intelligence (AI) can facilitate an integral understanding of the aspects is raised as a methodological question in terms of information processing and knowledge integration in the form of a design decision support tool. By this way it will be possible to assess the performance of the end result with respect to design choices, beforehand.
Finding Shortest Path for Developed Cognitive Map Using Medial Axis
Farhan, Hazim A., Owaied, Hussein H., Al-Ghazi, Suhaib I.
this paper presents an enhancement of the medial axis algorithm to be used for finding the optimal shortest path for developed cognitive map. The cognitive map has been developed, based on the architectural blueprint maps. The idea for using the medial-axis is to find main path central pixels; each center pixel represents the center distance between two side boarder pixels. The need for these pixels in the algorithm comes from the need of building a network of nodes for the path, where each node represents a turning in the real world (left, right, critical left, critical right...). The algorithm also ignores from finding the center pixels paths that are too small for intelligent robot navigation. The Idea of this algorithm is to find the possible shortest path between start and end points. The goal of this research is to extract a simple, robust representation of the shape of the cognitive map together with the optimal shortest path between start and end points. The intelligent robot will use this algorithm in order to decrease the time that is needed for sweeping the targeted building.