Expert Systems
Merging Uncertain Knowledge Bases in a Possibilistic Logic Framework
Benferhat, Salem, Sossai, Claudio
This paper addresses the problem of merging uncertain information in the framework of possibilistic logic. It presents several syntactic combination rules to merge possibilistic knowledge bases, provided by different sources, into a new possibilistic knowledge base. These combination rules are first described at the meta-level outside the language of possibilistic logic. Next, an extension of possibilistic logic, where the combination rules are inside the language, is proposed. A proof system in a sequent form, which is sound and complete with respect to the possibilistic logic semantics, is given.
On Transformations between Probability and Spohnian Disbelief Functions
Giang, Phan H., Shenoy, Prakash P.
In this paper, we analyze the relationship between probability and Spohn's theory for representation of uncertain beliefs. Using the intuitive idea that the more probable a proposition is, the more believable it is, we study transformations from probability to Sphonian disbelief and vice-versa. The transformations described in this paper are different from those described in the literature. In particular, the former satisfies the principles of ordinal congruence while the latter does not. Such transformations between probability and Spohn's calculi can contribute to (1) a clarification of the semantics of nonprobabilistic degree of uncertain belief, and (2) to a construction of a decision theory for such calculi. In practice, the transformations will allow a meaningful combination of more than one calculus in different stages of using an expert system such as knowledge acquisition, inference, and interpretation of results.
A Rational and Efficient Algorithm for View Revision in Databases
Delhibabu, Radhakrishnan, Lakemeyer, Gerhard
The dynamics of belief and knowledge is one of the major components of any autonomous system that should be able to incorporate new pieces of information. In this paper, we argue that to apply rationality result of belief dynamics theory to various practical problems, it should be generalized in two respects: first of all, it should allow a certain part of belief to be declared as immutable; and second, the belief state need not be deductively closed. Such a generalization of belief dynamics, referred to as base dynamics, is presented, along with the concept of a generalized revision algorithm for Horn knowledge bases. We show that Horn knowledge base dynamics has interesting connection with kernel change and abduction. Finally, we also show that both variants are rational in the sense that they satisfy certain rationality postulates stemming from philosophical works on belief dynamics.
A Case Study in Knowledge Discovery and Elicitation in an Intelligent Tutoring Application
Nicholson, Ann, Boneh, Tal, Wilkin, Tim, Stacey, Kaye, Sonenberg, Liz, Steinle, Vicki
Most successful Bayesian network (BN) applications to datehave been built through knowledge elicitation from experts.This is difficult and time consuming, which has lead to recentinterest in automated methods for learning BNs from data. We present a case study in the construction of a BN in anintelligent tutoring application, specifically decimal misconceptions. Wedescribe the BN construction using expert elicitation and then investigate how certainexisting automated knowledge discovery methods might support the BN knowledge engineering process.
Efficient Approximation for Triangulation of Minimum Treewidth
We present four novel approximation algorithms for finding triangulation of minimum treewidth. Two of the algorithms improve on the running times of algorithms by Robertson and Seymour, and Becker and Geiger that approximate the optimum by factors of 4 and 3 2/3, respectively. A third algorithm is faster than those but gives an approximation factor of 4 1/2. The last algorithm is yet faster, producing factor-O(lg/k) approximations in polynomial time. Finding triangulations of minimum treewidth for graphs is central to many problems in computer science. Real-world problems in artificial intelligence, VLSI design and databases are efficiently solvable if we have an efficient approximation algorithm for them. We report on experimental results confirming the effectiveness of our algorithms for large graphs associated with real-world problems.
A Forgetting-based Approach to Merging Knowledge Bases
Xu, Dai, Zhang, Xiaowang, Lin, Zuoquan
This paper presents a novel approach based on variable forgetting, which is a useful tool in resolving contradictory by filtering some given variables, to merging multiple knowledge bases. This paper first builds a relationship between belief merging and variable forgetting by using dilation. Variable forgetting is applied to capture belief merging operation. Finally, some new merging operators are developed by modifying candidate variables to amend the shortage of traditional merging operators. Different from model selection of traditional merging operators, as an alternative approach, variable selection in those new operators could provide intuitive information about an atom variable among whole knowledge bases.
Knowledge Discovery System For Fiber Reinforced Polymer Matrix Composite Laminate
In this paper Knowledge Discovery System (KDS) is proposed and implemented for the extraction of knowledge-mean stiffness of a polymer composite material in which when fibers are placed at different orientations. Cosine amplitude method is implemented for retrieving compatible polymer matrix and reinforcement fiber which is coming under predicted fiber class, from the polymer and reinforcement database respectively, based on the design requirements. Fuzzy classification rules to classify fibers into short, medium and long fiber classes are derived based on the fiber length and the computed or derive critical length of fiber. Longitudinal and Transverse module of Polymer Matrix Composite consisting of seven layers with different fiber volume fractions and different fibers orientations at 0,15,30,45,60,75 and 90 degrees are analyzed through Rule-of Mixture material design model. The analysis results are represented in different graphical steps and have been measured with statistical parameters. This data mining application implemented here has focused the mechanical problems of material design and analysis. Therefore, this system is an expert decision support system for optimizing the materials performance for designing light-weight and strong, and cost effective polymer composite materials.
Subgraph Matching-Based Literature Mining for Biomedical Relations and Events
Liu, Haibin (University of Colorado School of Medicine) | Keselj, Vlado (Dalhousie University) | Blouin, Christian (Dalhousie University) | Verspoor, Karin (National ICT Australia)
Extracting important relations between biological components and semantic events involving genes or proteins from literature has become a focus for the biomedical text mining community. In this paper, we review a subgraph matching-based approach proposed in our previous work for mining relations and events in the biomedical literature. Our subgraph matching algorithm is formally presented, along with a detailed analysis of its complexity. We present three different relation/event extraction tasks in which our approach has been successfully applied. Our approach is of considerable value in extracting highly precise, binary relations when appropriate training data is available.
Preliminary Meta-Analyses of Experimental Design with Examples from HIV Vaccine Protection Studies
Tallis, Marcelo (USC Information Sciences Institute) | Dave, Drashti (USC Information Sciences Institute) | Burns, Gully APC (USC Information Sciences Institute)
Knowledge engineering from experimental design (KEfED) is a novel approach based on the dependency relationships that occur between the variables of a scientific study. We used this approach to curate the experimental designs of ten scientific papers from a well-established database of HIV vaccine trials in non-human primates. The KEfED models provide a characteristic, data-oriented signature for each measurement made in the study. We present preliminary analysis of these manually-curated, detailed representations using our own open-source curation tools and show the multi-variate statistical analyses on the resultant models of experimental design. The analyses produced a visualization of the similarities between studies and an account of the dependency relationships across studies. We describe our approach in the context of a knowledge engineering strategy based on creating large-scale domain-independent repositories of experimental observatio
Dealing with uncertainty in fuzzy inductive reasoning methodology
Mugica, Francisco, Nebot, Angela, Gomez, Pilar
The aim of this research is to develop a reasoning under uncertainty strategy in the context of the Fuzzy Inductive Reasoning (FIR) methodology. FIR emerged from the General Systems Problem Solving developed by G. Klir. It is a data driven methodology based on systems behavior rather than on structural knowledge. It is a very useful tool for both the modeling and the prediction of those systems for which no previous structural knowledge is available. FIR reasoning is based on pattern rules synthesized from the available data. The size of the pattern rule base can be very large making the prediction process quite difficult. In order to reduce the size of the pattern rule base, it is possible to automatically extract classical Sugeno fuzzy rules starting from the set of pattern rules. The Sugeno rule base preserves pattern rules knowledge as much as possible. In this process some information is lost but robustness is considerably increased. In the forecasting process either the pattern rule base or the Sugeno fuzzy rule base can be used. The first option is desirable when the computational resources make it possible to deal with the overall pattern rule base or when the extracted fuzzy rules are not accurate enough due to uncertainty associated to the original data. In the second option, the prediction process is done by means of the classical Sugeno inference system. If the amount of uncertainty associated to the data is small, the predictions obtained using the Sugeno fuzzy rule base will be very accurate. In this paper a mixed pattern/fuzzy rules strategy is proposed to deal with uncertainty in such a way that the best of both perspectives is used. Areas in the data space with a higher level of uncertainty are identified by means of the so-called error models. The prediction process in these areas makes use of a mixed pattern/fuzzy rules scheme, whereas areas identified with a lower level of uncertainty only use the Sugeno fuzzy rule base. The proposed strategy is applied to a real biomedical system, i.e., the central nervous system control of the cardiovascular system.