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How project managers are essential to AI deployment

#artificialintelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning are crucial to modern-day business success, which is why nearly 60% of organizations have deployed AI, according to Gartner's recent Survey Analysis: AI and ML Development Strategies, Motivators and Adoption Challenges. AI projects are predicted to grow, resulting in an increase in AI staffing numbers in the next three years, KPMG's AI Transforming the Enterprise report added. However, the number of AI-specific employees aren't the only ones expected increase, PMI's Pulse of the Profession survey reported on Thursday. As the number of AI projects increase, so do the number of individuals managing those projects: Over the next three years, 27% of respondents said AI will lead to the creation of more project management jobs. "While there's a fear that AI will replace jobs, AI has โ€“ and will continue โ€“ to open up opportunities for project managers," said Mike DePrisco, PMI's vice president of global solutions.


Fuzzy Knowledge-Based Architecture for Learning and Interaction in Social Robots

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we introduce an extension of our presented cognitive-based emotion model [27][28]and [30], where we enhance our knowledge-based emotion unit of the architecture by embedding a fuzzy rule-based system to it. The model utilizes the cognitive parameters dependency and their corresponding weights to regulate the robot's behavior and fuse their behavior data to achieve the final decision in their interaction with the environment. Using this fuzzy system, our previous model can simulate linguistic parameters for better controlling and generating understandable and flexible behaviors in the robots. We implement our model on an assistive healthcare robot, named Robot Nurse Assistant (RNA) and test it with human subjects. Our model records all the emotion states and essential information based on its predefined rules and learning system. Our results show that our robot interacts with patients in a reasonable, faithful way in special conditions which are defined by rules. This work has the potential to provide better on-demand service for clinical experts to monitor the patients' emotion states and help them make better decisions accordingly.


One Explanation Does Not Fit All: A Toolkit and Taxonomy of AI Explainability Techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms make further inroads into society, calls are increasing from multiple stakeholders for these algorithms to explain their outputs. At the same time, these stakeholders, whether they be affected citizens, government regulators, domain experts, or system developers, present different requirements for explanations. Toward addressing these needs, we introduce AI Explainability 360 (http://aix360.mybluemix.net/), an open-source software toolkit featuring eight diverse and state-of-the-art explainability methods and two evaluation metrics. Equally important, we provide a taxonomy to help entities requiring explanations to navigate the space of explanation methods, not only those in the toolkit but also in the broader literature on explainability. For data scientists and other users of the toolkit, we have implemented an extensible software architecture that organizes methods according to their place in the AI modeling pipeline. We also discuss enhancements to bring research innovations closer to consumers of explanations, ranging from simplified, more accessible versions of algorithms, to tutorials and an interactive web demo to introduce AI explainability to different audiences and application domains. Together, our toolkit and taxonomy can help identify gaps where more explainability methods are needed and provide a platform to incorporate them as they are developed.


Capturing the Magic

#artificialintelligence

Ask a successful startup seed investor, "How do you do it?" Press harder and you will likely hear, "It takes years of apprenticeship and experience in pattern recognition." The myth of expert magic was challenged decades ago but it still persists. If you wanted to know whether you had cancer or not, you were better off using the algorithm that the researchers had created than you were asking the radiologist to study the X-ray. The simple algorithm had outperformed not merely the group of doctors; it had outperformed even the single best doctor.


A Comparative Study of Some Central Notions of ASPIC+ and DeLP

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper formally compares some central notions from two well-known formalisms for rule-based argumentation, DeLP and ASPIC+. The comparisons especially focus on intuitive adequacy and inter-translatability, consistency, and closure properties. As for differences in the definitions of arguments and attack, it turns out that DeLP's definitions are intuitively appealing but that they may not fully comply with Caminada and Amgoud's rationality postulates of strict closure and indirect consistency. For some special cases, the DeLP definitions are shown to fare better than ASPIC+. Next, it is argued that there are reasons to consider a variant of DeLP with grounded semantics, since in some examples its current notion of warrant arguably has counterintuitive consequences and may lead to sets of warranted arguments that are not admissible. Finally, under some minimality and consistency assumptions on ASPIC+ arguments, a one-to-many correspondence between ASPIC+ arguments and DeLP arguments is identified in such a way that if the DeLP warranting procedure is changed to grounded semantics, then DeLP notion of warrant and ASPIC+'s notion of justification are equivalent. This result is proven for three alternative definitions of attack.


From 'F' to 'A' on the N.Y. Regents Science Exams: An Overview of the Aristo Project

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

AI has achieved remarkable mastery over games such as Chess, Go, and Poker, and even Jeopardy, but the rich variety of standardized exams has remained a landmark challenge. Even in 2016, the best AI system achieved merely 59.3% on an 8th Grade science exam challenge. This paper reports unprecedented success on the Grade 8 New York Regents Science Exam, where for the first time a system scores more than 90% on the exam's non-diagram, multiple choice (NDMC) questions. In addition, our Aristo system, building upon the success of recent language models, exceeded 83% on the corresponding Grade 12 Science Exam NDMC questions. The results, on unseen test questions, are robust across different test years and different variations of this kind of test. They demonstrate that modern NLP methods can result in mastery on this task. While not a full solution to general question-answering (the questions are multiple choice, and the domain is restricted to 8th Grade science), it represents a significant milestone for the field.


Addressing Design Issues in Medical Expert System for Low Back Pain Management: Knowledge Representation, Inference Mechanism, and Conflict Resolution Using Bayesian Network

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Aiming at developing a medical expert system for low back pain management, the paper proposes an efficient knowledge representation scheme using frame data structures, and also derives a reliable resolution logic through Bayesian Network. When a patient comes to the intended expert system for diagnosis, the proposed inference engine outputs a number of probable diseases in sorted order, with each disease being associated with a numeric measure to indicate its possibility of occurrence. When two or more diseases in the list have the same or closer possibility of occurrence, Bayesian Network is used for conflict resolution. The proposed scheme has been validated with cases of empirically selected thirty patients. Considering the expected value 0.75 as level of acceptance, the proposed system offers the diagnostic inference with the standard deviation of 0.029. The computational value of Chi-Squared test has been obtained as 11.08 with 12 degree of freedom, implying that the derived results from the designed system conform the homogeneity with the expected outcomes. Prior to any clinical investigations on the selected low back pain patients, the accuracy level (average) of 73.89% has been achieved by the proposed system, which is quite close to the expected clinical accuracy level of 75%.


Lattice-Based Fuzzy Medical Expert System for Low Back Pain Management

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Low Back Pain (LBP) is a common medical condition that deprives many individuals worldwide of their normal routine activities. In the absence of external biomarkers, diagnosis of LBP is quite challenging. It requires dealing with several clinical variables, which have no precisely quantified values. Aiming at the development of a fuzzy medical expert system for LBP management, this research proposes an attractive lattice-based knowledge representation scheme for handling imprecision in knowledge, offering a suitable design methodology for a fuzzy knowledge base and a fuzzy inference system. The fuzzy knowledge base is constructed in modular fashion, with each module capturing interrelated medical knowledge about the relevant clinical history, clinical examinations and laboratory investigation results. This approach in design ensures optimality, consistency and preciseness in the knowledge base and scalability. The fuzzy inference system, which uses the Mamdani method, adopts the triangular membership function for fuzzification and the Centroid of Area technique for defuzzification. A prototype of this system has been built using the knowledge extracted from the domain expert physicians. The inference of the system against a few available patient records at the ESI Hospital, Sealdah has been checked. It was found to be acceptable by the verifying medical experts.


Google open-sources datasets for AI assistants with human-level understanding

#artificialintelligence

Both datasets are being shared by Google AI researchers to supply the training material necessary to model natural language systems that achieve human-level performance. Google researchers call CCPE a new way to collect voice data. It includes 500 dialogues with people about their movie preferences -- 10,000 in total, across 12,000 utterances. Movie preferences were chosen as a topic because of the value of metadata such as the names of actors and directors. "We do not restrict the workers to detailed scripts or to a small knowledge base and hence we observe that our dataset contains more realistic and diverse conversations in comparison to existing datasets," a paper published covering CCPE reads.


Disease Labeling via Machine Learning is NOT quite the same as Medical Diagnosis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A key step in medical diagnosis is giving the patient a universally recognized label (e.g. Appendicitis) which essentially assigns the patient to a class(es) of patients with similar body failures. However, two patients having the same disease label(s) with high probability may still have differences in their feature manifestation patterns implying differences in the required treatments. Additionally, in many cases, the labels of the primary diagnoses leave some findings unexplained. Medical diagnosis is only partially about probability calculations for label X or Y. Diagnosis is not complete until the patient overall situation is clinically understood to the level that enables the best therapeutic decisions. Most machine learning models are data centric models, and evidence so far suggest they can reach expert level performance in the disease labeling phase. Nonetheless, like any other mathematical technique, they have their limitations and applicability scope. Primarily, data centric algorithms are knowledge blind and lack anatomy and physiology knowledge that physicians leverage to achieve complete diagnosis. This article advocates to complement them with intelligence to overcome their inherent limitations as knowledge blind algorithms. Machines can learn many things from data, but data is not the only source that machines can learn from. Historic patient data only tells us what the possible manifestations of a certain body failure are. Anatomy and physiology knowledge tell us how the body works and fails. Both are needed for complete diagnosis. The proposed Double Deep Learning approach, along with the initiative for Medical Wikipedia for Smart Machines, leads to AI diagnostic support solutions for complete diagnosis beyond the limited data only labeling solutions we see today. AI for medicine will forever be limited until their intelligence also integrates anatomy and physiology.