Expert Systems
Probabilistic Box Embeddings for Uncertain Knowledge Graph Reasoning
Chen, Xuelu, Boratko, Michael, Chen, Muhao, Dasgupta, Shib Sankar, Li, Xiang Lorraine, McCallum, Andrew
Knowledge bases often consist of facts which are harvested from a variety of sources, many of which are noisy and some of which conflict, resulting in a level of uncertainty for each triple. Knowledge bases are also often incomplete, prompting the use of embedding methods to generalize from known facts, however, existing embedding methods only model triple-level uncertainty, and reasoning results lack global consistency. To address these shortcomings, we propose BEUrRE, a novel uncertain knowledge graph embedding method with calibrated probabilistic semantics. BEUrRE models each entity as a box (i.e. axis-aligned hyperrectangle) and relations between two entities as affine transforms on the head and tail entity boxes. The geometry of the boxes allows for efficient calculation of intersections and volumes, endowing the model with calibrated probabilistic semantics and facilitating the incorporation of relational constraints. Extensive experiments on two benchmark datasets show that BEUrRE consistently outperforms baselines on confidence prediction and fact ranking due to its probabilistic calibration and ability to capture high-order dependencies among facts.
Intelligent Building Control Systems for Thermal Comfort and Energy-Efficiency: A Systematic Review of Artificial Intelligence-Assisted Techniques
Merabet, Ghezlane Halhoul, Essaaidi, Mohamed, Haddou, Mohamed Ben, Qolomany, Basheer, Qadir, Junaid, Anan, Muhammad, Al-Fuqaha, Ala, Abid, Mohamed Riduan, Benhaddou, Driss
Building operations represent a significant percentage of the total primary energy consumed in most countries due to the proliferation of Heating, Ventilation and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) installations in response to the growing demand for improved thermal comfort. Reducing the associated energy consumption while maintaining comfortable conditions in buildings are conflicting objectives and represent a typical optimization problem that requires intelligent system design. Over the last decade, different methodologies based on the Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques have been deployed to find the sweet spot between energy use in HVAC systems and suitable indoor comfort levels to the occupants. This paper performs a comprehensive and an in-depth systematic review of AI-based techniques used for building control systems by assessing the outputs of these techniques, and their implementations in the reviewed works, as well as investigating their abilities to improve the energy-efficiency, while maintaining thermal comfort conditions. This enables a holistic view of (1) the complexities of delivering thermal comfort to users inside buildings in an energy-efficient way, and (2) the associated bibliographic material to assist researchers and experts in the field in tackling such a challenge. Among the 20 AI tools developed for both energy consumption and comfort control, functions such as identification and recognition patterns, optimization, predictive control. Based on the findings of this work, the application of AI technology in building control is a promising area of research and still an ongoing, i.e., the performance of AI-based control is not yet completely satisfactory. This is mainly due in part to the fact that these algorithms usually need a large amount of high-quality real-world data, which is lacking in the building or, more precisely, the energy sector.
ASER: Towards Large-scale Commonsense Knowledge Acquisition via Higher-order Selectional Preference over Eventualities
Zhang, Hongming, Liu, Xin, Pan, Haojie, Ke, Haowen, Ou, Jiefu, Fang, Tianqing, Song, Yangqiu
Commonsense knowledge acquisition and reasoning have long been a core artificial intelligence problem. However, in the past, there has been a lack of scalable methods to collect commonsense knowledge. In this paper, we propose to develop principles for collecting commonsense knowledge based on selectional preference. We generalize the definition of selectional preference from one-hop linguistic syntactic relations to higher-order relations over linguistic graphs. Unlike previous commonsense knowledge definition (e.g., ConceptNet), the selectional preference (SP) knowledge only relies on statistical distribution over linguistic graphs, which can be efficiently and accurately acquired from the unlabeled corpus with modern tools. Following this principle, we develop a large-scale eventuality (a linguistic term covering activity, state, and event)-based knowledge graph ASER, where each eventuality is represented as a dependency graph, and the relation between them is a discourse relation defined in shallow discourse parsing. The higher-order selectional preference over collected linguistic graphs reflects various kinds of commonsense knowledge. Moreover, motivated by the observation that humans understand events by abstracting the observed events to a higher level and can thus transferring their knowledge to new events, we propose a conceptualization module to significantly boost the coverage of ASER. In total, ASER contains 438 million eventualities and 648 million edges between eventualities. After conceptualization with Probase, a selectional preference based concept-instance relational knowledge base, our concept graph contains 15 million conceptualized eventualities and 224 million edges between them. Detailed analysis is provided to demonstrate its quality. All the collected data, APIs, and tools are available at https://github.com/HKUST-KnowComp/ASER.
Toward Building Science Discovery Machines
Khalili, Abdullah, Bouchachia, Abdelhamid
The dream of building machines that can do science has inspired scientists for decades. Remarkable advances have been made recently; however, we are still far from achieving this goal. In this paper, we focus on the scientific discovery process where a high level of reasoning and remarkable problem-solving ability are required. We review different machine learning techniques used in scientific discovery with their limitations. We survey and discuss the main principles driving the scientific discovery process. These principles are used in different fields and by different scientists to solve problems and discover new knowledge. We provide many examples of the use of these principles in different fields such as physics, mathematics, and biology. We also review AI systems that attempt to implement some of these principles. We argue that building science discovery machines should be guided by these principles as an alternative to the dominant approach of current AI systems that focuses on narrow objectives. Building machines that fully incorporate these principles in an automated way might open the doors for many advancements.
Combining conflicting ordinal quantum evidences utilizing individual reliability
How to combine uncertain information from different sources has been a hot topic for years. However, with respect to ordinal quantum evidences contained in information, there is no any referable work which is able to provide a solution to this kind of problem. Besides, the method to dispel uncertainty of quantum information is still an open issue. Therefore, in this paper, a specially designed method is designed to provide an excellent method which improves the combination of ordinal quantum evidences reasonably and reduce the effects brought by uncertainty contained in quantum information simultaneously. Besides, some actual applications are provided to verify the correctness and validity of the proposed method.
Towards Active Learning Based Smart Assistant for Manufacturing
Zajec, Patrik, Roลพanec, Joลพe M., Novalija, Inna, Fortuna, Blaลพ, Mladeniฤ, Dunja, Kenda, Klemen
A general approach for building a smart assistant that guides a user from a forecast generated by a machine learning model through a sequence of decision-making steps is presented. We develop a methodology to build such a system. The system is demonstrated on a demand forecasting use case in manufacturing. The methodology can be extended to several use cases in manufacturing. The system provides means for knowledge acquisition, gathering data from users. We envision active learning can be used to get data labels where labeled data is scarce.
g-f(2)144 THE BIG PICTURE OF THE DIGITAL AGE, Accenture, Technology Vision 2021. Leaders Wanted. Masters of Change at a Moment of Truth.
I joined the Technology Research & Development team from Advanced Technology & Architecture where I was the global lead for Emerging Technology. I have held several global leadership roles within our technology group for Application Portfolio Optimization and SOA/Integration Architecture. I have worked at the leading edge of technology, notably in voice recognition, knowledge-based systems and neural networks.
Contrastive Explanations of Plans Through Model Restrictions
Krarup, Benjamin, Krivic, Senka, Magazzeni, Daniele, Long, Derek, Cashmore, Michael, Smith, David E.
In automated planning, the need for explanations arises when there is a mismatch between a proposed plan and the user's expectation. We frame Explainable AI Planning in the context of the plan negotiation problem, in which a succession of hypothetical planning problems are generated and solved. The object of the negotiation is for the user to understand and ultimately arrive at a satisfactory plan. We present the results of a user study that demonstrates that when users ask questions about plans, those questions are contrastive, i.e. "why A rather than B?". We use the data from this study to construct a taxonomy of user questions that often arise during plan negotiation. We formally define our approach to plan negotiation through model restriction as an iterative process. This approach generates hypothetical problems and contrastive plans by restricting the model through constraints implied by user questions. We formally define model-based compilations in PDDL2.1 of each constraint derived from a user question in the taxonomy, and empirically evaluate the compilations in terms of computational complexity. The compilations were implemented as part of an explanation framework that employs iterative model restriction. We demonstrate its benefits in a second user study.
SQAPlanner: Generating Data-Informed Software Quality Improvement Plans
Rajapaksha, Dilini, Tantithamthavorn, Chakkrit, Jiarpakdee, Jirayus, Bergmeir, Christoph, Grundy, John, Buntine, Wray
Software Quality Assurance (SQA) planning aims to define proactive plans, such as defining maximum file size, to prevent the occurrence of software defects in future releases. To aid this, defect prediction models have been proposed to generate insights as the most important factors that are associated with software quality. Such insights that are derived from traditional defect models are far from actionable-i.e., practitioners still do not know what they should do or avoid to decrease the risk of having defects, and what is the risk threshold for each metric. A lack of actionable guidance and risk threshold can lead to inefficient and ineffective SQA planning processes. In this paper, we investigate the practitioners' perceptions of current SQA planning activities, current challenges of such SQA planning activities, and propose four types of guidance to support SQA planning. We then propose and evaluate our AI-Driven SQAPlanner approach, a novel approach for generating four types of guidance and their associated risk thresholds in the form of rule-based explanations for the predictions of defect prediction models. Finally, we develop and evaluate an information visualization for our SQAPlanner approach. Through the use of qualitative survey and empirical evaluation, our results lead us to conclude that SQAPlanner is needed, effective, stable, and practically applicable. We also find that 80% of our survey respondents perceived that our visualization is more actionable. Thus, our SQAPlanner paves a way for novel research in actionable software analytics-i.e., generating actionable guidance on what should practitioners do and not do to decrease the risk of having defects to support SQA planning.
Implementing an expert system to evaluate technical solutions innovativeness
Ivanov, V. K., Obraztsov, I. V., Palyukh, B. V.
The paper presents a possible solution to the problem of algorithmization for quantifying inno-vativeness indicators of technical products, inventions and technologies. The concepts of technological nov-elty, relevance and implementability as components of product innovation criterion are introduced. Authors propose a model and algorithm to calculate every of these indicators of innovativeness under conditions of incompleteness and inaccuracy, and sometimes inconsistency of the initial information. The paper describes the developed specialized software that is a promising methodological tool for using interval estimations in accordance with the theory of evidence. These estimations are used in the analysis of complex multicomponent systems, aggregations of large volumes of fuzzy and incomplete data of various structures. Composition and structure of a multi-agent expert system are presented. The purpose of such system is to process groups of measurement results and to estimate indicators values of objects innovativeness. The paper defines active elements of the system, their functionality, roles, interaction order, input and output inter-faces, as well as the general software functioning algorithm. It describes implementation of software modules and gives an example of solving a specific problem to determine the level of technical products innovation.