We consider classification in the presence of class-dependent asymmetric label noise with unknown noise probabilities. In this setting, identifiability conditions are known, but additional assumptions were shown to be required for finite sample rates, and so far only the parametric rate has been obtained. Assuming these identifiability conditions, together with a measure-smoothness condition on the regression function and Tsybakov's margin condition, we show that the Robust kNN classifier of Gao et al. attains, the minimax optimal rates of the noise-free setting, up to a log factor, even when trained on data with unknown asymmetric label noise. Hence, our results provide a solid theoretical backing for this empirically successful algorithm. By contrast the standard kNN is not even consistent in the setting of asymmetric label noise. A key idea in our analysis is a simple kNN based method for estimating the maximum of a function that requires far less assumptions than existing mode estimators do, and which may be of independent interest for noise proportion estimation and randomised optimisation problems.

Recent work shows that gradient descent on linearly separable data is implicitly biased towards the maximum margin solution. However, no convergence rate which is tight in both n (the dataset size) and t (the training time) is given. This work proves that the normalized gradient descent iterates converge to the maximum margin solution at a rate of O(ln(n)/ ln(t)), which is tight in both n and t. The proof is via a dual convergence result: gradient descent induces a multiplicative weights update on the (normalized) SVM dual objective, whose convergence rate leads to the tight implicit bias rate.

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower bound on the desired integral to be approximated, e.g. marginal likelihood. The lower bound is then optimised with respect to its free parameters, the so called variational parameters. However, this is not always possible as for certain integrals it is very challenging (or tedious) to come up with a suitable lower bound. Here we propose a simple scheme that overcomes some of the awkward cases where the usual variational treatment becomes difficult. The scheme relies on a rewriting of the lower bound on the model log-likelihood. We demonstrate the proposed scheme on a number of synthetic and real examples, as well as on a real geophysical model for which the standard variational approaches are inapplicable.

We propose a novel algorithm for efficiently computing a sparse directed adjacency matrix from a group of time series following a causal graph process. Our solution is scalable for both dense and sparse graphs and automatically selects the LASSO coefficient to obtain an appropriate number of edges in the adjacency matrix. Current state-of-the-art approaches rely on sparse-matrix-computation libraries to scale, and either avoid automatic selection of the LASSO penalty coefficient or rely on the prediction mean squared error, which is not directly related to the correct number of edges. Instead, we propose a cyclical coordinate descent algorithm that employs two new non-parametric error metrics to automatically select the LASSO coefficient. We demonstrate state-of-the-art performance of our algorithm on simulated stochastic block models and a real dataset of stocks from the S\&P$500$.

With the continuous and vast increase in the amount of data in our digital world, it has been acknowledged that the number of knowledgeable data scientists can not scale to address these challenges. Thus, there was a crucial need for automating the process of building good machine learning models. In the last few years, several techniques and frameworks have been introduced to tackle the challenge of automating the process of Combined Algorithm Selection and Hyper-parameter tuning (CASH) in the machine learning domain. The main aim of these techniques is to reduce the role of the human in the loop and fill the gap for non-expert machine learning users by playing the role of the domain expert. In this paper, we present a comprehensive survey for the state-of-the-art efforts in tackling the CASH problem. In addition, we highlight the research work of automating the other steps of the full complex machine learning pipeline (AutoML) from data understanding till model deployment. Furthermore, we provide comprehensive coverage for the various tools and frameworks that have been introduced in this domain. Finally, we discuss some of the research directions and open challenges that need to be addressed in order to achieve the vision and goals of the AutoML process.

Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing humanity, and we, as machine learning experts, may wonder how we can help. Here we describe how machine learning can be a powerful tool in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and helping society adapt to a changing climate. From smart grids to disaster management, we identify high impact problems where existing gaps can be filled by machine learning, in collaboration with other fields. Our recommendations encompass exciting research questions as well as promising business opportunities. We call on the machine learning community to join the global effort against climate change.

Specifying utility functions is a key step towards applying the discrete choice framework for understanding the behaviour processes that govern user choices. However, identifying the utility function specifications that best model and explain the observed choices can be a very challenging and time-consuming task. This paper seeks to help modellers by leveraging the Bayesian framework and the concept of automatic relevance determination (ARD), in order to automatically determine an optimal utility function specification from an exponentially large set of possible specifications in a purely data-driven manner. Based on recent advances in approximate Bayesian inference, a doubly stochastic variational inference is developed, which allows the proposed DCM-ARD model to scale to very large and high-dimensional datasets. Using semi-artificial choice data, the proposed approach is shown to very accurately recover the true utility function specifications that govern the observed choices. Moreover, when applied to real choice data, DCM-ARD is shown to be able discover high quality specifications that can outperform previous ones from the literature according to multiple criteria, thereby demonstrating its practical applicability.

To save manual effort, developers often translate programs from one programming language to another, instead of implementing it from scratch. Translating application program interfaces (APIs) used in one language to functionally equivalent ones available in another language is an important aspect of program translation. Existing approaches facilitate the translation by automatically identifying the API mappings across programming languages. However, all these approaches still require large amount of manual effort in preparing parallel program corpora, ranging from pairs of APIs, to manually identified code in different languages that are considered as functionally equivalent. To minimize the manual effort in identifying parallel program corpora and API mappings, this paper aims at an automated approach to map APIs across languages with much less knowledge a priori needed than other existing approaches. The approach is based on an realization of the notion of domain adaption combined with code embedding, which can better align two vector spaces: taking as input large sets of programs, our approach first generates numeric vector representations of the programs, especially the APIs used in each language, and it adapts generative adversarial networks (GAN) to align the vectors from the spaces of two languages. For a better alignment, we initialize the GAN with parameters derived from optional API mapping seeds that can be identified accurately with a simple automatic signature-based matching heuristic. Then the cross-language API mappings can be identified via nearest-neighbors queries in the aligned vector spaces.

Most modern learning problems are highly overparameterized, meaning that there are many more parameters than the number of training data points, and as a result, the training loss may have infinitely many global minima (parameter vectors that perfectly interpolate the training data). Therefore, it is important to understand which interpolating solutions we converge to, how they depend on the initialization point and the learning algorithm, and whether they lead to different generalization performances. In this paper, we study these questions for the family of stochastic mirror descent (SMD) algorithms, of which the popular stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a special case. Our contributions are both theoretical and experimental. On the theory side, we show that in the overparameterized nonlinear setting, if the initialization is close enough to the manifold of global minima (something that comes for free in the highly overparameterized case), SMD with sufficiently small step size converges to a global minimum that is approximately the closest one in Bregman divergence. On the experimental side, our extensive experiments on standard datasets and models, using various initializations, various mirror descents, and various Bregman divergences, consistently confirms that this phenomenon happens in deep learning. Our experiments further indicate that there is a clear difference in the generalization performance of the solutions obtained by different SMD algorithms. Experimenting on a standard image dataset and network architecture with SMD with different kinds of implicit regularization, $\ell_1$ to encourage sparsity, $\ell_2$ yielding SGD, and $\ell_{10}$ to discourage large components in the parameter vector, consistently and definitively shows that $\ell_{10}$-SMD has better generalization performance than SGD, which in turn has better generalization performance than $\ell_1$-SMD.

Nonlinear state-space models are powerful tools to describe dynamical structures in complex time series. In a streaming setting where data are processed one sample at a time, simultaneously inferring the state and their nonlinear dynamics has posed significant challenges in practice. We develop a novel online learning framework, leveraging variational inference and sequential Monte Carlo, which enables flexible and accurate Bayesian joint filtering. Our method provides a filtering posterior arbitrarily close to the true filtering distribution for a wide class of dynamics models and observation models. Specifically, the proposed framework can efficiently infer a posterior over the dynamics using sparse Gaussian processes. Constant time complexity per sample makes our approach amenable to online learning scenarios and suitable for real-time applications.