Statistical Learning
Collaborative and Efficient Fine-tuning: Leveraging Task Similarity
Magakyan, Gagik, Reisizadeh, Amirhossein, Park, Chanwoo, Parrilo, Pablo A., Ozdaglar, Asuman
Adaptability has been regarded as a central feature in the foundation models, enabling them to effectively acclimate to unseen downstream tasks. Parameter-efficient fine-tuning methods such as celebrated LoRA facilitate efficient adaptation of large foundation models using labeled, high-quality and generally scarce task data. To mitigate data scarcity in fine-tuning of foundation models, we propose to leverage task similarity across multiple downstream users. Intuitively, users with similar tasks must be able to assist each other in boosting the effective fine-tuning data size. We propose Collaborative Low-Rank Adaptation, or CoLoRA, which exploits task similarity to collaboratively and efficiently fine-tune personalized foundation models. The main idea in CoLoRA is to train one shared adapter capturing underlying task similarities across all tasks, and personalized adapters tailored to user-specific tasks. We theoretically study CoLoRA on heterogeneous linear regression and provide provable guarantees for ground truth recovery. We also conduct several natural language experiments with varying task similarity, which further demonstrate that when trained together with similar tasks, individual performances are significantly boosted.
Gaussian Match-and-Copy: A Minimalist Benchmark for Studying Transformer Induction
Gonon, Antoine, Cordonnier, Alexandre, Boumal, Nicolas
Match-and-copy is a core retrieval primitive used at inference time by large language models to retrieve a matching token from the context then copy its successor. Yet, understanding how this behavior emerges on natural data is challenging because retrieval and memorization are entangled. To disentangle the two, we introduce Gaussian Match-and-Copy (GMC), a minimalist benchmark that isolates long-range retrieval through pure second-order correlation signals. Numerical investigations show that this task retains key qualitative aspects of how Transformers develop match-and-copy circuits in practice, and separates architectures by their retrieval capabilities. We also analyze the optimization dynamics in a simplified attention setting. Although many solutions are a priori possible under a regression objective, including ones that do not implement retrieval, we identify an implicit-bias regime in which gradient descent drives the parameters to diverge while their direction aligns with the max-margin separator, yielding hard match selection. We prove this max-margin alignment for GD trajectories that reach vanishing empirical loss under explicit technical conditions.
Conformal changepoint localization
We study the problem of offline changepoint localization in a distribution-free setting. One observes a vector of data with a single changepoint, assuming that the data before and after the changepoint are iid (or more generally exchangeable) from arbitrary and unknown distributions. The goal is to produce a finite-sample confidence set for the index at which the change occurs without making any other assumptions. Existing methods often rely on parametric assumptions, tail conditions, or asymptotic approximations, or only produce point estimates. In contrast, our distribution-free algorithm, CONformal CHangepoint localization (CONCH), only leverages exchangeability arguments to construct confidence sets with finite sample coverage. By proving a conformal Neyman-Pearson lemma, we derive principled score functions that yield informative (small) sets. Moreover, with such score functions, the normalized length of the confidence set shrinks to zero under weak assumptions. We also establish a universality result showing that any distribution-free changepoint localization method must be an instance of CONCH. Experiments suggest that CONCH delivers precise confidence sets even in challenging settings involving images or text.
Dichotomy of Feature Learning and Unlearning: Fast-Slow Analysis on Neural Networks with Stochastic Gradient Descent
Imai, Shota, Nishiyama, Sota, Imaizumi, Masaaki
The dynamics of gradient-based training in neural networks often exhibit nontrivial structures; hence, understanding them remains a central challenge in theoretical machine learning. In particular, a concept of feature unlearning, in which a neural network progressively loses previously learned features over long training, has gained attention. In this study, we consider the infinite-width limit of a two-layer neural network updated with a large-batch stochastic gradient, then derive differential equations with different time scales, revealing the mechanism and conditions for feature unlearning to occur. Specifically, we utilize the fast-slow dynamics: while an alignment of first-layer weights develops rapidly, the second-layer weights develop slowly. The direction of a flow on a critical manifold, determined by the slow dynamics, decides whether feature unlearning occurs. We give numerical validation of the result, and derive theoretical grounding and scaling laws of the feature unlearning. Our results yield the following insights: (i) the strength of the primary nonlinear term in data induces the feature unlearning, and (ii) an initial scale of the second-layer weights mitigates the feature unlearning.
Scalable spatial point process models for forensic footwear analysis
Manna, Alokesh, Spencer, Neil, Dey, Dipak K.
Shoe print evidence recovered from crime scenes plays a key role in forensic investigations. By examining shoe prints, investigators can determine details of the footwear worn by suspects. However, establishing that a suspect's shoes match the make and model of a crime scene print may not be sufficient. Typically, thousands of shoes of the same size, make, and model are manufactured, any of which could be responsible for the print. Accordingly, a popular approach used by investigators is to examine the print for signs of ``accidentals,'' i.e., cuts, scrapes, and other features that accumulate on shoe soles after purchase due to wear. While some patterns of accidentals are common on certain types of shoes, others are highly distinctive, potentially distinguishing the suspect's shoe from all others. Quantifying the rarity of a pattern is thus essential to accurately measuring the strength of forensic evidence. In this study, we address this task by developing a hierarchical Bayesian model. Our improvement over existing methods primarily stems from two advancements. First, we frame our approach in terms of a latent Gaussian model, thus enabling inference to be efficiently scaled to large collections of annotated shoe prints via integrated nested Laplace approximations. Second, we incorporate spatially varying coefficients to model the relationship between shoes' tread patterns and accidental locations. We demonstrate these improvements through superior performance on held-out data, which enhances accuracy and reliability in forensic shoe print analysis.
Stein-Rule Shrinkage for Stochastic Gradient Estimation in High Dimensions
Stochastic gradient methods are central to large-scale learning, but they treat mini-batch gradients as unbiased estimators, which classical decision theory shows are inadmissible in high dimensions. We formulate gradient computation as a high-dimensional estimation problem and introduce a framework based on Stein-rule shrinkage. We construct a gradient estimator that adaptively contracts noisy mini-batch gradients toward a stable estimator derived from historical momentum. The shrinkage intensity is determined in a data-driven manner using an online estimate of gradient noise variance, leveraging statistics from adaptive optimizers. Under a Gaussian noise model, we show our estimator uniformly dominates the standard stochastic gradient under squared error loss and is minimax-optimal. We incorporate this into the Adam optimizer, yielding SR-Adam, a practical algorithm with negligible computational cost. Empirical evaluations on CIFAR10 and CIFAR100 across multiple levels of input noise show consistent improvements over Adam in the large-batch regime. Ablation studies indicate that gains arise primarily from selectively applying shrinkage to high-dimensional convolutional layers, while indiscriminate shrinkage across all parameters degrades performance. These results illustrate that classical shrinkage principles provide a principled approach to improving stochastic gradient estimation in deep learning.
BFTS: Thompson Sampling with Bayesian Additive Regression Trees
Deng, Ruizhe, Chakraborty, Bibhas, Chen, Ran, Tan, Yan Shuo
Contextual bandits are a core technology for personalized mobile health interventions, where decision-making requires adapting to complex, non-linear user behaviors. While Thompson Sampling (TS) is a preferred strategy for these problems, its performance hinges on the quality of the underlying reward model. Standard linear models suffer from high bias, while neural network approaches are often brittle and difficult to tune in online settings. Conversely, tree ensembles dominate tabular data prediction but typically rely on heuristic uncertainty quantification, lacking a principled probabilistic basis for TS. We propose Bayesian Forest Thompson Sampling (BFTS), the first contextual bandit algorithm to integrate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), a fully probabilistic sum-of-trees model, directly into the exploration loop. We prove that BFTS is theoretically sound, deriving an information-theoretic Bayesian regret bound of $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{T})$. As a complementary result, we establish frequentist minimax optimality for a "feel-good" variant, confirming the structural suitability of BART priors for non-parametric bandits. Empirically, BFTS achieves state-of-the-art regret on tabular benchmarks with near-nominal uncertainty calibration. Furthermore, in an offline policy evaluation on the Drink Less micro-randomized trial, BFTS improves engagement rates by over 30% compared to the deployed policy, demonstrating its practical effectiveness for behavioral interventions.