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 Statistical Learning


JULIA: Joint Multi-linear and Nonlinear Identification for Tensor Completion

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Tensor completion aims at imputing missing entries from a partially observed tensor. Existing tensor completion methods often assume either multi-linear or nonlinear relationships between latent components. However, real-world tensors have much more complex patterns where both multi-linear and nonlinear relationships may coexist. In such cases, the existing methods are insufficient to describe the data structure. This paper proposes a Joint mUlti-linear and nonLinear IdentificAtion (JULIA) framework for large-scale tensor completion. JULIA unifies the multi-linear and nonlinear tensor completion models with several advantages over the existing methods: 1) Flexible model selection, i.e., it fits a tensor by assigning its values as a combination of multi-linear and nonlinear components; 2) Compatible with existing nonlinear tensor completion methods; 3) Efficient training based on a well-designed alternating optimization approach. Experiments on six real large-scale tensors demonstrate that JULIA outperforms many existing tensor completion algorithms. Furthermore, JULIA can improve the performance of a class of nonlinear tensor completion methods. The results show that in some large-scale tensor completion scenarios, baseline methods with JULIA are able to obtain up to 55% lower root mean-squared-error and save 67% computational complexity.


Agnostic Learnability of Halfspaces via Logistic Loss

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We investigate approximation guarantees provided by logistic regression for the fundamental problem of agnostic learning of homogeneous halfspaces. Previously, for a certain broad class of "well-behaved" distributions on the examples, Diakonikolas et al. (2020) proved an $\tilde{\Omega}(\textrm{OPT})$ lower bound, while Frei et al. (2021) proved an $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{\textrm{OPT}})$ upper bound, where $\textrm{OPT}$ denotes the best zero-one/misclassification risk of a homogeneous halfspace. In this paper, we close this gap by constructing a well-behaved distribution such that the global minimizer of the logistic risk over this distribution only achieves $\Omega(\sqrt{\textrm{OPT}})$ misclassification risk, matching the upper bound in (Frei et al., 2021). On the other hand, we also show that if we impose a radial-Lipschitzness condition in addition to well-behaved-ness on the distribution, logistic regression on a ball of bounded radius reaches $\tilde{O}(\textrm{OPT})$ misclassification risk. Our techniques also show for any well-behaved distribution, regardless of radial Lipschitzness, we can overcome the $\Omega(\sqrt{\textrm{OPT}})$ lower bound for logistic loss simply at the cost of one additional convex optimization step involving the hinge loss and attain $\tilde{O}(\textrm{OPT})$ misclassification risk. This two-step convex optimization algorithm is simpler than previous methods obtaining this guarantee, all of which require solving $O(\log(1/\textrm{OPT}))$ minimization problems.


A framework for bilevel optimization that enables stochastic and global variance reduction algorithms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Bilevel optimization, the problem of minimizing a value function which involves the arg-minimum of another function, appears in many areas of machine learning. In a large scale setting where the number of samples is huge, it is crucial to develop stochastic methods, which only use a few samples at a time to progress. However, computing the gradient of the value function involves solving a linear system, which makes it difficult to derive unbiased stochastic estimates. To overcome this problem we introduce a novel framework, in which the solution of the inner problem, the solution of the linear system, and the main variable evolve at the same time. These directions are written as a sum, making it straightforward to derive unbiased estimates. The simplicity of our approach allows us to develop global variance reduction algorithms, where the dynamics of all variables is subject to variance reduction. We demonstrate that SABA, an adaptation of the celebrated SAGA algorithm in our framework, has $O(\frac1T)$ convergence rate, and that it achieves linear convergence under Polyak-Lojasciewicz assumption. This is the first stochastic algorithm for bilevel optimization that verifies either of these properties. Numerical experiments validate the usefulness of our method.


Fluctuations, Bias, Variance & Ensemble of Learners: Exact Asymptotics for Convex Losses in High-Dimension

arXiv.org Machine Learning

From the sampling of data to the initialisation of parameters, randomness is ubiquitous in modern Machine Learning practice. Understanding the statistical fluctuations engendered by the different sources of randomness in prediction is therefore key to understanding robust generalisation. In this manuscript we develop a quantitative and rigorous theory for the study of fluctuations in an ensemble of generalised linear models trained on different, but correlated, features in high-dimensions. In particular, we provide a complete description of the asymptotic joint distribution of the empirical risk minimiser for generic convex loss and regularisation in the high-dimensional limit. Our result encompasses a rich set of classification and regression tasks, such as the lazy regime of overparametrised neural networks, or equivalently the random features approximation of kernels. While allowing to study directly the mitigating effect of ensembling (or bagging) on the bias-variance decomposition of the test error, our analysis also helps disentangle the contribution of statistical fluctuations, and the singular role played by the interpolation threshold that are at the roots of the "double-descent" phenomenon.


Robust supervised learning with coordinate gradient descent

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper considers the problem of supervised learning with linear methods when both features and labels can be corrupted, either in the form of heavy tailed data and/or corrupted rows. We introduce a combination of coordinate gradient descent as a learning algorithm together with robust estimators of the partial derivatives. This leads to robust statistical learning methods that have a numerical complexity nearly identical to non-robust ones based on empirical risk minimization. The main idea is simple: while robust learning with gradient descent requires the computational cost of robustly estimating the whole gradient to update all parameters, a parameter can be updated immediately using a robust estimator of a single partial derivative in coordinate gradient descent. We prove upper bounds on the generalization error of the algorithms derived from this idea, that control both the optimization and statistical errors with and without a strong convexity assumption of the risk. Finally, we propose an efficient implementation of this approach in a new python library called linlearn, and demonstrate through extensive numerical experiments that our approach introduces a new interesting compromise between robustness, statistical performance and numerical efficiency for this problem.


BEER: Fast $O(1/T)$ Rate for Decentralized Nonconvex Optimization with Communication Compression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Communication efficiency has been widely recognized as the bottleneck for large-scale decentralized machine learning applications in multi-agent or federated environments. To tackle the communication bottleneck, there have been many efforts to design communication-compressed algorithms for decentralized nonconvex optimization, where the clients are only allowed to communicate a small amount of quantized information (aka bits) with their neighbors over a predefined graph topology. Despite significant efforts, the state-of-the-art algorithm in the nonconvex setting still suffers from a slower rate of convergence $O((G/T)^{2/3})$ compared with their uncompressed counterpart, where $G$ measures the data heterogeneity across different clients, and $T$ is the number of communication rounds. This paper proposes BEER, which adopts communication compression with gradient tracking, and shows it converges at a faster rate of $O(1/T)$. This significantly improves over the state-of-the-art rate, by matching the rate without compression even under arbitrary data heterogeneity. Numerical experiments are also provided to corroborate our theory and confirm the practical superiority of BEER in the data heterogeneous regime.


Assessment of DeepONet for reliability analysis of stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Time dependent reliability analysis and uncertainty quantification of structural system subjected to stochastic forcing function is a challenging endeavour as it necessitates considerable computational time. We investigate the efficacy of recently proposed DeepONet in solving time dependent reliability analysis and uncertainty quantification of systems subjected to stochastic loading. Unlike conventional machine learning and deep learning algorithms, DeepONet learns is a operator network and learns a function to function mapping and hence, is ideally suited to propagate the uncertainty from the stochastic forcing function to the output responses. We use DeepONet to build a surrogate model for the dynamical system under consideration. Multiple case studies, involving both toy and benchmark problems, have been conducted to examine the efficacy of DeepONet in time dependent reliability analysis and uncertainty quantification of linear and nonlinear dynamical systems. Results obtained indicate that the DeepONet architecture is accurate as well as efficient. Moreover, DeepONet posses zero shot learning capabilities and hence, a trained model easily generalizes to unseen and new environment with no further training.


Continual Repeated Annealed Flow Transport Monte Carlo

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose Continual Repeated Annealed Flow Transport Monte Carlo (CRAFT), a method that combines a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) sampler (itself a generalization of Annealed Importance Sampling) with variational inference using normalizing flows. The normalizing flows are directly trained to transport between annealing temperatures using a KL divergence for each transition. This optimization objective is itself estimated using the normalizing flow/SMC approximation. We show conceptually and using multiple empirical examples that CRAFT improves on Annealed Flow Transport Monte Carlo (Arbel et al., 2021), on which it builds and also on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) based Stochastic Normalizing Flows (Wu et al., 2020). By incorporating CRAFT within particle MCMC, we show that such learnt samplers can achieve impressively accurate results on a challenging lattice field theory example.


Nystr\"om Kernel Mean Embeddings

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Kernel mean embeddings are a powerful tool to represent probability distributions over arbitrary spaces as single points in a Hilbert space. Yet, the cost of computing and storing such embeddings prohibits their direct use in large-scale settings. We propose an efficient approximation procedure based on the Nystr\"om method, which exploits a small random subset of the dataset. Our main result is an upper bound on the approximation error of this procedure. It yields sufficient conditions on the subsample size to obtain the standard $n^{-1/2}$ rate while reducing computational costs. We discuss applications of this result for the approximation of the maximum mean discrepancy and quadrature rules, and illustrate our theoretical findings with numerical experiments.


Provably Improving Expert Predictions with Conformal Prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Automated decision support systems promise to help human experts solve tasks more efficiently and accurately. However, existing systems typically require experts to understand when to cede agency to the system or when to exercise their own agency. Moreover, if the experts develop a misplaced trust in the system, their performance may worsen. In this work, we lift the above requirement and develop automated decision support systems that, by design, do not require experts to understand when to trust them to provably improve their performance. To this end, we focus on multiclass classification tasks and consider automated decision support systems that, for each data sample, use a classifier to recommend a subset of labels to a human expert. We first show that, by looking at the design of such systems from the perspective of conformal prediction, we can ensure that the probability that the recommended subset of labels contains the true label matches almost exactly a target probability value. Then, we identify the set of target probability values under which the human expert is provably better off predicting a label among those in the recommended subset and develop an efficient practical method to find a near-optimal target probability value. Experiments on synthetic and real data demonstrate that our system can help the experts make more accurate predictions and is robust to the accuracy of the classifier it relies on.