Statistical Learning
Application of machine learning to gas flaring
Currently in the petroleum industry, operators often flare the produced gas instead of commodifying it. The flaring magnitudes are large in some states, which constitute problems with energy waste and CO2 emissions. In North Dakota, operators are required to estimate and report the volume flared. The questions are, how good is the quality of this reporting, and what insights can be drawn from it? Apart from the company-reported statistics, which are available from the North Dakota Industrial Commission (NDIC), flared volumes can be estimated via satellite remote sensing, serving as an unbiased benchmark. Since interpretation of the Landsat 8 imagery is hindered by artifacts due to glow, the estimated volumes based on the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) are used. Reverse geocoding is performed for comparing and contrasting the NDIC and VIIRS data at different levels, such as county and oilfield. With all the data gathered and preprocessed, Bayesian learning implemented by MCMC methods is performed to address three problems: county level model development, flaring time series analytics, and distribution estimation. First, there is heterogeneity among the different counties, in the associations between the NDIC and VIIRS volumes. In light of such, models are developed for each county by exploiting hierarchical models. Second, the flaring time series, albeit noisy, contains information regarding trends and patterns, which provide some insights into operator approaches. Gaussian processes are found to be effective in many different pattern recognition scenarios. Third, distributional insights are obtained through unsupervised learning. The negative binomial and GMMs are found to effectively describe the oilfield flare count and flared volume distributions, respectively. Finally, a nearest-neighbor-based approach for operator level monitoring and analytics is introduced.
Towards Microstructural State Variables in Materials Systems
Sundararaghavan, Veera, Shah, Megna N., Simmons, Jeff P.
The vast combination of material properties seen in nature are achieved by the complexity of the material microstructure. Advanced characterization and physics based simulation techniques have led to generation of extremely large microstructural datasets. There is a need for machine learning techniques that can manage data complexity by capturing the maximal amount of information about the microstructure using the least number of variables. This paper aims to formulate dimensionality and state variable estimation techniques focused on reducing microstructural image data. It is shown that local dimensionality estimation based on nearest neighbors tend to give consistent dimension estimates for natural images for all p-Minkowski distances. However, it is found that dimensionality estimates have a systematic error for low-bit depth microstructural images. The use of Manhattan distance to alleviate this issue is demonstrated. It is also shown that stacked autoencoders can reconstruct the generator space of high dimensional microstructural data and provide a sparse set of state variables to fully describe the variability in material microstructures.
Interaction models for remaining useful life estimation
Zhevnenko, Dmitry, Kazantsev, Mikhail, Makarov, Ilya
The current methods rely on one approach to feature extraction in which the prediction occurs. We proposed a technique to build a scalable model that combines multiple different feature extractor blocks. A new model based on sequential sensor space analysis achieves state-of-the-art results on the C-MAPSS benchmark for equipment remaining useful life estimation. The resulting model performance was validated including the prediction changes with scaling.
Imbalanced Classification In Faulty Turbine Data: New Proximal Policy Optimization
Modirrousta, Mohammad Hossein, Shoorehdeli, Mahdi Aliyari, Yari, Mostafa, Ghahremani, Arash
There is growing importance to detecting faults and implementing the best methods in industrial and real-world systems. We are searching for the most trustworthy and practical data-based fault detection methods proposed by artificial intelligence applications. In this paper, we propose a framework for fault detection based on reinforcement learning and a policy known as proximal policy optimization. As a result of the lack of fault data, one of the significant problems with the traditional policy is its weakness in detecting fault classes, which was addressed by changing the cost function. Using modified Proximal Policy Optimization, we can increase performance, overcome data imbalance, and better predict future faults. When our modified policy is implemented, all evaluation metrics will increase by $3\%$ to $4\%$ as compared to the traditional policy in the first benchmark, between $20\%$ and $55\%$ in the second benchmark, and between $6\%$ and $14\%$ in the third benchmark, as well as an improvement in performance and prediction speed compared to previous methods.
Adapting to Skew: Imputing Spatiotemporal Urban Data with 3D Partial Convolutions and Biased Masking
We adapt image inpainting techniques to impute large, irregular missing regions in urban settings characterized by sparsity, variance in both space and time, and anomalous events. Missing regions in urban data can be caused by sensor or software failures, data quality issues, interference from weather events, incomplete data collection, or varying data use regulations; any missing data can render the entire dataset unusable for downstream applications. To ensure coverage and utility, we adapt computer vision techniques for image inpainting to operate on 3D histograms (2D space + 1D time) commonly used for data exchange in urban settings. Adapting these techniques to the spatiotemporal setting requires handling skew: urban data tend to follow population density patterns (small dense regions surrounded by large sparse areas); these patterns can dominate the learning process and fool the model into ignoring local or transient effects. To combat skew, we 1) train simultaneously in space and time, and 2) focus attention on dense regions by biasing the masks used for training to the skew in the data. We evaluate the core model and these two extensions using the NYC taxi data and the NYC bikeshare data, simulating different conditions for missing data. We show that the core model is effective qualitatively and quantitatively, and that biased masking during training reduces error in a variety of scenarios. We also articulate a tradeoff in varying the number of timesteps per training sample: too few timesteps and the model ignores transient events; too many timesteps and the model is slow to train with limited performance gain.
Fair Recommendation by Geometric Interpretation and Analysis of Matrix Factorization
Matrix factorization-based recommender system is in effect an angle preserving dimensionality reduction technique. Since the frequency of items follows power-law distribution, most vectors in the original dimension of user feature vectors and item feature vectors lie on the same hyperplane. However, it is very difficult to reconstruct the embeddings in the original dimension analytically, so we reformulate the original angle preserving dimensionality reduction problem into a distance preserving dimensionality reduction problem. We show that the geometric shape of input data of recommender system in its original higher dimension are distributed on co-centric circles with interesting properties, and design a paraboloid-based matrix factorization named ParaMat to solve the recommendation problem. In the experiment section, we compare our algorithm with 8 other algorithms and prove our new method is the most fair algorithm compared with modern day recommender systems such as ZeroMat and DotMat Hybrid.
User-Centered Security in Natural Language Processing
This dissertation proposes a framework of user-centered security in Natural Language Processing (NLP), and demonstrates how it can improve the accessibility of related research. Accordingly, it focuses on two security domains within NLP with great public interest. First, that of author profiling, which can be employed to compromise online privacy through invasive inferences. Without access and detailed insight into these models' predictions, there is no reasonable heuristic by which Internet users might defend themselves from such inferences. Secondly, that of cyberbullying detection, which by default presupposes a centralized implementation; i.e., content moderation across social platforms. As access to appropriate data is restricted, and the nature of the task rapidly evolves (both through lexical variation, and cultural shifts), the effectiveness of its classifiers is greatly diminished and thereby often misrepresented. Under the proposed framework, we predominantly investigate the use of adversarial attacks on language; i.e., changing a given input (generating adversarial samples) such that a given model does not function as intended. These attacks form a common thread between our user-centered security problems; they are highly relevant for privacy-preserving obfuscation methods against author profiling, and adversarial samples might also prove useful to assess the influence of lexical variation and augmentation on cyberbullying detection.
Toward a `Standard Model' of Machine Learning
Machine learning (ML) is about computational methods that enable machines to learn concepts from experience. In handling a wide variety of experience ranging from data instances, knowledge, constraints, to rewards, adversaries, and lifelong interaction in an ever-growing spectrum of tasks, contemporary ML/AI (artificial intelligence) research has resulted in a multitude of learning paradigms and methodologies. Despite the continual progresses on all different fronts, the disparate narrowly focused methods also make standardized, composable, and reusable development of ML approaches difficult, and preclude the opportunity to build AI agents that panoramically learn from all types of experience. This article presents a standardized ML formalism, in particular a `standard equation' of the learning objective, that offers a unifying understanding of many important ML algorithms in the supervised, unsupervised, knowledge-constrained, reinforcement, adversarial, and online learning paradigms, respectively -- those diverse algorithms are encompassed as special cases due to different choices of modeling components. The framework also provides guidance for mechanical design of new ML approaches and serves as a promising vehicle toward panoramic machine learning with all experience.
Towards High-Definition Maps: a Framework Leveraging Semantic Segmentation to Improve NDT Map Compression and Descriptivity
Manninen, Petri, Hyyti, Heikki, Kyrki, Ville, Maanpää, Jyri, Taher, Josef, Hyyppä, Juha
High-Definition (HD) maps are needed for robust navigation of autonomous vehicles, limited by the on-board storage capacity. To solve this, we propose a novel framework, Environment-Aware Normal Distributions Transform (EA-NDT), that significantly improves compression of standard NDT map representation. The compressed representation of EA-NDT is based on semantic-aided clustering of point clouds resulting in more optimal cells compared to grid cells of standard NDT. To evaluate EA-NDT, we present an open-source implementation that extracts planar and cylindrical primitive features from a point cloud and further divides them into smaller cells to represent the data as an EA-NDT HD map. We collected an open suburban environment dataset and evaluated EA-NDT HD map representation against the standard NDT representation. Compared to the standard NDT, EA-NDT achieved consistently at least 1.5x higher map compression while maintaining the same descriptive capability. Moreover, we showed that EA-NDT is capable of producing maps with significantly higher descriptivity score when using the same number of cells than the standard NDT.
ReVoLT: Relational Reasoning and Voronoi Local Graph Planning for Target-driven Navigation
Liu, Junjia, Guo, Jianfei, Meng, Zehui, Xue, Jingtao
Embodied AI is an inevitable trend that emphasizes the interaction between intelligent entities and the real world, with broad applications in Robotics, especially target-driven navigation. This task requires the robot to find an object of a certain category efficiently in an unknown domestic environment. Recent works focus on exploiting layout relationships by graph neural networks (GNNs). However, most of them obtain robot actions directly from observations in an end-to-end manner via an incomplete relation graph, which is not interpretable and reliable. We decouple this task and propose ReVoLT, a hierarchical framework: (a) an object detection visual front-end, (b) a high-level reasoner (infers semantic sub-goals), (c) an intermediate-level planner (computes geometrical positions), and (d) a low-level controller (executes actions). ReVoLT operates with a multi-layer semantic-spatial topological graph. The reasoner uses multiform structured relations as priors, which are obtained from combinatorial relation extraction networks composed of unsupervised GraphSAGE, GCN, and GraphRNN-based Region Rollout. The reasoner performs with Upper Confidence Bound for Tree (UCT) to infer semantic sub-goals, accounting for trade-offs between exploitation (depth-first searching) and exploration (regretting). The lightweight intermediate-level planner generates instantaneous spatial sub-goal locations via an online constructed Voronoi local graph. The simulation experiments demonstrate that our framework achieves better performance in the target-driven navigation tasks and generalizes well, which has an 80% improvement compared to the existing state-of-the-art method. The code and result video will be released at https://ventusff.github.io/ReVoLT-website/.