Imagine you want to know what kind of toy a new toy is, but you don't know what it is. You could ask your friends who have a lot of toys what they think it is. You would pick the toys that look most like the new toy and ask your friends what they think it is. Whatever most of your friends say the toy is, that's probably what it is. That's like how k-nearest neighbors works, it looks at the things that are most similar to the thing you want to know about and figures out what it is.

Black-box optimization (BBO) algorithms are concerned with finding the best solutions for problems with missing analytical details. Most classical methods for such problems are based on strong and fixed a priori assumptions, such as Gaussianity. However, the complex real-world problems, especially when the global optimum is desired, could be very far from the a priori assumptions because of their diversities, causing unexpected obstacles. In this study, we propose a generative adversarial net-based broad-spectrum global optimizer (OPT-GAN) which estimates the distribution of optimum gradually, with strategies to balance exploration-exploitation trade-off. It has potential to better adapt to the regularity and structure of diversified landscapes than other methods with fixed prior, e.g., Gaussian assumption or separability. Experiments on diverse BBO benchmarks and high dimensional real world applications exhibit that OPT-GAN outperforms other traditional and neural net-based BBO algorithms.

We present a data-driven modeling and control framework for physics-based building emulators. Our approach comprises: (a) Offline training of differentiable surrogate models that speed up model evaluations, provide cheap gradients, and have good predictive accuracy for the receding horizon in Model Predictive Control (MPC) and (b) Formulating and solving nonlinear building HVAC MPC problems. We extensively verify the modeling and control performance using multiple surrogate models and optimization frameworks for different available test cases in the Building Optimization Testing Framework (BOPTEST). The framework is compatible with other modeling techniques and customizable with different control formulations. The modularity makes the approach future-proof for test cases currently in development for physics-based building emulators and provides a path toward prototyping predictive controllers in large buildings.

Pairs of similar compounds that only differ by a small structural modification but exhibit a large difference in their binding affinity for a given target are known as activity cliffs (ACs). It has been hypothesised that quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models struggle to predict ACs and that ACs thus form a major source of prediction error. However, a study to explore the AC-prediction power of modern QSAR methods and its relationship to general QSAR-prediction performance is lacking. We systematically construct nine distinct QSAR models by combining three molecular representation methods (extended-connectivity fingerprints, physicochemical-descriptor vectors and graph isomorphism networks) with three regression techniques (random forests, k-nearest neighbours and multilayer perceptrons); we then use each resulting model to classify pairs of similar compounds as ACs or non-ACs and to predict the activities of individual molecules in three case studies: dopamine receptor D2, factor Xa, and SARS-CoV-2 main protease. We observe low AC-sensitivity amongst the tested models when the activities of both compounds are unknown, but a substantial increase in AC-sensitivity when the actual activity of one of the compounds is given. Graph isomorphism features are found to be competitive with or superior to classical molecular representations for AC-classification and can thus be employed as baseline AC-prediction models or simple compound-optimisation tools. For general QSAR-prediction, however, extended-connectivity fingerprints still consistently deliver the best performance. Our results provide strong support for the hypothesis that indeed QSAR methods frequently fail to predict ACs. We propose twin-network training for deep learning models as a potential future pathway to increase AC-sensitivity and thus overall QSAR performance.

Accurately clustering high-dimensional measurements is vital for adequately analyzing scientific data. Deep learning machinery has remarkably improved clustering capabilities in recent years due to its ability to extract meaningful representations. In this work, we are given unlabeled samples from multiple source domains, and we aim to learn a shared classifier that assigns the examples to various clusters. Evaluation is done by using the classifier for predicting cluster assignments in a previously unseen domain. This setting generalizes the problem of unsupervised domain generalization to the case in which no supervised learning samples are given (completely unsupervised). Towards this goal, we present an end-to-end model and evaluate its capabilities on several multi-domain image datasets. Specifically, we demonstrate that our model is more accurate than schemes that require fine-tuning using samples from the target domain or some level of supervision.

Sparseness and robustness are two important properties for many machine learning scenarios. In the present study, regarding the maximum correntropy criterion (MCC) based robust regression algorithm, we investigate to integrate the MCC method with the automatic relevance determination (ARD) technique in a Bayesian framework, so that MCC-based robust regression could be implemented with adaptive sparseness. To be specific, we use an inherent noise assumption from the MCC to derive an explicit likelihood function, and realize the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation with the ARD prior by variational Bayesian inference. Compared to the existing robust and sparse L1-regularized MCC regression, the proposed MCC-ARD regression can eradicate the troublesome tuning for the regularization hyper-parameter which controls the regularization strength. Further, MCC-ARD achieves superior prediction performance and feature selection capability than L1-regularized MCC, as demonstrated by a noisy and high-dimensional simulation study.

Antenna array calibration is necessary to maintain the high fidelity of beam patterns across a wide range of advanced antenna systems and to ensure channel reciprocity in time division duplexing schemes. Despite the continuous development in this area, most existing solutions are optimised for specific radio architectures, require standardised over-the-air data transmission, or serve as extensions of conventional methods. The diversity of communication protocols and hardware creates a problematic case, since this diversity requires to design or update the calibration procedures for each new advanced antenna system. In this study, we formulate antenna calibration in an alternative way, namely as a task of functional approximation, and address it via Bayesian machine learning. Our contributions are three-fold. Firstly, we define a parameter space, based on near-field measurements, that captures the underlying hardware impairments corresponding to each radiating element, their positional offsets, as well as the mutual coupling effects between antenna elements. Secondly, Gaussian process regression is used to form models from a sparse set of the aforementioned near-field data. Once deployed, the learned non-parametric models effectively serve to continuously transform the beamforming weights of the system, resulting in corrected beam patterns. Lastly, we demonstrate the viability of the described methodology for both digital and analog beamforming antenna arrays of different scales and discuss its further extension to support real-time operation with dynamic hardware impairments.

In the last decades, due to the huge technological growth observed, it has become increasingly common that a collection of temporal data rapidly accumulates in vast amounts. This provides an opportunity for extracting valuable information through the estimation of increasingly precise models. But at the same time it imposes the challenge of continuously updating the models as new data become available. Currently available methods for addressing this problem, the so-called online learning methods, use current parameter estimations and novel data to update the estimators. These approaches avoid using the full raw data and speeding up the computations. In this work we consider three online learning algorithms for parameters estimation in the context of time series models. In particular, the methods implemented are: gradient descent, Newton-step and Kalman filter recursions. These algorithms are applied to the recently developed irregularly observed autoregressive (iAR) model. The estimation accuracy of the proposed methods is assessed by means of Monte Carlo experiments. The results obtained show that the proposed online estimation methods allow for a precise estimation of the parameters that generate the data both for the regularly and irregularly observed time series. These online approaches are numerically efficient, allowing substantial computational time savings. Moreover, we show that the proposed methods are able to adapt the parameter estimates quickly when the time series behavior changes, unlike batch estimation methods.

Tensor networks, which have been traditionally used to simulate many-body physics, have recently gained significant attention in the field of machine learning due to their powerful representation capabilities. In this work, we propose a density-based clustering algorithm inspired by tensor networks. We encode classical data into tensor network states on an extended Hilbert space and train the tensor network states to capture the features of the clusters. Here, we define density and related concepts in terms of fidelity, rather than using a classical distance measure. We evaluate the performance of our algorithm on six synthetic data sets, four real world data sets, and three commonly used computer vision data sets. The results demonstrate that our method provides state-of-the-art performance on several synthetic data sets and real world data sets, even when the number of clusters is unknown. Additionally, our algorithm performs competitively with state-of-the-art algorithms on the MNIST, USPS, and Fashion-MNIST image data sets. These findings reveal the great potential of tensor networks for machine learning applications.

We propose a novel supervised learning approach for political ideology prediction (PIP) that is capable of predicting out-of-distribution inputs. This problem is motivated by the fact that manual data-labeling is expensive, while self-reported labels are often scarce and exhibit significant selection bias. We propose a novel statistical model that decomposes the document embeddings into a linear superposition of two vectors; a latent neutral \emph{context} vector independent of ideology, and a latent \emph{position} vector aligned with ideology. We train an end-to-end model that has intermediate contextual and positional vectors as outputs. At deployment time, our model predicts labels for input documents by exclusively leveraging the predicted positional vectors. On two benchmark datasets we show that our model is capable of outputting predictions even when trained with as little as 5\% biased data, and is significantly more accurate than the state-of-the-art. Through crowd-sourcing we validate the neutrality of contextual vectors, and show that context filtering results in ideological concentration, allowing for prediction on out-of-distribution examples.