Statistical Learning
A spectrum of physics-informed Gaussian processes for regression in engineering
Cross, Elizabeth J, Rogers, Timothy J, Pitchforth, Daniel J, Gibson, Samuel J, Jones, Matthew R
Despite the growing availability of sensing and data in general, we remain unable to fully characterise many in-service engineering systems and structures from a purely data-driven approach. The vast data and resources available to capture human activity are unmatched in our engineered world, and, even in cases where data could be referred to as ``big,'' they will rarely hold information across operational windows or life spans. This paper pursues the combination of machine learning technology and physics-based reasoning to enhance our ability to make predictive models with limited data. By explicitly linking the physics-based view of stochastic processes with a data-based regression approach, a spectrum of possible Gaussian process models are introduced that enable the incorporation of different levels of expert knowledge of a system. Examples illustrate how these approaches can significantly reduce reliance on data collection whilst also increasing the interpretability of the model, another important consideration in this context.
A Dynamic Linear Bias Incorporation Scheme for Nonnegative Latent Factor Analysis
Zhong, Yurong, Xie, Zhe, Li, Weiling, Luo, Xin
High-Dimensional and Incomplete (HDI) data is commonly encountered in big data-related applications like social network services systems, which are concerning the limited interactions among numerous nodes. Knowledge acquisition from HDI data is a vital issue in the domain of data science due to their embedded rich patterns like node behaviors, where the fundamental task is to perform HDI data representation learning. Nonnegative Latent Factor Analysis (NLFA) models have proven to possess the superiority to address this issue, where a linear bias incorporation (LBI) scheme is important in present the training overshooting and fluctuation, as well as preventing the model from premature convergence. However, existing LBI schemes are all statistic ones where the linear biases are fixed, which significantly restricts the scalability of the resultant NLFA model and results in loss of representation learning ability to HDI data. Motivated by the above discoveries, this paper innovatively presents the dynamic linear bias incorporation (DLBI) scheme. It firstly extends the linear bias vectors into matrices, and then builds a binary weight matrix to switch the active/inactive states of the linear biases. The weight matrix's each entry switches between the binary states dynamically corresponding to the linear bias value variation, thereby establishing the dynamic linear biases for an NLFA model. Empirical studies on three HDI datasets from real applications demonstrate that the proposed DLBI-based NLFA model obtains higher representation accuracy several than state-of-the-art models do, as well as highly-competitive computational efficiency.
Asteroids co-orbital motion classification based on Machine Learning
Ciacci, Giulia, Barucci, Andrea, Di Ruzza, Sara, Alessi, Elisa Maria
In this work, we explore how to classify asteroids in co-orbital motion with a given planet using Machine Learning. We consider four different kinds of motion in mean motion resonance with the planet, nominally Tadpole, Horseshoe and Quasi-satellite, building 3 datasets defined as Real (taking the ephemerides of real asteroids from the JPL Horizons system), Ideal and Perturbed (both simulated, obtained by propagating initial conditions considering two different dynamical systems) for training and testing the Machine Learning algorithms in different conditions. The time series of the variable theta (angle related to the resonance) are studied with a data analysis pipeline defined ad hoc for the problem and composed by: data creation and annotation, time series features extraction thanks to the tsfresh package (potentially followed by selection and standardization) and the application of Machine Learning algorithms for Dimensionality Reduction and Classification. Such approach, based on features extracted from the time series, allows to work with a smaller number of data with respect to Deep Learning algorithms, also allowing to define a ranking of the importance of the features. Physical Interpretability of the features is another key point of this approach. In addition, we introduce the SHapley Additive exPlanations for Explainability technique. Different training and test sets are used, in order to understand the power and the limits of our approach. The results show how the algorithms are able to identify and classify correctly the time series, with a high degree of performance.
OpenMSD: Towards Multilingual Scientific Documents Similarity Measurement
Gao, Yang, Ma, Ji, Korotkov, Ivan, Hall, Keith, Alon, Dana, Metzler, Don
We develop and evaluate multilingual scientific documents similarity measurement models in this work. Such models can be used to find related works in different languages, which can help multilingual researchers find and explore papers more efficiently. We propose the first multilingual scientific documents dataset, Open-access Multilingual Scientific Documents (OpenMSD), which has 74M papers in 103 languages and 778M citation pairs. With OpenMSD, we pretrain science-specialized language models, and explore different strategies to derive "related" paper pairs to fine-tune the models, including using a mixture of citation, co-citation, and bibliographic-coupling pairs. To further improve the models' performance for non-English papers, we explore the use of generative language models to enrich the non-English papers with English summaries. This allows us to leverage the models' English capabilities to create better representations for non-English papers. Our best model significantly outperforms strong baselines by 7-16% (in mean average precision).
LiDAR-Generated Images Derived Keypoints Assisted Point Cloud Registration Scheme in Odometry Estimation
Zhang, Haizhou, Yu, Xianjia, Ha, Sier, Westerlund, Tomi
Keypoint detection and description play a pivotal role in various robotics and autonomous applications including visual odometry (VO), visual navigation, and Simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM). While a myriad of keypoint detectors and descriptors have been extensively studied in conventional camera images, the effectiveness of these techniques in the context of LiDAR-generated images, i.e. reflectivity and ranges images, has not been assessed. These images have gained attention due to their resilience in adverse conditions such as rain or fog. Additionally, they contain significant textural information that supplements the geometric information provided by LiDAR point clouds in the point cloud registration phase, especially when reliant solely on LiDAR sensors. This addresses the challenge of drift encountered in LiDAR Odometry (LO) within geometrically identical scenarios or where not all the raw point cloud is informative and may even be misleading. This paper aims to analyze the applicability of conventional image key point extractors and descriptors on LiDAR-generated images via a comprehensive quantitative investigation. Moreover, we propose a novel approach to enhance the robustness and reliability of LO. After extracting key points, we proceed to downsample the point cloud, subsequently integrating it into the point cloud registration phase for the purpose of odometry estimation. Our experiment demonstrates that the proposed approach has comparable accuracy but reduced computational overhead, higher odometry publishing rate, and even superior performance in scenarios prone to drift by using the raw point cloud. This, in turn, lays a foundation for subsequent investigations into the integration of LiDAR-generated images with LO. Our code is available on GitHub: https://github.com/TIERS/ws-lidar-as-camera-odom.
Unsupervised Learning via Network-Aware Embeddings
Damstrup, Anne Sophie Riis, Madsen, Sofie Tosti, Coscia, Michele
Data clustering, the task of grouping observations according to their similarity, is a key component of unsupervised learning - with real world applications in diverse fields such as biology, medicine, and social science. Often in these fields the data comes with complex interdependencies between the dimensions of analysis, for instance the various characteristics and opinions people can have live on a complex social network. Current clustering methods are ill-suited to tackle this complexity: deep learning can approximate these dependencies, but not take their explicit map as the input of the analysis. In this paper, we aim at fixing this blind spot in the unsupervised learning literature. We can create network-aware embeddings by estimating the network distance between numeric node attributes via the generalized Euclidean distance. Differently from all methods in the literature that we know of, we do not cluster the nodes of the network, but rather its node attributes. In our experiments we show that having these network embeddings is always beneficial for the learning task; that our method scales to large networks; and that we can actually provide actionable insights in applications in a variety of fields such as marketing, economics, and political science. Our method is fully open source and data and code are available to reproduce all results in the paper. Finding patterns in unlabeled data - a task known as unsupervised learning - is useful when we need to build understanding from data Hastie et al. (2009). Unsupervised learning includes grouping observations into clusters according to some criterion represented by a quality or loss function Gan et al. (2020) - data clustering. Applications range from grouping of genes with related expression patterns in biology Ranade et al. (2001), finding patterns in tissue images in medicine Filipovych et al. (2011), or segment customers for marketing purposes. Popular data clustering algorithms include DBSCAN Ester et al. (1996), OPTICS Ankerst et al. (1999), k-Means, and more. Modern data clustering approaches rely on deep learning and specifically deep neural networks Aljalbout et al. (2018); Aggarwal et al. (2018); Pang et al. (2021); Ezugwu et al. (2022), or denoising with autoencoders Nawaz et al. (2022); Cai et al. (2022). However, these approaches work in (deformations of) Euclidean spaces - where dependencies between the dimensions of the analysis can be learned Mahalanobis (1936); Xie et al. (2016) -, but the problem to be tackled here is fundamentally non-Euclidean Bronstein et al. (2017). Graph Neural Networks (GNN) Scarselli et al. (2008); Wu et al. (2022); Zhou et al. (2020a) work in non-Euclidean settings, and they are the focus of this paper.
Metastatic Breast Cancer Prognostication Through Multimodal Integration of Dimensionality Reduction Algorithms and Classification Algorithms
Machine learning (ML) is a branch of Artificial Intelligence (AI) where computers analyze data and find patterns in the data. The study focuses on the detection of metastatic cancer using ML. Metastatic cancer is the point where the cancer has spread to other parts of the body and is the cause of approximately 90% of cancer related deaths. Normally, pathologists spend hours each day to manually classify whether tumors are benign or malignant. This tedious task contributes to mislabeling metastasis being over 60% of time and emphasizes the importance to be aware of human error, and other inefficiencies. ML is a good candidate to improve the correct identification of metastatic cancer saving thousands of lives and can also improve the speed and efficiency of the process thereby taking less resources and time. So far, deep learning methodology of AI has been used in the research to detect cancer. This study is a novel approach to determine the potential of using preprocessing algorithms combined with classification algorithms in detecting metastatic cancer. The study used two preprocessing algorithms: principal component analysis (PCA) and the genetic algorithm to reduce the dimensionality of the dataset, and then used three classification algorithms: logistic regression, decision tree classifier, and k-nearest neighbors to detect metastatic cancer in the pathology scans. The highest accuracy of 71.14% was produced by the ML pipeline comprising of PCA, the genetic algorithm, and the k-nearest neighbors algorithm, suggesting that preprocessing and classification algorithms have great potential for detecting metastatic cancer.
Harnessing Collective Intelligence Under a Lack of Cultural Consensus
Gürkan, Necdet, Suchow, Jordan W.
Harnessing collective intelligence to drive effective decision-making and collaboration benefits from the ability to detect and characterize heterogeneity in consensus beliefs. This is particularly true in domains such as technology acceptance or leadership perception, where a consensus defines an intersubjective truth, leading to the possibility of multiple "ground truths" when subsets of respondents sustain mutually incompatible consensuses. Cultural Consensus Theory (CCT) provides a statistical framework for detecting and characterizing these divergent consensus beliefs. However, it is unworkable in modern applications because it lacks the ability to generalize across even highly similar beliefs, is ineffective with sparse data, and can leverage neither external knowledge bases nor learned machine representations. Here, we overcome these limitations through Infinite Deep Latent Construct Cultural Consensus Theory (iDLC-CCT), a nonparametric Bayesian model that extends CCT with a latent construct that maps between pretrained deep neural network embeddings of entities and the consensus beliefs regarding those entities among one or more subsets of respondents. We validate the method across domains including perceptions of risk sources, food healthiness, leadership, first impressions, and humor. We find that iDLC-CCT better predicts the degree of consensus, generalizes well to out-of-sample entities, and is effective even with sparse data. To improve scalability, we introduce an efficient hard-clustering variant of the iDLC-CCT using an algorithm derived from a small-variance asymptotic analysis of the model. The iDLC-CCT, therefore, provides a workable computational foundation for harnessing collective intelligence under a lack of cultural consensus and may potentially form the basis of consensus-aware information technologies.
A performance characteristic curve for model evaluation: the application in information diffusion prediction
Xie, Wenjin, Wang, Xiaomeng, Michalski, Radosław, Jia, Tao
The information diffusion prediction on social networks aims to predict future recipients of a message, with practical applications in marketing and social media. While different prediction models all claim to perform well, general frameworks for performance evaluation remain limited. Here, we aim to identify a performance characteristic curve for a model, which captures its performance on tasks of different complexity. We propose a metric based on information entropy to quantify the randomness in diffusion data, then identify a scaling pattern between the randomness and the prediction accuracy of the model. Data points in the patterns by different sequence lengths, system sizes, and randomness all collapse into a single curve, capturing a model's inherent capability of making correct predictions against increased uncertainty. Given that this curve has such important properties that it can be used to evaluate the model, we define it as the performance characteristic curve of the model. The validity of the curve is tested by three prediction models in the same family, reaching conclusions in line with existing studies. Also, the curve is successfully applied to evaluate two distinct models from the literature. Our work reveals a pattern underlying the data randomness and prediction accuracy. The performance characteristic curve provides a new way to systematically evaluate models' performance, and sheds light on future studies on other frameworks for model evaluation.
GenDOM: Generalizable One-shot Deformable Object Manipulation with Parameter-Aware Policy
Kuroki, So, Guo, Jiaxian, Matsushima, Tatsuya, Okubo, Takuya, Kobayashi, Masato, Ikeda, Yuya, Takanami, Ryosuke, Yoo, Paul, Matsuo, Yutaka, Iwasawa, Yusuke
Due to the inherent uncertainty in their deformability during motion, previous methods in deformable object manipulation, such as rope and cloth, often required hundreds of real-world demonstrations to train a manipulation policy for each object, which hinders their applications in our ever-changing world. To address this issue, we introduce GenDOM, a framework that allows the manipulation policy to handle different deformable objects with only a single real-world demonstration. To achieve this, we augment the policy by conditioning it on deformable object parameters and training it with a diverse range of simulated deformable objects so that the policy can adjust actions based on different object parameters. At the time of inference, given a new object, GenDOM can estimate the deformable object parameters with only a single real-world demonstration by minimizing the disparity between the grid density of point clouds of real-world demonstrations and simulations in a differentiable physics simulator. Empirical validations on both simulated and real-world object manipulation setups clearly show that our method can manipulate different objects with a single demonstration and significantly outperforms the baseline in both environments (a 62% improvement for in-domain ropes and a 15% improvement for out-of-distribution ropes in simulation, as well as a 26% improvement for ropes and a 50% improvement for cloths in the real world), demonstrating the effectiveness of our approach in one-shot deformable object manipulation.