Statistical Learning
How to Forget Clients in Federated Online Learning to Rank?
Wang, Shuyi, Liu, Bing, Zuccon, Guido
Data protection legislation like the European Union's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) establishes the \textit{right to be forgotten}: a user (client) can request contributions made using their data to be removed from learned models. In this paper, we study how to remove the contributions made by a client participating in a Federated Online Learning to Rank (FOLTR) system. In a FOLTR system, a ranker is learned by aggregating local updates to the global ranking model. Local updates are learned in an online manner at a client-level using queries and implicit interactions that have occurred within that specific client. By doing so, each client's local data is not shared with other clients or with a centralised search service, while at the same time clients can benefit from an effective global ranking model learned from contributions of each client in the federation. In this paper, we study an effective and efficient unlearning method that can remove a client's contribution without compromising the overall ranker effectiveness and without needing to retrain the global ranker from scratch. A key challenge is how to measure whether the model has unlearned the contributions from the client $c^*$ that has requested removal. For this, we instruct $c^*$ to perform a poisoning attack (add noise to this client updates) and then we measure whether the impact of the attack is lessened when the unlearning process has taken place. Through experiments on four datasets, we demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the unlearning strategy under different combinations of parameter settings.
Lessons on Datasets and Paradigms in Machine Learning for Symbolic Computation: A Case Study on CAD
del Rรญo, Tereso, England, Matthew
Symbolic Computation algorithms and their implementation in computer algebra systems often contain choices which do not affect the correctness of the output but can significantly impact the resources required: such choices can benefit from having them made separately for each problem via a machine learning model. This study reports lessons on such use of machine learning in symbolic computation, in particular on the importance of analysing datasets prior to machine learning and on the different machine learning paradigms that may be utilised. We present results for a particular case study, the selection of variable ordering for cylindrical algebraic decomposition, but expect that the lessons learned are applicable to other decisions in symbolic computation. We utilise an existing dataset of examples derived from applications which was found to be imbalanced with respect to the variable ordering decision. We introduce an augmentation technique for polynomial systems problems that allows us to balance and further augment the dataset, improving the machine learning results by 28\% and 38\% on average, respectively. We then demonstrate how the existing machine learning methodology used for the problem $-$ classification $-$ might be recast into the regression paradigm. While this does not have a radical change on the performance, it does widen the scope in which the methodology can be applied to make choices.
Explainable Bayesian Optimization
Chakraborty, Tanmay, Seifert, Christin, Wirth, Christian
In industry, Bayesian optimization (BO) is widely applied in the human-AI collaborative parameter tuning of cyber-physical systems. However, BO's solutions may deviate from human experts' actual goal due to approximation errors and simplified objectives, requiring subsequent tuning. The black-box nature of BO limits the collaborative tuning process because the expert does not trust the BO recommendations. Current explainable AI (XAI) methods are not tailored for optimization and thus fall short of addressing this gap. To bridge this gap, we propose TNTRules (TUNE-NOTUNE Rules), a post-hoc, rule-based explainability method that produces high quality explanations through multiobjective optimization. Our evaluation of benchmark optimization problems and real-world hyperparameter optimization tasks demonstrates TNTRules' superiority over state-of-the-art XAI methods in generating high quality explanations. This work contributes to the intersection of BO and XAI, providing interpretable optimization techniques for real-world applications.
Generating Synthetic Health Sensor Data for Privacy-Preserving Wearable Stress Detection
Lange, Lucas, Wenzlitschke, Nils, Rahm, Erhard
Smartwatch health sensor data is increasingly utilized in smart health applications and patient monitoring, including stress detection. However, such medical data often comprises sensitive personal information and is resource-intensive to acquire for research purposes. In response to this challenge, we introduce the privacy-aware synthetization of multi-sensor smartwatch health readings related to moments of stress. Our method involves the generation of synthetic sequence data through Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), coupled with the implementation of Differential Privacy (DP) safeguards for protecting patient information during model training. To ensure the integrity of our synthetic data, we employ a range of quality assessments and monitor the plausibility between synthetic and original data. To test the usefulness, we create private machine learning models on a commonly used, albeit small, stress detection dataset, exploring strategies for enhancing the existing data foundation with our synthetic data. Through our GAN-based augmentation methods, we observe improvements in model performance, both in non-private (0.45% F1) and private (11.90-15.48% F1) training scenarios. We underline the potential of differentially private synthetic data in optimizing utility-privacy trade-offs, especially with limited availability of real training samples.
How to Collaborate: Towards Maximizing the Generalization Performance in Cross-Silo Federated Learning
Sun, Yuchang, Kountouris, Marios, Zhang, Jun
Federated learning (FL) has attracted vivid attention as a privacy-preserving distributed learning framework. In this work, we focus on cross-silo FL, where clients become the model owners after training and are only concerned about the model's generalization performance on their local data. Due to the data heterogeneity issue, asking all the clients to join a single FL training process may result in model performance degradation. To investigate the effectiveness of collaboration, we first derive a generalization bound for each client when collaborating with others or when training independently. We show that the generalization performance of a client can be improved only by collaborating with other clients that have more training data and similar data distribution. Our analysis allows us to formulate a client utility maximization problem by partitioning clients into multiple collaborating groups. A hierarchical clustering-based collaborative training (HCCT) scheme is then proposed, which does not need to fix in advance the number of groups. We further analyze the convergence of HCCT for general non-convex loss functions which unveils the effect of data similarity among clients. Extensive simulations show that HCCT achieves better generalization performance than baseline schemes, whereas it degenerates to independent training and conventional FL in specific scenarios.
Energy-based Automated Model Evaluation
Peng, Ru, Zou, Heming, Wang, Haobo, Zeng, Yawen, Huang, Zenan, Zhao, Junbo
The conventional evaluation protocols on machine learning models rely heavily on a labeled, i.i.d-assumed testing dataset, which is not often present in real-world applications. The Automated Model Evaluation (AutoEval) shows an alternative to this traditional workflow, by forming a proximal prediction pipeline of the testing performance without the presence of ground-truth labels. Despite its recent successes, the AutoEval frameworks still suffer from an overconfidence issue, substantial storage and computational cost. In that regard, we propose a novel measure -- Meta-Distribution Energy (MDE) that allows the AutoEval framework to be both more efficient and effective. The core of the MDE is to establish a meta-distribution statistic, on the information (energy) associated with individual samples, then offer a smoother representation enabled by energy-based learning. We further provide our theoretical insights by connecting the MDE with the classification loss. We provide extensive experiments across modalities, datasets and different architectural backbones to validate MDE's validity, together with its superiority compared with prior approaches. We also prove MDE's versatility by showing its seamless integration with large-scale models, and easy adaption to learning scenarios with noisy-or imbalanced-labels. Model evaluation grows critical in research and practice along with the tremendous advances of machine learning techniques. To do that, the standard evaluation is to evaluate a model on a pre-split test set that is i)-fully labeled; ii)-drawn i.i.d. However, this conventional way may fail in real-world scenarios, where there often encounter distribution shifts and the absence of ground-truth labels. In those environments with distribution shifts, the performance of a trained model may vary significantly (Quinonero-Candela et al., 2008; Koh et al., 2021b), thereby limiting in-distribution accuracy as a weak indicator of the model's generalization performance. Moreover, traditional cross-validation (Arlot & Celisse, 2010) and annotating samples are both laborious tasks, rendering it impractical to split or label every test set in the wild.
The Joint Effect of Task Similarity and Overparameterization on Catastrophic Forgetting -- An Analytical Model
Goldfarb, Daniel, Evron, Itay, Weinberger, Nir, Soudry, Daniel, Hand, Paul
In continual learning, catastrophic forgetting is affected by multiple aspects of the tasks. Previous works have analyzed separately how forgetting is affected by either task similarity or overparameterization. In contrast, our paper examines how task similarity and overparameterization jointly affect forgetting in an analyzable model. Specifically, we focus on two-task continual linear regression, where the second task is a random orthogonal transformation of an arbitrary first task (an abstraction of random permutation tasks). We derive an exact analytical expression for the expected forgetting - and uncover a nuanced pattern. In highly overparameterized models, intermediate task similarity causes the most forgetting. However, near the interpolation threshold, forgetting decreases monotonically with the expected task similarity. We validate our findings with linear regression on synthetic data, and with neural networks on established permutation task benchmarks.
Identifying Three-Dimensional Radiative Patterns Associated with Early Tropical Cyclone Intensification
Tam, Frederick Iat-Hin, Beucler, Tom, Ruppert, James H. Jr
Cloud radiative feedback impacts early tropical cyclone (TC) intensification, but limitations in existing diagnostic frameworks make them unsuitable for studying asymmetric or transient radiative heating. We propose a linear Variational Encoder-Decoder (VED) to learn the hidden relationship between radiation and the surface intensification of realistic simulated TCs. Limiting VED model inputs enables using its uncertainty to identify periods when radiation has more importance for intensification. A close examination of the extracted 3D radiative structures suggests that longwave radiative forcing from inner core deep convection and shallow clouds both contribute to intensification, with the deep convection having the most impact overall. We find that deep convection downwind of the shallow clouds is critical to the intensification of Haiyan. Our work demonstrates that machine learning can discover thermodynamic-kinematic relationships without relying on axisymmetric or deterministic assumptions, paving the way towards the objective discovery of processes leading to TC intensification in realistic conditions.
Efficient kernel surrogates for neural network-based regression
Qadeer, Saad, Engel, Andrew, Howard, Amanda, Tsou, Adam, Vargas, Max, Stinis, Panos, Chiang, Tony
Despite their immense promise in performing a variety of learning tasks, a theoretical understanding of the limitations of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) has so far eluded practitioners. This is partly due to the inability to determine the closed forms of the learned functions, making it harder to study their generalization properties on unseen datasets. Recent work has shown that randomly initialized DNNs in the infinite width limit converge to kernel machines relying on a Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK) with known closed form. These results suggest, and experimental evidence corroborates, that empirical kernel machines can also act as surrogates for finite width DNNs. The high computational cost of assembling the full NTK, however, makes this approach infeasible in practice, motivating the need for low-cost approximations. In the current work, we study the performance of the Conjugate Kernel (CK), an efficient approximation to the NTK that has been observed to yield fairly similar results. For the regression problem of smooth functions and logistic regression classification, we show that the CK performance is only marginally worse than that of the NTK and, in certain cases, is shown to be superior. In particular, we establish bounds for the relative test losses, verify them with numerical tests, and identify the regularity of the kernel as the key determinant of performance. In addition to providing a theoretical grounding for using CKs instead of NTKs, our framework suggests a recipe for improving DNN accuracy inexpensively. We present a demonstration of this on the foundation model GPT-2 by comparing its performance on a classification task using a conventional approach and our prescription. We also show how our approach can be used to improve physics-informed operator network training for regression tasks as well as convolutional neural network training for vision classification tasks.
Assessing Electricity Service Unfairness with Transfer Counterfactual Learning
Wei, Song, Kong, Xiangrui, Xavier, Alinson Santos, Zhu, Shixiang, Xie, Yao, Qiu, Feng
Energy justice is a growing area of interest in interdisciplinary energy research. However, identifying systematic biases in the energy sector remains challenging due to confounding variables, intricate heterogeneity in counterfactual effects, and limited data availability. First, this paper demonstrates how one can evaluate counterfactual unfairness in a power system by analyzing the average causal effect of a specific protected attribute. Subsequently, we use subgroup analysis to handle model heterogeneity and introduce a novel method for estimating counterfactual unfairness based on transfer learning, which helps to alleviate the data scarcity in each subgroup. In our numerical analysis, we apply our method to a unique large-scale customer-level power outage data set and investigate the counterfactual effect of demographic factors, such as income and age of the population, on power outage durations. Our results indicate that low-income and elderly-populated areas consistently experience longer power outages under both daily and post-disaster operations, and such discrimination is exacerbated under severe conditions. These findings suggest a widespread, systematic issue of injustice in the power service systems and emphasize the necessity for focused interventions in disadvantaged communities.