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 Statistical Learning


Differentially Private Post-Processing for Fair Regression

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Prediction and forecasting models trained from machine learning algorithms are ubiquitous in realworld applications, whose performance hinges on the availability and quality of training data, often collected from end-users or customers. This reliance on data has raised ethical concerns including fairness and privacy. Models trained on past data may propagate and exacerbate historical biases against disadvantaged demographics, and producing less favorable predictions (Bolukbasi et al., 2016; Buolamwini and Gebru, 2018), resulting in unfair treatments and outcomes especially in areas such as criminal justice, healthcare, and finance (Barocas and Selbst, 2016; Berk et al., 2021). Models also have the risk of leaking highly sensitive private information in the training data collected for these applications (Dwork and Roth, 2014). While there has been significant effort at addressing these concerns, few treats them in combination, i.e., designing algorithms that train fair models in a privacy-preserving manner. A difficulty is that privacy and fairness may not be compatible: exactly achieving group fairness criterion such as statistical parity or equalized odds requires precise (estimates of) group-level statistics, but for ensuring privacy, only noisy statistics are allowed under the notion of differential privacy. Resorting to approximate fairness, prior work has proposed private learning algorithms for reducing disparity, but the focus has been on the classification setting (Jagielski et al., 2019; Xu et al., 2019; Mozannar et al., 2020; Tran et al., 2021). In this paper, we propose and analyze a differentially private post-processing algorithm for learning attribute-aware fair regressors under the squared loss, with respect to the fairness notion of statistical parity.


Federated Learning for Cooperative Inference Systems: The Case of Early Exit Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As Internet of Things (IoT) technology advances, end devices like sensors and smartphones are progressively equipped with AI models tailored to their local memory and computational constraints. Local inference reduces communication costs and latency; however, these smaller models typically underperform compared to more sophisticated models deployed on edge servers or in the cloud. Cooperative Inference Systems (CISs) address this performance trade-off by enabling smaller devices to offload part of their inference tasks to more capable devices. These systems often deploy hierarchical models that share numerous parameters, exemplified by Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) that utilize strategies like early exits or ordered dropout. In such instances, Federated Learning (FL) may be employed to jointly train the models within a CIS. Yet, traditional training methods have overlooked the operational dynamics of CISs during inference, particularly the potential high heterogeneity in serving rates across clients. To address this gap, we propose a novel FL approach designed explicitly for use in CISs that accounts for these variations in serving rates. Our framework not only offers rigorous theoretical guarantees, but also surpasses state-of-the-art (SOTA) training algorithms for CISs, especially in scenarios where inference request rates or data availability are uneven among clients.


Fast Stochastic Policy Gradient: Negative Momentum for Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Stochastic optimization algorithms, particularly stochastic policy gradient (SPG), report significant success in reinforcement learning (RL). Nevertheless, up to now, that how to speedily acquire an optimal solution for RL is still a challenge. To tackle this issue, this work develops a fast SPG algorithm from the perspective of utilizing a momentum, coined SPG-NM. Specifically, in SPG-NM, a novel type of the negative momentum (NM) technique is applied into the classical SPG algorithm. Different from the existing NM techniques, we have adopted a few hyper-parameters in our SPG-NM algorithm. Moreover, the computational complexity is nearly same as the modern SPG-type algorithms, e.g., accelerated policy gradient (APG), which equips SPG with Nesterov's accelerated gradient (NAG). We evaluate the resulting algorithm on two classical tasks, bandit setting and Markov decision process (MDP). Numerical results in different tasks demonstrate faster convergence rate of the resulting algorithm by comparing state-of-the-art algorithms, which confirm the positive impact of NM in accelerating SPG for RL. Also, numerical experiments under different settings confirm the robustness of our SPG-NM algorithm for some certain crucial hyper-parameters, which ride the user feel free in practice.


Using Pre-training and Interaction Modeling for ancestry-specific disease prediction in UK Biobank

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have uncovered the genetic basis of complex traits, but show an under-representation of non-European descent individuals, underscoring a critical gap in genetic research. Here, we assess whether we can improve disease prediction across diverse ancestries using multiomic data. We evaluate the performance of Group-LASSO INTERaction-NET (glinternet) and pretrained lasso in disease prediction focusing on diverse ancestries in the UK Biobank. Models were trained on data from White British and other ancestries and validated across a cohort of over 96,000 individuals for 8 diseases. Out of 96 models trained, we report 16 with statistically significant incremental predictive performance in terms of ROC-AUC scores (p-value < 0.05), found for diabetes, arthritis, gall stones, cystitis, asthma and osteoarthritis. For the interaction and pretrained models that outperformed the baseline, the PRS score was the primary driver behind prediction. Our findings indicate that both interaction terms and pre-training can enhance prediction accuracy but for a limited set of diseases and moderate improvements in accuracy.


Explainable Multi-Label Classification of MBTI Types

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this study, we aim to identify the most effective machine learning model for accurately classifying Myers-Briggs Type Indicator (MBTI) types from Reddit posts and a Kaggle data set. We apply multi-label classification using the Binary Relevance method. We use Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) approach to highlight the transparency and understandability of the process and result. To achieve this, we experiment with glass-box learning models, i.e. models designed for simplicity, transparency, and interpretability. We selected k-Nearest Neighbour, Multinomial Naive Bayes, and Logistic Regression for the glass-box models. We show that Multinomial Naive Bayes and k-Nearest Neighbour perform better if classes with Observer (S) traits are excluded, whereas Logistic Regression obtains its best results when all classes have > 550 entries.


Accelerating Convergence in Bayesian Few-Shot Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Bayesian few-shot classification has been a focal point in the field of few-shot learning. This paper seamlessly integrates mirror descent-based variational inference into Gaussian process-based few-shot classification, addressing the challenge of non-conjugate inference. By leveraging non-Euclidean geometry, mirror descent achieves accelerated convergence by providing the steepest descent direction along the corresponding manifold. It also exhibits the parameterization invariance property concerning the variational distribution. Experimental results demonstrate competitive classification accuracy, improved uncertainty quantification, and faster convergence compared to baseline models. Additionally, we investigate the impact of hyperparameters and components. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/keanson/MD-BSFC.


Efficient Online Set-valued Classification with Bandit Feedback

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free method that wraps a given machine learning model and returns a set of plausible labels that contain the true label with a prescribed coverage rate. In practice, the empirical coverage achieved highly relies on fully observed label information from data both in the training phase for model fitting and the calibration phase for quantile estimation. This dependency poses a challenge in the context of online learning with bandit feedback, where a learner only has access to the correctness of actions (i.e., pulled an arm) but not the full information of the true label. In particular, when the pulled arm is incorrect, the learner only knows that the pulled one is not the true class label, but does not know which label is true. Additionally, bandit feedback further results in a smaller labeled dataset for calibration, limited to instances with correct actions, thereby affecting the accuracy of quantile estimation. To address these limitations, we propose Bandit Class-specific Conformal Prediction (BCCP), offering coverage guarantees on a class-specific granularity. Using an unbiased estimation of an estimand involving the true label, BCCP trains the model and makes set-valued inferences through stochastic gradient descent. Our approach overcomes the challenges of sparsely labeled data in each iteration and generalizes the reliability and applicability of conformal prediction to online decision-making environments.


Data-driven Error Estimation: Upper Bounding Multiple Errors with No Technical Debt

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We formulate the problem of constructing multiple simultaneously valid confidence intervals (CIs) as estimating a high probability upper bound on the maximum error for a class/set of estimate-estimand-error tuples, and refer to this as the error estimation problem. For a single such tuple, data-driven confidence intervals can often be used to bound the error in our estimate. However, for a class of estimate-estimand-error tuples, nontrivial high probability upper bounds on the maximum error often require class complexity as input -- limiting the practicality of such methods and often resulting in loose bounds. Rather than deriving theoretical class complexity-based bounds, we propose a completely data-driven approach to estimate an upper bound on the maximum error. The simple and general nature of our solution to this fundamental challenge lends itself to several applications including: multiple CI construction, multiple hypothesis testing, estimating excess risk bounds (a fundamental measure of uncertainty in machine learning) for any training/fine-tuning algorithm, and enabling the development of a contextual bandit pipeline that can leverage any reward model estimation procedure as input (without additional mathematical analysis).


Network reconstruction via the minimum description length principle

arXiv.org Machine Learning

A fundamental problem associated with the task of network reconstruction from dynamical or behavioral data consists in determining the most appropriate model complexity in a manner that prevents overfitting, and produces an inferred network with a statistically justifiable number of edges. The status quo in this context is based on $L_{1}$ regularization combined with cross-validation. However, besides its high computational cost, this commonplace approach unnecessarily ties the promotion of sparsity with weight "shrinkage". This combination forces a trade-off between the bias introduced by shrinkage and the network sparsity, which often results in substantial overfitting even after cross-validation. In this work, we propose an alternative nonparametric regularization scheme based on hierarchical Bayesian inference and weight quantization, which does not rely on weight shrinkage to promote sparsity. Our approach follows the minimum description length (MDL) principle, and uncovers the weight distribution that allows for the most compression of the data, thus avoiding overfitting without requiring cross-validation. The latter property renders our approach substantially faster to employ, as it requires a single fit to the complete data. As a result, we have a principled and efficient inference scheme that can be used with a large variety of generative models, without requiring the number of edges to be known in advance. We also demonstrate that our scheme yields systematically increased accuracy in the reconstruction of both artificial and empirical networks. We highlight the use of our method with the reconstruction of interaction networks between microbial communities from large-scale abundance samples involving in the order of $10^{4}$ to $10^{5}$ species, and demonstrate how the inferred model can be used to predict the outcome of interventions in the system.


Multiparameter regularization and aggregation in the context of polynomial functional regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Most of the recent results in polynomial functional regression have been focused on an in-depth exploration of single-parameter regularization schemes. In contrast, in this study we go beyond that framework by introducing an algorithm for multiple parameter regularization and presenting a theoretically grounded method for dealing with the associated parameters. This method facilitates the aggregation of models with varying regularization parameters. The efficacy of the proposed approach is assessed through evaluations on both synthetic and some real-world medical data, revealing promising results.