Statistical Learning
Double Machine Learning at Scale to Predict Causal Impact of Customer Actions
More, Sushant, Kotwal, Priya, Chappidi, Sujith, Mandalapu, Dinesh, Khawand, Chris
Causal Impact (CI) of customer actions are broadly used across the industry to inform both short- and long-term investment decisions of various types. In this paper, we apply the double machine learning (DML) methodology to estimate the CI values across 100s of customer actions of business interest and 100s of millions of customers. We operationalize DML through a causal ML library based on Spark with a flexible, JSON-driven model configuration approach to estimate CI at scale (i.e., across hundred of actions and millions of customers). We outline the DML methodology and implementation, and associated benefits over the traditional potential outcomes based CI model. We show population-level as well as customer-level CI values along with confidence intervals. The validation metrics show a 2.2% gain over the baseline methods and a 2.5X gain in the computational time. Our contribution is to advance the scalable application of CI, while also providing an interface that allows faster experimentation, cross-platform support, ability to onboard new use cases, and improves accessibility of underlying code for partner teams.
Kolmogorov Arnold Networks in Fraud Detection: Bridging the Gap Between Theory and Practice
This study evaluates the applicability of Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) in fraud detection, finding that their effectiveness is context-dependent. We propose a quick decision rule using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to assess the suitability of KAN: if data can be effectively separated in two dimensions using splines, KAN may outperform traditional models; otherwise, other methods could be more appropriate. We also introduce a heuristic approach to hyperparameter tuning, significantly reducing computational costs. These findings suggest that while KAN has potential, its use should be guided by data-specific assessments.
Foundation Models for Music: A Survey
Ma, Yinghao, Øland, Anders, Ragni, Anton, Del Sette, Bleiz MacSen, Saitis, Charalampos, Donahue, Chris, Lin, Chenghua, Plachouras, Christos, Benetos, Emmanouil, Shatri, Elona, Morreale, Fabio, Zhang, Ge, Fazekas, György, Xia, Gus, Zhang, Huan, Manco, Ilaria, Huang, Jiawen, Guinot, Julien, Lin, Liwei, Marinelli, Luca, Lam, Max W. Y., Sharma, Megha, Kong, Qiuqiang, Dannenberg, Roger B., Yuan, Ruibin, Wu, Shangda, Wu, Shih-Lun, Dai, Shuqi, Lei, Shun, Kang, Shiyin, Dixon, Simon, Chen, Wenhu, Huang, Wenhao, Du, Xingjian, Qu, Xingwei, Tan, Xu, Li, Yizhi, Tian, Zeyue, Wu, Zhiyong, Wu, Zhizheng, Ma, Ziyang, Wang, Ziyu
In recent years, foundation models (FMs) such as large language models (LLMs) and latent diffusion models (LDMs) have profoundly impacted diverse sectors, including music. This comprehensive review examines state-of-the-art (SOTA) pre-trained models and foundation models in music, spanning from representation learning, generative learning and multimodal learning. We first contextualise the significance of music in various industries and trace the evolution of AI in music. By delineating the modalities targeted by foundation models, we discover many of the music representations are underexplored in FM development. Then, emphasis is placed on the lack of versatility of previous methods on diverse music applications, along with the potential of FMs in music understanding, generation and medical application. By comprehensively exploring the details of the model pre-training paradigm, architectural choices, tokenisation, finetuning methodologies and controllability, we emphasise the important topics that should have been well explored, like instruction tuning and in-context learning, scaling law and emergent ability, as well as long-sequence modelling etc. A dedicated section presents insights into music agents, accompanied by a thorough analysis of datasets and evaluations essential for pre-training and downstream tasks. Finally, by underscoring the vital importance of ethical considerations, we advocate that following research on FM for music should focus more on such issues as interpretability, transparency, human responsibility, and copyright issues. The paper offers insights into future challenges and trends on FMs for music, aiming to shape the trajectory of human-AI collaboration in the music realm.
FC-KAN: Function Combinations in Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks
Ta, Hoang-Thang, Thai, Duy-Quy, Rahman, Abu Bakar Siddiqur, Sidorov, Grigori, Gelbukh, Alexander
In this paper, we introduce FC-KAN, a Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN) that leverages combinations of popular mathematical functions such as B-splines, wavelets, and radial basis functions on low-dimensional data through element-wise operations. We explore several methods for combining the outputs of these functions, including sum, element-wise product, the addition of sum and element-wise product, quadratic function representation, and concatenation. In our experiments, we compare FC-KAN with multi-layer perceptron network (MLP) and other existing KANs, such as BSRBF-KAN, EfficientKAN, FastKAN, and FasterKAN, on the MNIST and Fashion-MNIST datasets. A variant of FC-KAN, which uses a combination of outputs from B-splines and Difference of Gaussians (DoG) in the form of a quadratic function, outperformed all other models on the average of 5 independent training runs. We expect that FC-KAN can leverage function combinations to design future KANs. Our repository is publicly available at: https://github.com/hoangthangta/FC_KAN.
Learning out-of-time-ordered correlators with classical kernel methods
Tanner, John, Pye, Jason, Wang, Jingbo
Out-of-Time Ordered Correlators (OTOCs) are widely used to investigate information scrambling in quantum systems. However, directly computing OTOCs with classical computers is often impractical. This is due to the need to simulate the dynamics of quantum many-body systems, which entails exponentially-scaling computational costs with system size. Similarly, exact simulation of the dynamics with a quantum computer (QC) will generally require a fault-tolerant QC, which is currently beyond technological capabilities. Therefore, alternative approaches are needed for computing OTOCs and related quantities. In this study, we explore four parameterised sets of Hamiltonians describing quantum systems of interest in condensed matter physics. For each set, we investigate whether classical kernel methods can accurately learn the XZ-OTOC as well as a particular sum of OTOCs, as functions of the Hamiltonian parameters. We frame the problem as a regression task, generating labelled data via an efficient numerical algorithm that utilises matrix product operators to simulate quantum many-body systems, with up to 40 qubits. Using this data, we train a variety of standard kernel machines and observe that the best kernels consistently achieve a high coefficient of determination ($R^2$) on the testing sets, typically between 0.9 and 0.99, and almost always exceeding 0.8. This demonstrates that classical kernels supplied with a moderate amount of training data can be used to closely and efficiently approximate OTOCs and related quantities for a diverse range of quantum many-body systems.
Improving the Prediction of Individual Engagement in Recommendations Using Cognitive Models
Seow, Roderick, Zhao, Yunfan, Wood, Duncan, Tambe, Milind, Gonzalez, Cleotilde
For public health programs with limited resources, the ability to Public health programs play an essential role in improving the predict how behaviors change over time and in response to interventions health outcomes of individuals and communities, often through education is crucial for deciding when and to whom interventions and subsequent behavioral change. Some health programs should be allocated. Using data from a real-world maternal interact with their intended beneficiaries in a broad and infrequent health program, we demonstrate how a cognitive model based on manner. For example, a campaign about the health risks of smoking Instance-Based Learning (IBL) Theory can augment existing purely may address a general population of smokers through scattered computational approaches. Our findings show that, compared to advertisements in the media [18]. Others rely on repeated direct interactions general time-series forecasters (e.g., LSTMs), IBL models, which with their intended beneficiaries. For example, maternal reflect human decision-making processes, better predict how individuals' health programs that send automated messages about exercise and behaviors change over time (transition-consistency) and nutrition to enrolled expectant mothers [13]. In this case, it is crucial in response to receiving an intervention (intervention-sensitivity).
Semantic Meta-Split Learning: A TinyML Scheme for Few-Shot Wireless Image Classification
Eldeeb, Eslam, Shehab, Mohammad, Alves, Hirley, Alouini, Mohamed-Slim
Semantic and goal-oriented (SGO) communication is an emerging technology that only transmits significant information for a given task. Semantic communication encounters many challenges, such as computational complexity at end users, availability of data, and privacy-preserving. This work presents a TinyML-based semantic communication framework for few-shot wireless image classification that integrates split-learning and meta-learning. We exploit split-learning to limit the computations performed by the end-users while ensuring privacy-preserving. In addition, meta-learning overcomes data availability concerns and speeds up training by utilizing similarly trained tasks. The proposed algorithm is tested using a data set of images of hand-written letters. In addition, we present an uncertainty analysis of the predictions using conformal prediction (CP) techniques. Simulation results show that the proposed Semantic-MSL outperforms conventional schemes by achieving 20 % gain on classification accuracy using fewer data points, yet less training energy consumption.
Towards General Industrial Intelligence: A Survey on IIoT-Enhanced Continual Large Models
Chen, Jiao, He, Jiayi, Chen, Fangfang, Lv, Zuohong, Tang, Jianhua, Li, Weihua, Liu, Zuozhu, Yang, Howard H., Han, Guangjie
Currently, most applications in the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) still rely on CNN-based neural networks. Although Transformer-based large models (LMs), including language, vision, and multimodal models, have demonstrated impressive capabilities in AI-generated content (AIGC), their application in industrial domains, such as detection, planning, and control, remains relatively limited. Deploying pre-trained LMs in industrial environments often encounters the challenge of stability and plasticity due to the complexity of tasks, the diversity of data, and the dynamic nature of user demands. To address these challenges, the pre-training and fine-tuning strategy, coupled with continual learning, has proven to be an effective solution, enabling models to adapt to dynamic demands while continuously optimizing their inference and decision-making capabilities. This paper surveys the integration of LMs into IIoT-enhanced General Industrial Intelligence (GII), focusing on two key areas: LMs for GII and LMs on GII. The former focuses on leveraging LMs to provide optimized solutions for industrial application challenges, while the latter investigates continuous optimization of LMs learning and inference capabilities in collaborative scenarios involving industrial devices, edge computing, and cloud computing. This paper provides insights into the future development of GII, aiming to establish a comprehensive theoretical framework and research direction for GII, thereby advancing GII towards a more general and adaptive future.
EA-RAS: Towards Efficient and Accurate End-to-End Reconstruction of Anatomical Skeleton
Peng, Zhiheng, Zhao, Kai, Chen, Xiaoran, Ma, Li, Xia, Siyu, Fan, Changjie, Shang, Weijian, Jing, Wei
Efficient, accurate and low-cost estimation of human skeletal information is crucial for a range of applications such as biology education and human-computer interaction. However, current simple skeleton models, which are typically based on 2D-3D joint points, fall short in terms of anatomical fidelity, restricting their utility in fields. On the other hand, more complex models while anatomically precise, are hindered by sophisticate multi-stage processing and the need for extra data like skin meshes, making them unsuitable for real-time applications. To this end, we propose the EA-RAS (Towards Efficient and Accurate End-to-End Reconstruction of Anatomical Skeleton), a single-stage, lightweight, and plug-and-play anatomical skeleton estimator that can provide real-time, accurate anatomically realistic skeletons with arbitrary pose using only a single RGB image input. Additionally, EA-RAS estimates the conventional human-mesh model explicitly, which not only enhances the functionality but also leverages the outside skin information by integrating features into the inside skeleton modeling process. In this work, we also develop a progressive training strategy and integrated it with an enhanced optimization process, enabling the network to obtain initial weights using only a small skin dataset and achieve self-supervision in skeleton reconstruction. Besides, we also provide an optional lightweight post-processing optimization strategy to further improve accuracy for scenarios that prioritize precision over real-time processing. The experiments demonstrated that our regression method is over 800 times faster than existing methods, meeting real-time requirements. Additionally, the post-processing optimization strategy provided can enhance reconstruction accuracy by over 50% and achieve a speed increase of more than 7 times.
Optimal training of finitely-sampled quantum reservoir computers for forecasting of chaotic dynamics
Ahmed, Osama, Tennie, Felix, Magri, Luca
In the current Noisy Intermediate Scale Quantum (NISQ) era, the presence of noise deteriorates the performance of quantum computing algorithms. Quantum Reservoir Computing (QRC) is a type of Quantum Machine Learning algorithm, which, however, can benefit from different types of tuned noise. In this paper, we analyse the effect that finite-sampling noise has on the chaotic time-series prediction capabilities of QRC and Recurrence-free Quantum Reservoir Computing (RF-QRC). First, we show that, even without a recurrent loop, RF-QRC contains temporal information about previous reservoir states using leaky integrated neurons. This makes RF-QRC different from Quantum Extreme Learning Machines (QELM). Second, we show that finite sampling noise degrades the prediction capabilities of both QRC and RF-QRC while affecting QRC more due to the propagation of noise. Third, we optimize the training of the finite-sampled quantum reservoir computing framework using two methods: (a) Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) applied to the data matrix containing noisy reservoir activation states; and (b) data-filtering techniques to remove the high-frequencies from the noisy reservoir activation states. We show that denoising reservoir activation states improve the signal-to-noise ratios with smaller training loss. Finally, we demonstrate that the training and denoising of the noisy reservoir activation signals in RF-QRC are highly parallelizable on multiple Quantum Processing Units (QPUs) as compared to the QRC architecture with recurrent connections. The analyses are numerically showcased on prototypical chaotic dynamical systems with relevance to turbulence. This work opens opportunities for using quantum reservoir computing with finite samples for time-series forecasting on near-term quantum hardware.