Wildfires pose a significantly increasing hazard to global ecosystems due to the climate crisis. Due to its complex nature, there is an urgent need for innovative approaches to wildfire prediction, such as machine learning. This research took a unique approach, differentiating from classical supervised learning, and addressed the gap in unsupervised wildfire prediction using autoencoders and clustering techniques for anomaly detection. Historical weather and normalised difference vegetation index datasets of Australia for 2005 - 2021 were utilised. Two main unsupervised approaches were analysed. The first used a deep autoencoder to obtain latent features, which were then fed into clustering models, isolation forest, local outlier factor and one-class SVM for anomaly detection. The second approach used a deep autoencoder to reconstruct the input data and use reconstruction errors to identify anomalies. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) autoencoders and fully connected (FC) autoencoders were employed in this part, both in an unsupervised way learning only from nominal data. The FC autoencoder outperformed its counterparts, achieving an accuracy of 0.71, an F1-score of 0.74, and an MCC of 0.42. These findings highlight the practicality of this method, as it effectively predicts wildfires in the absence of ground truth, utilising an unsupervised learning technique.

Partial multi-view clustering (PVC) presents significant challenges practical research problem for data analysis in real-world applications, especially when some views of the data are partially missing. Existing clustering methods struggle to handle incomplete views effectively, leading to suboptimal clustering performance. In this paper, we propose a novel dual optimization framework based on contrastive learning, which aims to maximize the consistency of latent features in incomplete multi-view data and improve clustering performance through deep learning models. By combining a fine-tuned Vision Transformer and k-nearest neighbors (KNN), we fill in missing views and dynamically adjust view weights using self-supervised learning and meta-learning. Experimental results demonstrate that our framework outperforms state-of-the-art clustering models on the BDGP and HW datasets, particularly in handling complex and incomplete multi-view data.

Machine learning (ML) defenses protect against various risks to security, privacy, and fairness. Real-life models need simultaneous protection against multiple different risks which necessitates combining multiple defenses. But combining defenses with conflicting interactions in an ML model can be ineffective, incurring a significant drop in the effectiveness of one or more defenses being combined. Practitioners need a way to determine if a given combination can be effective. Experimentally identifying effective combinations can be time-consuming and expensive, particularly when multiple defenses need to be combined. We need an inexpensive, easy-to-use combination technique to identify effective combinations. Ideally, a combination technique should be (a) accurate (correctly identifies whether a combination is effective or not), (b) scalable (allows combining multiple defenses), (c) non-invasive (requires no change to the defenses being combined), and (d) general (is applicable to different types of defenses). Prior works have identified several ad-hoc techniques but none satisfy all the requirements above. We propose a principled combination technique, Def\Con, to identify effective defense combinations. Def\Con meets all requirements, achieving 90% accuracy on eight combinations explored in prior work and 81% in 30 previously unexplored combinations that we empirically evaluate in this paper.

We introduce DeepSets Operator Networks (DeepOSets), an efficient, non-autoregressive neural network architecture for in-context operator learning. In-context learning allows a trained machine learning model to learn from a user prompt without further training. DeepOSets adds in-context learning capabilities to Deep Operator Networks (DeepONets) by combining it with the DeepSets architecture. As the first non-autoregressive model for in-context operator learning, DeepOSets allow the user prompt to be processed in parallel, leading to significant computational savings. Here, we present the application of DeepOSets in the problem of learning supervised learning algorithms, which are operators mapping a finite-dimensional space of labeled data into an infinite-dimensional hypothesis space of prediction functions. In an empirical comparison with a popular autoregressive (transformer-based) model for in-context learning of linear regression in one and five dimensions, DeepOSets reduced the number of model weights by several orders of magnitude and required a fraction of training and inference time. Furthermore, DeepOSets proved to be less sensitive to noise, significantly outperforming the transformer model in noisy settings.

Topic modeling, or more broadly, dimensionality reduction, techniques provide powerful tools for uncovering patterns in large datasets and are widely applied across various domains. We investigate how Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) can introduce bias in the representation of data groups, such as those defined by demographics or protected attributes. We present an approach, called Fairer-NMF, that seeks to minimize the maximum reconstruction loss for different groups relative to their size and intrinsic complexity. Further, we present two algorithms for solving this problem. The first is an alternating minimization (AM) scheme and the second is a multiplicative updates (MU) scheme which demonstrates a reduced computational time compared to AM while still achieving similar performance. Lastly, we present numerical experiments on synthetic and real datasets to evaluate the overall performance and trade-offs of Fairer-NMF

We introduce SymbolFit, a framework that automates parametric modeling by using symbolic regression to perform a machine-search for functions that fit the data, while simultaneously providing uncertainty estimates in a single run. Traditionally, constructing a parametric model to accurately describe binned data has been a manual and iterative process, requiring an adequate functional form to be determined before the fit can be performed. The main challenge arises when the appropriate functional forms cannot be derived from first principles, especially when there is no underlying true closed-form function for the distribution. In this work, we address this problem by utilizing symbolic regression, a machine learning technique that explores a vast space of candidate functions without needing a predefined functional form, treating the functional form itself as a trainable parameter. Our approach is demonstrated in data analysis applications in high-energy physics experiments at the CERN Large Hadron Collider (LHC). We demonstrate its effectiveness and efficiency using five real proton-proton collision datasets from new physics searches at the LHC, namely the background modeling in resonance searches for high-mass dijet, trijet, paired-dijet, diphoton, and dimuon events. We also validate the framework using several toy datasets with one and more variables.

In this paper, we propose a continuous-time formulation for the AdaGrad, RMSProp, and Adam optimization algorithms by modeling them as first-order integro-differential equations. We perform numerical simulations of these equations to demonstrate their validity as accurate approximations of the original algorithms. Our results indicate a strong agreement between the behavior of the continuous-time models and the discrete implementations, thus providing a new perspective on the theoretical understanding of adaptive optimization methods. The pursuit of finding the global minima of such functions presents a significant challenge due to the inherent complexity and non-convexity of the landscape. Gradient Descent (GD) remains one of the most prominent algorithms for minimizing the function f by iteratively finding the optimal parameters θ Boyd & Vandenberghe (2004). It operates by adjusting the parameters in the direction of the steepest descent of f with a fixed step size α (learning rate). At each iteration, the algorithm computes the gradient of f with respect to θ, guiding the parameter updates to minimize f progressively Rumelhart et al. (1986): θ The continuous nature of these methods permits a more direct application of differential equation techniques. For readers interested in a continuous description of the stochastic method, we refer to Sirignano & Spiliopoulos (2017). Adaptive optimization methods such as AdaGrad Duchi et al. (2011) and RMSProp Hinton (2012) have been pivotal in advancing gradient-based algorithms.

Inflammation of the umbilical cord can be seen as a result of ascending intrauterine infection or other inflammatory stimuli. Acute fetal inflammatory response (FIR) is characterized by infiltration of the umbilical cord by fetal neutrophils, and can be associated with neonatal sepsis or fetal inflammatory response syndrome. Recent advances in deep learning in digital pathology have demonstrated favorable performance across a wide range of clinical tasks, such as diagnosis and prognosis. In this study we classified FIR from whole slide images (WSI). We digitized 4100 histological slides of umbilical cord stained with hematoxylin and eosin(H&E) and extracted placental diagnoses from the electronic health record. We build models using attention-based whole slide learning models. We compared strategies between features extracted by a model (ConvNeXtXLarge) pretrained on non-medical images (ImageNet), and one pretrained using histopathology images (UNI). We trained multiple iterations of each model and combined them into an ensemble. The predictions from the ensemble of models trained using UNI achieved an overall balanced accuracy of 0.836 on the test dataset. In comparison, the ensembled predictions using ConvNeXtXLarge had a lower balanced accuracy of 0.7209. Heatmaps generated from top accuracy model appropriately highlighted arteritis in cases of FIR 2. In FIR 1, the highest performing model assigned high attention to areas of activated-appearing stroma in Wharton's Jelly. However, other high-performing models assigned attention to umbilical vessels. We developed models for diagnosis of FIR from placental histology images, helping reduce interobserver variability among pathologists. Future work may examine the utility of these models for identifying infants at risk of systemic inflammatory response or early onset neonatal sepsis.

Self-supervised learning (SSL) has shown remarkable data representation capabilities across a wide range of datasets. However, when applied to real-world datasets with long-tailed distributions, performance on multiple downstream tasks degrades significantly. Recently, the community has begun to focus more on self-supervised long-tailed learning. Some works attempt to transfer temperature mechanisms to self-supervised learning or use category-space uniformity constraints to balance the representation of different categories in the embedding space to fight against long-tail distributions. However, most of these approaches focus on the joint optimization of all samples in the dataset or on constraining the category distribution, with little attention given to whether each individual sample is optimally guided during training. To address this issue, we propose Temperature Auxiliary Sample-level Encouragement (TASE). We introduce pseudo-labels into self-supervised long-tailed learning, utilizing pseudo-label information to drive a dynamic temperature and re-weighting strategy. Specifically, We assign an optimal temperature parameter to each sample. Additionally, we analyze the lack of quantity awareness in the temperature parameter and use re-weighting to compensate for this deficiency, thereby achieving optimal training patterns at the sample level. Comprehensive experimental results on six benchmarks across three datasets demonstrate that our method achieves outstanding performance in improving long-tail recognition, while also exhibiting high robustness.

Disaggregated evaluation -- estimation of performance of a machine learning model on different subpopulations -- is a core task when assessing performance and group-fairness of AI systems. A key challenge is that evaluation data is scarce, and subpopulations arising from intersections of attributes (e.g., race, sex, age) are often tiny. Today, it is common for multiple clients to procure the same AI model from a model developer, and the task of disaggregated evaluation is faced by each customer individually. This gives rise to what we call the multi-task disaggregated evaluation problem, wherein multiple clients seek to conduct a disaggregated evaluation of a given model in their own data setting (task). In this work we develop a disaggregated evaluation method called SureMap that has high estimation accuracy for both multi-task and single-task disaggregated evaluations of blackbox models. SureMap's efficiency gains come from (1) transforming the problem into structured simultaneous Gaussian mean estimation and (2) incorporating external data, e.g., from the AI system creator or from their other clients. Our method combines maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation using a well-chosen prior together with cross-validation-free tuning via Stein's unbiased risk estimate (SURE). We evaluate SureMap on disaggregated evaluation tasks in multiple domains, observing significant accuracy improvements over several strong competitors.