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 Statistical Learning


Analyzing Geospatial and Socioeconomic Disparities in Breast Cancer Screening Among Populations in the United States: Machine Learning Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Breast cancer screening plays a pivotal role in early detection and subsequent effective management of the disease, impacting patient outcomes and survival rates. This study aims to assess breast cancer screening rates nationwide in the United States and investigate the impact of social determinants of health on these screening rates. Data on mammography screening at the census tract level for 2018 and 2020 were collected from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. We developed a large dataset of social determinants of health, comprising 13 variables for 72337 census tracts. Spatial analysis employing Getis-Ord Gi statistics was used to identify clusters of high and low breast cancer screening rates. To evaluate the influence of these social determinants, we implemented a random forest model, with the aim of comparing its performance to linear regression and support vector machine models. The models were evaluated using R2 and root mean squared error metrics. Shapley Additive Explanations values were subsequently used to assess the significance of variables and direction of their influence. Geospatial analysis revealed elevated screening rates in the eastern and northern United States, while central and midwestern regions exhibited lower rates. The random forest model demonstrated superior performance, with an R2=64.53 and root mean squared error of 2.06 compared to linear regression and support vector machine models. Shapley Additive Explanations values indicated that the percentage of the Black population, the number of mammography facilities within a 10-mile radius, and the percentage of the population with at least a bachelor's degree were the most influential variables, all positively associated with mammography screening rates.


Self-Supervised Learning Using Nonlinear Dependence

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Self-supervised learning has gained significant attention in contemporary applications, particularly due to the scarcity of labeled data. While existing SSL methodologies primarily address feature variance and linear correlations, they often neglect the intricate relations between samples and the nonlinear dependencies inherent in complex data. In this paper, we introduce Correlation-Dependence Self-Supervised Learning (CDSSL), a novel framework that unifies and extends existing SSL paradigms by integrating both linear correlations and nonlinear dependencies, encapsulating sample-wise and feature-wise interactions. Our approach incorporates the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC) to robustly capture nonlinear dependencies within a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space, enriching representation learning. Experimental evaluations on diverse benchmarks demonstrate the efficacy of CDSSL in improving representation quality.


Pre-Trained Vision-Language Model Selection and Reuse for Downstream Tasks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Pre-trained Vision-Language Models (VLMs) are becoming increasingly popular across various visual tasks, and several open-sourced VLM variants have been released. However, selecting the best-performing pre-trained VLM for a specific downstream task is challenging since no single VLM can achieve promising performance on all downstream tasks, and evaluating all available VLMs is impossible due to time and data limitations. To address this problem, this paper proposes a novel paradigm to select and reuse VLM for downstream tasks, called Model Label Learning (MLL). The proposal contains three key modules: \emph{model labeling}, which assigns labels to each VLM to describe their specialty and utility; \emph{model selection}, which matches the requirements of the target task with model labels; and \emph{model reuse}, which applies selected VLMs to the target task in an ensemble manner. The proposal is highly computationally efficient and growable since the model labeling process is completed target task independent and the ability could grow with the number of candidate VLMs. We also introduce a new benchmark for evaluating VLM selection methods, including 49 VLMs and 17 target task datasets. Experimental results clearly demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method for selecting and reusing VLMs.


Dual-Bounded Nonlinear Optimal Transport for Size Constrained Min Cut Clustering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Min cut is an important graph partitioning method. However, current solutions to the min cut problem suffer from slow speeds, difficulty in solving, and often converge to simple solutions. To address these issues, we relax the min cut problem into a dual-bounded constraint and, for the first time, treat the min cut problem as a dual-bounded nonlinear optimal transport problem. Additionally, we develop a method for solving dual-bounded nonlinear optimal transport based on the Frank-Wolfe method (abbreviated as DNF). Notably, DNF not only solves the size constrained min cut problem but is also applicable to all dual-bounded nonlinear optimal transport problems. We prove that for convex problems satisfying Lipschitz smoothness, the DNF method can achieve a convergence rate of \(\mathcal{O}(\frac{1}{t})\). We apply the DNF method to the min cut problem and find that it achieves state-of-the-art performance in terms of both the loss function and clustering accuracy at the fastest speed, with a convergence rate of \(\mathcal{O}(\frac{1}{\sqrt{t}})\). Moreover, the DNF method for the size constrained min cut problem requires no parameters and exhibits better stability.


CueTip: An Interactive and Explainable Physics-aware Pool Assistant

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present an interactive and explainable automated coaching assistant called CueTip for a variant of pool/billiards. CueTip's novelty lies in its combination of three features: a natural-language interface, an ability to perform contextual, physics-aware reasoning, and that its explanations are rooted in a set of predetermined guidelines developed by domain experts. We instrument a physics simulator so that it generates event traces in natural language alongside traditional state traces. Event traces lend themselves to interpretation by language models, which serve as the interface to our assistant. We design and train a neural adaptor that decouples tactical choices made by CueTip from its interactivity and explainability allowing it to be reconfigured to mimic any pool playing agent. Our experiments show that CueTip enables contextual query-based assistance and explanations while maintaining the strength of the agent in terms of win rate (improving it in some situations). The explanations generated by CueTip are physically-aware and grounded in the expert rules and are therefore more reliable.


In-Context Learning of Polynomial Kernel Regression in Transformers with GLU Layers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Transformer-based models have demonstrated remarkable ability in in-context learning (ICL), where they can adapt to unseen tasks from a prompt with a few examples, without requiring parameter updates. Recent research has provided insight into how linear Transformers can perform ICL by implementing gradient descent estimators. In particular, it has been shown that the optimal linear self-attention (LSA) mechanism can implement one step of gradient descent with respect to a linear least-squares objective when trained on random linear regression tasks. However, the theoretical understanding of ICL for nonlinear function classes remains limited. In this work, we address this gap by first showing that LSA is inherently restricted to solving linear least-squares objectives and thus, the solutions in prior works cannot readily extend to nonlinear ICL tasks. To overcome this limitation, drawing inspiration from modern architectures, we study a mechanism that combines LSA with GLU-like feed-forward layers and show that this allows the model to perform one step of gradient descent on a polynomial kernel regression. Further, we characterize the scaling behavior of the resulting Transformer model, highlighting the necessary model size to effectively handle quadratic ICL tasks. Our findings highlight the distinct roles of attention and feed-forward layers in nonlinear ICL and identify key challenges when extending ICL to nonlinear function classes.


Clustering Properties of Self-Supervised Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Self-supervised learning (SSL) methods via joint embedding architectures have proven remarkably effective at capturing semantically rich representations with strong clustering properties, magically in the absence of label supervision. Despite this, few of them have explored leveraging these untapped properties to improve themselves. In this paper, we provide an evidence through various metrics that the encoder's output $encoding$ exhibits superior and more stable clustering properties compared to other components. Building on this insight, we propose a novel positive-feedback SSL method, termed Representation Soft Assignment (ReSA), which leverages the model's clustering properties to promote learning in a self-guided manner. Extensive experiments on standard SSL benchmarks reveal that models pretrained with ReSA outperform other state-of-the-art SSL methods by a significant margin. Finally, we analyze how ReSA facilitates better clustering properties, demonstrating that it effectively enhances clustering performance at both fine-grained and coarse-grained levels, shaping representations that are inherently more structured and semantically meaningful.


A Deep Spatio-Temporal Architecture for Dynamic Effective Connectivity Network Analysis Based on Dynamic Causal Discovery

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Dynamic effective connectivity networks (dECNs) reveal the changing directed brain activity and the dynamic causal influences among brain regions, which facilitate the identification of individual differences and enhance the understanding of human brain. Although the existing causal discovery methods have shown promising results in effective connectivity network analysis, they often overlook the dynamics of causality, in addition to the incorporation of spatio-temporal information in brain activity data. To address these issues, we propose a deep spatio-temporal fusion architecture, which employs a dynamic causal deep encoder to incorporate spatio-temporal information into dynamic causality modeling, and a dynamic causal deep decoder to verify the discovered causality. The effectiveness of the proposed method is first illustrated with simulated data. Then, experimental results from Philadelphia Neurodevelopmental Cohort (PNC) demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method in inferring dECNs, which reveal the dynamic evolution of directed flow between brain regions. The analysis shows the difference of dECNs between young adults and children. Specifically, the directed brain functional networks transit from fluctuating undifferentiated systems to more stable specialized networks as one grows. This observation provides further evidence on the modularization and adaptation of brain networks during development, leading to higher cognitive abilities observed in young adults.


Blood Glucose Level Prediction in Type 1 Diabetes Using Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Type 1 Diabetes is a chronic autoimmune condition in which the immune system attacks and destroys insulin-producing beta cells in the pancreas, resulting in little to no insulin production. Insulin helps glucose in your blood enter your muscle, fat, and liver cells so they can use it for energy or store it for later use. If insulin is insufficient, it causes sugar to build up in the blood and leads to serious health problems. People with Type 1 Diabetes need synthetic insulin every day. In diabetes management, continuous glucose monitoring is an important feature that provides near real-time blood glucose data. It is useful in deciding the synthetic insulin dose. In this research work, we used machine learning tools, deep neural networks, deep reinforcement learning, and voting and stacking regressors to predict blood glucose levels at 30-min time intervals using the latest DiaTrend dataset. Predicting blood glucose levels is useful in better diabetes management systems. The trained models were compared using several evaluation metrics. Our evaluation results demonstrate the performance of various models across different glycemic conditions for blood glucose prediction. The source codes of this work can be found in: https://github.com/soon-jynn-chu/t1d_bg_prediction


Leveraging Sparsity for Sample-Efficient Preference Learning: A Theoretical Perspective

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper considers the sample-efficiency of preference learning, which models and predicts human choices based on comparative judgments. The minimax optimal estimation rate $\Theta(d/n)$ in traditional estimation theory requires that the number of samples $n$ scales linearly with the dimensionality of the feature space $d$. However, the high dimensionality of the feature space and the high cost of collecting human-annotated data challenge the efficiency of traditional estimation methods. To remedy this, we leverage sparsity in the preference model and establish sharp estimation rates. We show that under the sparse random utility model, where the parameter of the reward function is $k$-sparse, the minimax optimal rate can be reduced to $\Theta(k/n \log(d/k))$. Furthermore, we analyze the $\ell_{1}$-regularized estimator and show that it achieves near-optimal rate under mild assumptions on the Gram matrix. Experiments on synthetic data and LLM alignment data validate our theoretical findings, showing that sparsity-aware methods significantly reduce sample complexity and improve prediction accuracy.