Statistical Learning
Hypernym Bias: Unraveling Deep Classifier Training Dynamics through the Lens of Class Hierarchy
Malashin, Roman, Yachnaya, Valeria, Mullin, Alexander
We investigate the training dynamics of deep classifiers by examining how hierarchical relationships between classes evolve during training. Through extensive experiments, we argue that the learning process in classification problems can be understood through the lens of label clustering. Specifically, we observe that networks tend to distinguish higher-level (hypernym) categories in the early stages of training, and learn more specific (hyponym) categories later. We introduce a novel framework to track the evolution of the feature manifold during training, revealing how the hierarchy of class relations emerges and refines across the network layers. Our analysis demonstrates that the learned representations closely align with the semantic structure of the dataset, providing a quantitative description of the clustering process. Notably, we show that in the hypernym label space, certain properties of neural collapse appear earlier than in the hyponym label space, helping to bridge the gap between the initial and terminal phases of learning. We believe our findings offer new insights into the mechanisms driving hierarchical learning in deep networks, paving the way for future advancements in understanding deep learning dynamics.
Stability-based Generalization Bounds for Variational Inference
Variational inference (VI) is widely used for approximate inference in Bayesian machine learning. In addition to this practical success, generalization bounds for variational inference and related algorithms have been developed, mostly through the connection to PAC-Bayes analysis. A second line of work has provided algorithm-specific generalization bounds through stability arguments or using mutual information bounds, and has shown that the bounds are tight in practice, but unfortunately these bounds do not directly apply to approximate Bayesian algorithms. This paper fills this gap by developing algorithm-specific stability based generalization bounds for a class of approximate Bayesian algorithms that includes VI, specifically when using stochastic gradient descent to optimize their objective. As in the non-Bayesian case, the generalization error is bounded by by expected parameter differences on a perturbed dataset. The new approach complements PAC-Bayes analysis and can provide tighter bounds in some cases. An experimental illustration shows that the new approach yields non-vacuous bounds on modern neural network architectures and datasets and that it can shed light on performance differences between variant approximate Bayesian algorithms.
Hybrid Machine Learning Models for Intrusion Detection in IoT: Leveraging a Real-World IoT Dataset
Akif, Md Ahnaf, Butun, Ismail, Williams, Andre, Mahgoub, Imadeldin
The rapid growth of the Internet of Things (IoT) has revolutionized industries, enabling unprecedented connectivity and functionality. However, this expansion also increases vulnerabilities, exposing IoT networks to increasingly sophisticated cyberattacks. Intrusion Detection Systems (IDS) are crucial for mitigating these threats, and recent advancements in Machine Learning (ML) offer promising avenues for improvement. This research explores a hybrid approach, combining several standalone ML models such as Random Forest (RF), XGBoost, K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and AdaBoost, in a voting-based hybrid classifier for effective IoT intrusion detection. This ensemble method leverages the strengths of individual algorithms to enhance accuracy and address challenges related to data complexity and scalability. Using the widely-cited IoT-23 dataset, a prominent benchmark in IoT cybersecurity research, we evaluate our hybrid classifiers for both binary and multi-class intrusion detection problems, ensuring a fair comparison with existing literature. Results demonstrate that our proposed hybrid models, designed for robustness and scalability, outperform standalone approaches in IoT environments. This work contributes to the development of advanced, intelligent IDS frameworks capable of addressing evolving cyber threats.
Bridging the Data Gap in AI Reliability Research and Establishing DR-AIR, a Comprehensive Data Repository for AI Reliability
Zheng, Simin, Clark, Jared M., Salboukh, Fatemeh, Silva, Priscila, da Mata, Karen, Pan, Fenglian, Min, Jie, Lian, Jiayi, King, Caleb B., Fiondella, Lance, Liu, Jian, Deng, Xinwei, Hong, Yili
Artificial intelligence (AI) technology and systems have been advancing rapidly. However, ensuring the reliability of these systems is crucial for fostering public confidence in their use. This necessitates the modeling and analysis of reliability data specific to AI systems. A major challenge in AI reliability research, particularly for those in academia, is the lack of readily available AI reliability data. To address this gap, this paper focuses on conducting a comprehensive review of available AI reliability data and establishing DR-AIR: a data repository for AI reliability. Specifically, we introduce key measurements and data types for assessing AI reliability, along with the methodologies used to collect these data. We also provide a detailed description of the currently available datasets with illustrative examples. Furthermore, we outline the setup of the DR-AIR repository and demonstrate its practical applications. This repository provides easy access to datasets specifically curated for AI reliability research. We believe these efforts will significantly benefit the AI research community by facilitating access to valuable reliability data and promoting collaboration across various academic domains within AI. We conclude our paper with a call to action, encouraging the research community to contribute and share AI reliability data to further advance this critical field of study.
Achieving Upper Bound Accuracy of Joint Training in Continual Learning
Continual learning has been an active research area in machine learning, focusing on incrementally learning a sequence of tasks. A key challenge is catastrophic forgetting (CF), and most research efforts have been directed toward mitigating this issue. However, a significant gap remains between the accuracy achieved by state-of-the-art continual learning algorithms and the ideal or upper-bound accuracy achieved by training all tasks together jointly. This gap has hindered or even prevented the adoption of continual learning in applications, as accuracy is often of paramount importance. Recently, another challenge, termed inter-task class separation (ICS), was also identified, which spurred a theoretical study into principled approaches for solving continual learning. Further research has shown that by leveraging the theory and the power of large foundation models, it is now possible to achieve upper-bound accuracy, which has been empirically validated using both text and image classification datasets. Continual learning is now ready for real-life applications. This paper surveys the main research leading to this achievement, justifies the approach both intuitively and from neuroscience research, and discusses insights gained.
Efficient Neural SDE Training using Wiener-Space Cubature
Snow, Luke, Krishnamurthy, Vikram
A neural stochastic differential equation (SDE) is an SDE with drift and diffusion terms parametrized by neural networks. The training procedure for neural SDEs consists of optimizing the SDE vector field (neural network) parameters to minimize the expected value of an objective functional on infinite-dimensional path-space. Existing training techniques focus on methods to efficiently compute path-wise gradients of the objective functional with respect to these parameters, then pair this with Monte-Carlo simulation to estimate the expectation, and stochastic gradient descent to optimize. In this work we introduce a novel training technique which bypasses and improves upon Monte-Carlo simulation; we extend results in the theory of Wiener-space cubature to approximate the expected objective functional by a weighted sum of deterministic ODE solutions. This allows us to compute gradients by efficient ODE adjoint methods. Furthermore, we exploit a high-order recombination scheme to drastically reduce the number of ODE solutions necessary to achieve a reasonable approximation. We show that this Wiener-space cubature approach can surpass the O(1/sqrt(n)) rate of Monte-Carlo simulation, or the O(log(n)/n) rate of quasi-Monte-Carlo, to achieve a O(1/n) rate under reasonable assumptions.
Multi-vision-based Picking Point Localisation of Target Fruit for Harvesting Robots
Beldek, C., Dunn, A., Cunningham, J., Sariyildiz, E., Phung, S. L., Alici, G.
This paper presents multi-vision-based localisation strategies for harvesting robots. Identifying picking points accurately is essential for robotic harvesting because insecure grasping can lead to economic loss through fruit damage and dropping. In this study, two multi-vision-based localisation methods, namely the analytical approach and model-based algorithms, were employed. The actual geometric centre points of fruits were collected using a motion capture system (mocap), and two different surface points Cfix and Ceih were extracted using two Red-Green-Blue-Depth (RGB-D) cameras. First, the picking points of the target fruit were detected using analytical methods. Second, various primary and ensemble learning methods were employed to predict the geometric centre of target fruits by taking surface points as input. Adaboost regression, the most successful model-based localisation algorithm, achieved 88.8% harvesting accuracy with a Mean Euclidean Distance (MED) of 4.40 mm, while the analytical approach reached 81.4% picking success with a MED of 14.25 mm, both demonstrating better performance than the single-camera, which had a picking success rate of 77.7% with a MED of 24.02 mm. To evaluate the effect of picking point accuracy in collecting fruits, a series of robotic harvesting experiments were performed utilising a collaborative robot (cobot). It is shown that multi-vision systems can improve picking point localisation, resulting in higher success rates of picking in robotic harvesting.
UniMatch: Universal Matching from Atom to Task for Few-Shot Drug Discovery
Li, Ruifeng, Li, Mingqian, Liu, Wei, Zhou, Yuhua, Zhou, Xiangxin, Yao, Yuan, Zhang, Qiang, Chen, Hongyang
Drug discovery is crucial for identifying candidate drugs for various diseases.However, its low success rate often results in a scarcity of annotations, posing a few-shot learning problem. Existing methods primarily focus on single-scale features, overlooking the hierarchical molecular structures that determine different molecular properties. To address these issues, we introduce Universal Matching Networks (UniMatch), a dual matching framework that integrates explicit hierarchical molecular matching with implicit task-level matching via meta-learning, bridging multi-level molecular representations and task-level generalization. Specifically, our approach explicitly captures structural features across multiple levels, such as atoms, substructures, and molecules, via hierarchical pooling and matching, facilitating precise molecular representation and comparison. Additionally, we employ a meta-learning strategy for implicit task-level matching, allowing the model to capture shared patterns across tasks and quickly adapt to new ones. This unified matching framework ensures effective molecular alignment while leveraging shared meta-knowledge for fast adaptation. Our experimental results demonstrate that UniMatch outperforms state-of-the-art methods on the MoleculeNet and FS-Mol benchmarks, achieving improvements of 2.87% in AUROC and 6.52% in delta AUPRC. UniMatch also shows excellent generalization ability on the Meta-MolNet benchmark.
Computational-Statistical Tradeoffs at the Next-Token Prediction Barrier: Autoregressive and Imitation Learning under Misspecification
Rohatgi, Dhruv, Block, Adam, Huang, Audrey, Krishnamurthy, Akshay, Foster, Dylan J.
Next-token prediction with the logarithmic loss is a cornerstone of autoregressive sequence modeling, but, in practice, suffers from error amplification, where errors in the model compound and generation quality degrades as sequence length $H$ increases. From a theoretical perspective, this phenomenon should not appear in well-specified settings, and, indeed, a growing body of empirical work hypothesizes that misspecification, where the learner is not sufficiently expressive to represent the target distribution, may be the root cause. Under misspecification -- where the goal is to learn as well as the best-in-class model up to a multiplicative approximation factor $C\geq 1$ -- we confirm that $C$ indeed grows with $H$ for next-token prediction, lending theoretical support to this empirical hypothesis. We then ask whether this mode of error amplification is avoidable algorithmically, computationally, or information-theoretically, and uncover inherent computational-statistical tradeoffs. We show: (1) Information-theoretically, one can avoid error amplification and achieve $C=O(1)$. (2) Next-token prediction can be made robust so as to achieve $C=\tilde O(H)$, representing moderate error amplification, but this is an inherent barrier: any next-token prediction-style objective must suffer $C=\Omega(H)$. (3) For the natural testbed of autoregressive linear models, no computationally efficient algorithm can achieve sub-polynomial approximation factor $C=e^{(\log H)^{1-\Omega(1)}}$; however, at least for binary token spaces, one can smoothly trade compute for statistical power and improve on $C=\Omega(H)$ in sub-exponential time. Our results have consequences in the more general setting of imitation learning, where the widely-used behavior cloning algorithm generalizes next-token prediction.
Understanding Generalization in Transformers: Error Bounds and Training Dynamics Under Benign and Harmful Overfitting
Zhang, Yingying, Wu, Zhenyu, Li, Jian, Liu, Yong
Transformers serve as the foundational architecture for many successful large-scale models, demonstrating the ability to overfit the training data while maintaining strong generalization on unseen data, a phenomenon known as benign overfitting. However, research on how the training dynamics influence error bounds within the context of benign overfitting has been limited. This paper addresses this gap by developing a generalization theory for a two-layer transformer with labeled flip noise. Specifically, we present generalization error bounds for both benign and harmful overfitting under varying signal-to-noise ratios (SNR), where the training dynamics are categorized into three distinct stages, each with its corresponding error bounds. Additionally, we conduct extensive experiments to identify key factors that influence test errors in transformers. Our experimental results align closely with the theoretical predictions, validating our findings.