Semiconductor devices, especially MOSFETs (Metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistor), are crucial in power electronics, but their reliability is affected by aging processes influenced by cycling and temperature. The primary aging mechanism in discrete semiconductors and power modules is the bond wire lift-off, caused by crack growth due to thermal fatigue. The process is empirically characterized by exponential growth and an abrupt end of life, making long-term aging forecasts challenging. This research presents a comprehensive comparative assessment of different forecasting methods for MOSFET failure forecasting applications. Classical tracking, statistical forecasting and Neural Network (NN) based forecasting models are implemented along with novel Temporal Fusion Transformers (TFTs). A comprehensive comparison is performed assessing their MOSFET ageing forecasting ability for different forecasting horizons. For short-term predictions, all algorithms result in acceptable results, with the best results produced by classical NN forecasting models at the expense of higher computations. For long-term forecasting, only the TFT is able to produce valid outcomes owing to the ability to integrate covariates from the expected future conditions. Additionally, TFT attention points identify key ageing turning points, which indicate new failure modes or accelerated ageing phases.

Counterfactual explanations have been successfully applied to create human interpretable explanations for various black-box models. They are handy for tasks in the image domain, where the quality of the explanations benefits from recent advances in generative models. Although counterfactual explanations have been widely applied to classification models, their application to regression tasks remains underexplored. We present two methods to create counterfactual explanations for image regression tasks using diffusion-based generative models to address challenges in sparsity and quality: 1) one based on a Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model that operates directly in pixel-space and 2) another based on a Diffusion Autoencoder operating in latent space. Both produce realistic, semantic, and smooth counterfactuals on CelebA-HQ and a synthetic data set, providing easily interpretable insights into the decision-making process of the regression model and reveal spurious correlations. We find that for regression counterfactuals, changes in features depend on the region of the predicted value. Large semantic changes are needed for significant changes in predicted values, making it harder to find sparse counterfactuals than with classifiers. Moreover, pixel space counterfactuals are more sparse while latent space counterfactuals are of higher quality and allow bigger semantic changes.

Supervised machine-learning models often underperform in predicting user behaviors from conversational text, hindered by poor crowdsourced label quality and low NLP task accuracy. We introduce the Metadata-Sensitive Weighted-Encoding Ensemble Model (MSWEEM), which integrates annotator meta-features like fatigue and speeding. First, our results show MSWEEM outperforms standard ensembles by 14\% on held-out data and 12\% on an alternative dataset. Second, we find that incorporating signals of annotator behavior, such as speed and fatigue, significantly boosts model performance. Third, we find that annotators with higher qualifications, such as Master's, deliver more consistent and faster annotations. Given the increasing uncertainty over annotation quality, our experiments show that understanding annotator patterns is crucial for enhancing model accuracy in user behavior prediction.

Urban transportation networks are vital for the efficient movement of people and goods, necessitating effective traffic management and planning. An integral part of traffic management is understanding the turning movement counts (TMCs) at intersections, Accurate TMCs at intersections are crucial for traffic signal control, congestion mitigation, and road safety. In general, TMCs are obtained using physical sensors installed at intersections, but this approach can be cost-prohibitive and technically challenging, especially for cities with extensive road networks. Recent advancements in machine learning and data-driven approaches have offered promising alternatives for estimating TMCs. Traffic patterns can vary significantly across different intersections due to factors such as road geometry, traffic signal settings, and local driver behaviors. This domain discrepancy limits the generalizability and accuracy of machine learning models when applied to new or unseen intersections. In response to these limitations, this research proposes a novel framework leveraging domain adaptation (DA) to estimate TMCs at intersections by using traffic controller event-based data, road infrastructure data, and point-of-interest (POI) data. Evaluated on 30 intersections in Tucson, Arizona, the performance of the proposed DA framework was compared with state-of-the-art models and achieved the lowest values in terms of Mean Absolute Error and Root Mean Square Error.

We propose a way to optimize chain-of-thought with reinforcement learning, but without external reward function. Our algorithm relies on viewing chain-of-thought as latent variable as part of a probabilistic inference problem. Contrary to the full evidence lower bound, we propose to apply a much simpler Jensen's lower bound, which derives tractable objectives with simple algorithmic components (e.g., without the need for parametric approximate posterior), making it more conducive to modern large-scale training. The lower bound approach naturally interpolates other methods such as supervised fine-tuning and online reinforcement learning, whose practical trade-offs we will illustrate. Finally, we show that on mathematical reasoning problems, optimizing with Jensen's lower bound is as effective as policy gradient with external reward. Taken together, our results showcase as a proof of concept to this new algorithmic paradigm's potential to more generic applications.

Projected Gradient Descent (PGD) under the $L_\infty$ ball has become one of the defacto methods used in adversarial robustness evaluation for computer vision (CV) due to its reliability and efficacy, making a strong and easy-to-implement iterative baseline. However, PGD is computationally demanding to apply, especially when using thousands of iterations is the current best-practice recommendation to generate an adversarial example for a single image. In this work, we introduce a simple novel method for early termination of PGD based on cycle detection by exploiting the geometry of how PGD is implemented in practice and show that it can produce large speedup factors while providing the \emph{exact} same estimate of model robustness as standard PGD. This method substantially speeds up PGD without sacrificing any attack strength, enabling evaluations of robustness that were previously computationally intractable.

Institute of Information Technology Jamk University of Applied Sciences PO Box 207, FI-40101, Jyv askyl a, Finland Abstract The progress of artificial intelligence (AI) has made sophisticated methods available for cyberattacks and red team activities. The new methods can also accelerate the execution of the attacks. This review article examines the use of AI technologies in cyber-security attacks. It also tries to describe typical targets for such attacks. We employed a scoping review methodology to analyze articles and identify AI methods, targets, and models that red teams can utilize to simulate cybercrime. From the 470 records screened, 11 were included in the review. Various cyberattack methods were identified, targeting sensitive data, systems, social media profiles, passwords, and URLs. The application of AI in cybercrime to develop versatile attack models presents an increasing threat. Furthermore, AI-based techniques in red team use can provide new ways to address these issues. Keywords: Artificial intelligence, red team, red teaming, cyberattack, cybersecurity. 1 Introduction The possibility of artificial intelligence (AI) simulating human behavior has emerged as a significant cybersecurity threat.

Ensuring transparency in machine learning decisions is critically important, especially in sensitive sectors such as healthcare, finance, and justice. Despite this, some popular explainable algorithms, such as Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME), often produce unstable explanations due to the random generation of perturbed samples. Random perturbation introduces small changes or noise to modified instances of the original data, leading to inconsistent explanations. Even slight variations in the generated samples significantly affect the explanations provided by such models, undermining trust and hindering the adoption of interpretable models. To address this challenge, we propose MindfulLIME, a novel algorithm that intelligently generates purposive samples using a graph-based pruning algorithm and uncertainty sampling. MindfulLIME substantially improves the consistency of visual explanations compared to random sampling approaches. Our experimental evaluation, conducted on a widely recognized chest X-ray dataset, confirms MindfulLIME's stability with a 100% success rate in delivering reliable explanations under identical conditions. Additionally, MindfulLIME improves the localization precision of visual explanations by reducing the distance between the generated explanations and the actual local annotations compared to LIME. We also performed comprehensive experiments considering various segmentation algorithms and sample numbers, focusing on stability, quality, and efficiency. The results demonstrate the outstanding performance of MindfulLIME across different segmentation settings, generating fewer high-quality samples within a reasonable processing time. By addressing the stability limitations of LIME in image data, MindfulLIME enhances the trustworthiness and interpretability of machine learning models in specific medical imaging applications, a critical domain.

Identifying immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) studies in genomic repositories like Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) is vital for cancer research yet remains challenging due to semantic ambiguity, extreme class imbalance, and limited labeled data in low-resource settings. We present ProtoBERT-LoRA, a hybrid framework that combines PubMedBERT with prototypical networks and Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) for efficient fine-tuning. The model enforces class-separable embeddings via episodic prototype training while preserving biomedical domain knowledge. Our dataset was divided as: Training (20 positive, 20 negative), Prototype Set (10 positive, 10 negative), Validation (20 positive, 200 negative), and Test (71 positive, 765 negative). Evaluated on test dataset, ProtoBERT-LoRA achieved F1-score of 0.624 (precision: 0.481, recall: 0.887), outperforming the rule-based system, machine learning baselines and finetuned PubMedBERT. Application to 44,287 unlabeled studies reduced manual review efforts by 82%. Ablation studies confirmed that combining prototypes with LoRA improved performance by 29% over stand-alone LoRA.

Robust regression aims to develop methods for estimating an unknown regression function in the presence of outliers, heavy-tailed distributions, or contaminated data, which can severely impact performance. Most existing theoretical results in robust regression assume that the noise has a finite absolute mean, an assumption violated by certain distributions, such as Cauchy and some Pareto noise. In this paper, we introduce a generalized Cauchy noise framework that accommodates all noise distributions with finite moments of any order, even when the absolute mean is infinite. Within this framework, we study the \textit{kernel Cauchy ridge regressor} (\textit{KCRR}), which minimizes a regularized empirical Cauchy risk to achieve robustness. To derive the $L_2$-risk bound for KCRR, we establish a connection between the excess Cauchy risk and $L_2$-risk for sufficiently large scale parameters of the Cauchy loss, which reveals that these two risks are equivalent. Furthermore, under the assumption that the regression function satisfies H\"older smoothness, we derive excess Cauchy risk bounds for KCRR, showing improved performance as the scale parameter decreases. By considering the twofold effect of the scale parameter on the excess Cauchy risk and its equivalence with the $L_2$-risk, we establish the almost minimax-optimal convergence rate for KCRR in terms of $L_2$-risk, highlighting the robustness of the Cauchy loss in handling various types of noise. Finally, we validate the effectiveness of KCRR through experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets under diverse noise corruption scenarios.