Accuracy
Biased Binary Attribute Classifiers Ignore the Majority Classes
Zhang, Xinyi, Bieri, Johanna Sophie, Günther, Manuel
To visualize the regions of interest that classifiers base their decisions on, different Class Activation Mapping (CAM) methods have been developed. However, all of these techniques target categorical classifiers only, though most real-world tasks are binary classification. In this paper, we extend gradient-based CAM techniques to work with binary classifiers and visualize the active regions for binary facial attribute classifiers. When training an unbalanced binary classifier on an imbalanced dataset, it is well-known that the majority class, i.e. the class with many training samples, is mostly predicted much better than minority class with few training instances. In our experiments on the CelebA dataset, we verify these results, when training an unbalanced classifier to extract 40 facial attributes simultaneously. One would expect that the biased classifier has learned to extract features mainly for the majority classes and that the proportional energy of the activations mainly reside in certain specific regions of the image where the attribute is located. However, we find very little regular activation for samples of majority classes, while the active regions for minority classes seem mostly reasonable and overlap with our expectations. These results suggest that biased classifiers mainly rely on bias activation for majority classes. When training a balanced classifier on the imbalanced data by employing attribute-specific class weights, majority and minority classes are classified similarly well and show expected activations for almost all attributes
Cost-Sensitive Learning to Defer to Multiple Experts with Workload Constraints
Alves, Jean V., Leitão, Diogo, Jesus, Sérgio, Sampaio, Marco O. P., Liébana, Javier, Saleiro, Pedro, Figueiredo, Mário A. T., Bizarro, Pedro
Learning to defer (L2D) aims to improve human-AI collaboration systems by learning how to defer decisions to humans when they are more likely to be correct than an ML classifier. Existing research in L2D overlooks key aspects of real-world systems that impede its practical adoption, namely: i) neglecting cost-sensitive scenarios, where type 1 and type 2 errors have different costs; ii) requiring concurrent human predictions for every instance of the training dataset and iii) not dealing with human work capacity constraints. To address these issues, we propose the deferral under cost and capacity constraints framework (DeCCaF). DeCCaF is a novel L2D approach, employing supervised learning to model the probability of human error under less restrictive data requirements (only one expert prediction per instance) and using constraint programming to globally minimize the error cost subject to workload limitations. We test DeCCaF in a series of cost-sensitive fraud detection scenarios with different teams of 9 synthetic fraud analysts, with individual work capacity constraints. The results demonstrate that our approach performs significantly better than the baselines in a wide array of scenarios, achieving an average 8.4% reduction in the misclassification cost.
A Classifier-Based Approach to Multi-Class Anomaly Detection for Astronomical Transients
Gupta, Rithwik, Muthukrishna, Daniel, Lochner, Michelle
Automating real-time anomaly detection is essential for identifying rare transients in the era of large-scale astronomical surveys. Modern survey telescopes are generating tens of thousands of alerts per night, and future telescopes, such as the Vera C. Rubin Observatory, are projected to increase this number dramatically. Currently, most anomaly detection algorithms for astronomical transients rely either on hand-crafted features extracted from light curves or on features generated through unsupervised representation learning, which are then coupled with standard machine learning anomaly detection algorithms. In this work, we introduce an alternative approach to detecting anomalies: using the penultimate layer of a neural network classifier as the latent space for anomaly detection. We then propose a novel method, named Multi-Class Isolation Forests (MCIF), which trains separate isolation forests for each class to derive an anomaly score for a light curve from the latent space representation given by the classifier. This approach significantly outperforms a standard isolation forest. We also use a simpler input method for real-time transient classifiers which circumvents the need for interpolation in light curves and helps the neural network model inter-passband relationships and handle irregular sampling. Our anomaly detection pipeline identifies rare classes including kilonovae, pair-instability supernovae, and intermediate luminosity transients shortly after trigger on simulated Zwicky Transient Facility light curves. Using a sample of our simulations that matched the population of anomalies expected in nature (54 anomalies and 12,040 common transients), our method was able to discover $41\pm3$ anomalies (~75% recall) after following up the top 2000 (~15%) ranked transients. Our novel method shows that classifiers can be effectively repurposed for real-time anomaly detection.
Physics-Based Causal Reasoning for Safe & Robust Next-Best Action Selection in Robot Manipulation Tasks
Cannizzaro, Ricardo, Groom, Michael, Routley, Jonathan, Ness, Robert Osazuwa, Kunze, Lars
Safe and efficient object manipulation is a key enabler of many real-world robot applications. However, this is challenging because robot operation must be robust to a range of sensor and actuator uncertainties. In this paper, we present a physics-informed causal-inference-based framework for a robot to probabilistically reason about candidate actions in a block stacking task in a partially observable setting. We integrate a physics-based simulation of the rigid-body system dynamics with a causal Bayesian network (CBN) formulation to define a causal generative probabilistic model of the robot decision-making process. Using simulation-based Monte Carlo experiments, we demonstrate our framework's ability to successfully: (1) predict block tower stability with high accuracy (Pred Acc: 88.6%); and, (2) select an approximate next-best action for the block stacking task, for execution by an integrated robot system, achieving 94.2% task success rate. We also demonstrate our framework's suitability for real-world robot systems by demonstrating successful task executions with a domestic support robot, with perception and manipulation sub-system integration. Hence, we show that by embedding physics-based causal reasoning into robots' decision-making processes, we can make robot task execution safer, more reliable, and more robust to various types of uncertainty.
Analysing and Organising Human Communications for AI Fairness-Related Decisions: Use Cases from the Public Sector
Dankloff, Mirthe, Skoric, Vanja, Sileno, Giovanni, Ghebreab, Sennay, Van Ossenbruggen, Jacco, Beauxis-Aussalet, Emma
AI algorithms used in the public sector, e.g., for allocating social benefits or predicting fraud, often involve multiple public and private stakeholders at various phases of the algorithm's life-cycle. Communication issues between these diverse stakeholders can lead to misinterpretation and misuse of algorithms. We investigate the communication processes for AI fairness-related decisions by conducting interviews with practitioners working on algorithmic systems in the public sector. By applying qualitative coding analysis, we identify key elements of communication processes that underlie fairness-related human decisions. We analyze the division of roles, tasks, skills, and challenges perceived by stakeholders. We formalize the underlying communication issues within a conceptual framework that i. represents the communication patterns ii. outlines missing elements, such as actors who miss skills for their tasks. The framework is used for describing and analyzing key organizational issues for fairness-related decisions. Three general patterns emerge from the analysis: 1. Policy-makers, civil servants, and domain experts are less involved compared to developers throughout a system's life-cycle. This leads to developers taking on extra roles such as advisor, while they potentially miss the required skills and guidance from domain experts. 2. End-users and policy-makers often lack the technical skills to interpret a system's limitations, and rely on developer roles for making decisions concerning fairness issues. 3. Citizens are structurally absent throughout a system's life-cycle, which may lead to decisions that do not include relevant considerations from impacted stakeholders.
Evo* 2023 -- Late-Breaking Abstracts Volume
Mora, A. M., Esparcia-Alcázar, A. I.
This volume comprises the Late-Breaking Abstracts accepted for the Evo* 2023 Conference, hosted in Brno (Czech Republic), from April 12th to 14th. These abstracts were featured in both short talks and the conference's poster session, offering insights into ongoing research and preliminary findings exploring the application of various Evolutionary Computation approaches and other Nature-Inspired techniques to real-world problems. These contributions represent promising developments, highlighting forthcoming advances and applications in the field of nature-inspired methods, particularly Evolutionary Algorithms.
Sampling Audit Evidence Using a Naive Bayes Classifier
Taiwan's auditors have suffered from processing excessive audit data, including drawing audit evidence. This study advances sampling techniques by integrating machine learning with sampling. This machine learning integration helps avoid sampling bias, keep randomness and variability, and target risker samples. We first classify data using a Naive Bayes classifier into some classes. Next, a user-based, item-based, or hybrid approach is employed to draw audit evidence. The representativeness index is the primary metric for measuring its representativeness. The user-based approach samples data symmetric around the median of a class as audit evidence. It may be equivalent to a combination of monetary and variable samplings. The item-based approach represents asymmetric sampling based on posterior probabilities for obtaining risky samples as audit evidence. It may be identical to a combination of non-statistical and monetary samplings. Auditors can hybridize those user-based and item-based approaches to balance representativeness and riskiness in selecting audit evidence. Three experiments show that sampling using machine learning integration has the benefits of drawing unbiased samples, handling complex patterns, correlations, and unstructured data, and improving efficiency in sampling big data. However, the limitations are the classification accuracy output by machine learning algorithms and the range of prior probabilities.
Clinical information extraction for Low-resource languages with Few-shot learning using Pre-trained language models and Prompting
Richter-Pechanski, Phillip, Wiesenbach, Philipp, Schwab, Dominic M., Kiriakou, Christina, Geis, Nicolas, Dieterich, Christoph, Frank, Anette
Automatic extraction of medical information from these data poses several challenges: high costs of required clinical expertise, restricted computational resources, strict privacy regulations, and limited interpretability of model predictions. Recent domain adaptation and prompting methods using lightweight masked language models showed promising results with minimal training data and allow for application of well-established interpretability methods. We are first to present a systematic evaluation of advanced domain adaptation and prompting methods in a low-resource medical domain task, performing multiclass section classification on German doctor's letters. We evaluate a variety of models, model sizes, (further-pre)training and task settings, and conduct extensive class-wise evaluations supported by Shapley values to validate the quality of small-scale training data, and to ensure interpretability of model predictions. We show that in few-shot learning scenarios, a lightweight, domain-adapted pretrained language model, prompted with just 20 shots per section class, outperforms a traditional classification model, by increasing accuracy from 48.6% to 79.1%.
A Big Data Analytics System for Predicting Suicidal Ideation in Real-Time Based on Social Media Streaming Data
Allayla, Mohamed A., Ayvaz, Serkan
Online social media platforms have recently become integral to our society and daily routines. Every day, users worldwide spend a couple of hours on such platforms, expressing their sentiments and emotional state and contacting each other. Analyzing such huge amounts of data from these platforms can provide a clear insight into public sentiments and help detect their mental status. The early identification of these health condition risks may assist in preventing or reducing the number of suicide ideation and potentially saving people's lives. The traditional techniques have become ineffective in processing such streams and large-scale datasets. Therefore, the paper proposed a new methodology based on a big data architecture to predict suicidal ideation from social media content. The proposed approach provides a practical analysis of social media data in two phases: batch processing and real-time streaming prediction. The batch dataset was collected from the Reddit forum and used for model building and training, while streaming big data was extracted using Twitter streaming API and used for real-time prediction. After the raw data was preprocessed, the extracted features were fed to multiple Apache Spark ML classifiers: NB, LR, LinearSVC, DT, RF, and MLP. We conducted various experiments using various feature-extraction techniques with different testing scenarios. The experimental results of the batch processing phase showed that the features extracted of (Unigram + Bigram) + CV-IDF with MLP classifier provided high performance for classifying suicidal ideation, with an accuracy of 93.47%, and then applied for real-time streaming prediction phase.
FUELVISION: A Multimodal Data Fusion and Multimodel Ensemble Algorithm for Wildfire Fuels Mapping
Shaik, Riyaaz Uddien, Alipour, Mohamad, Rowell, Eric, Balaji, Bharathan, Watts, Adam, Taciroglu, Ertugrul
Accurate assessment of fuel conditions is a prerequisite for fire ignition and behavior prediction, and risk management. The method proposed herein leverages diverse data sources including Landsat-8 optical imagery, Sentinel-1 (C-band) Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery, PALSAR (L-band) SAR imagery, and terrain features to capture comprehensive information about fuel types and distributions. An ensemble model was trained to predict landscape-scale fuels such as the 'Scott and Burgan 40' using the as-received Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) field survey plot data obtained from the USDA Forest Service. However, this basic approach yielded relatively poor results due to the inadequate amount of training data. Pseudo-labeled and fully synthetic datasets were developed using generative AI approaches to address the limitations of ground truth data availability. These synthetic datasets were used for augmenting the FIA data from California to enhance the robustness and coverage of model training. The use of an ensemble of methods including deep learning neural networks, decision trees, and gradient boosting offered a fuel mapping accuracy of nearly 80\%. Through extensive experimentation and evaluation, the effectiveness of the proposed approach was validated for regions of the 2021 Dixie and Caldor fires. Comparative analyses against high-resolution data from the National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP) and timber harvest maps affirmed the robustness and reliability of the proposed approach, which is capable of near-real-time fuel mapping.