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 Learning Graphical Models


Survey on Models and Techniques for Root-Cause Analysis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Automation and computer intelligence to support complex human decisions becomes essential to manage large and distributed systems in the Cloud and IoT era. Understanding the root cause of an observed symptom in a complex system has been a major problem for decades. As industry dives into the IoT world and the amount of data generated per year grows at an amazing speed, an important question is how to find appropriate mechanisms to determine root causes that can handle huge amounts of data or may provide valuable feedback in real-time. While many survey papers aim at summarizing the landscape of techniques for modelling system behavior and infering the root cause of a problem based in the resulting models, none of those focuses on analyzing how the different techniques in the literature fit growing requirements in terms of performance and scalability. In this survey, we provide a review of root-cause analysis, focusing on these particular aspects. We also provide guidance to choose the best root-cause analysis strategy depending on the requirements of a particular system and application.


AI – The Present in the Making

#artificialintelligence

I attended the Huawei European Innovation Day recently, and was enthralled by how the new technology is giving rise to industrial revolutions. These revolutions are what will eventually unlock the development potential around the world. It is important to leverage the emerging technologies, since they are the resources which will lead us to innovation and progress. Huawei is innovative in its partnerships and collaboration to define the future, and the event was a huge success. For many people, the concept of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a thing of the future. It is the technology that has yet to be introduced.


Location Dependent Dirichlet Processes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Dirichlet processes (DP) are widely applied in Bayesian nonparametric modeling. However, in their basic form they do not directly integrate dependency information among data arising from space and time. In this paper, we propose location dependent Dirichlet processes (LDDP) which incorporate nonparametric Gaussian processes in the DP modeling framework to model such dependencies. We develop the LDDP in the context of mixture modeling, and develop a mean field variational inference algorithm for this mixture model. The effectiveness of the proposed modeling framework is shown on an image segmentation task.


Efficient Learning of Mixed Membership Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present an efficient algorithm for learning mixed membership models when the number of variables $p$ is much larger than the number of hidden components $k$. This algorithm reduces the computational complexity of state-of-the-art tensor methods, which require decomposing an $O\left(p^3\right)$ tensor, to factorizing $O\left(p/k\right)$ sub-tensors each of size $O\left(k^3\right)$. In addition, we address the issue of negative entries in the empirical method of moments based estimators. We provide sufficient conditions under which our approach has provable guarantees. Our approach obtains competitive empirical results on both simulated and real data.


Top Machine Learning Interview Questions and Answers for 2017

#artificialintelligence

According to a list released by the popular job portal Indeed.com on 30 fastest growing jobs in technology- With the demand for machine learning engineers and data scientists outstripping the supply, organizations are finding it difficult to hire skilled talent and so are prospective candidates for machine learning jobs finding it difficult to crack a machine learning interview. Machine learning is a broad field and there are no specific machine learning interview questions that are likely to be asked during a machine learning engineer job interview because the machine learning interview questions asked will focus on the open job position the employer is trying to fill. For instance, if you consider a machine learning engineer job role for finance vs. a robotics job, both of them will be completely different in terms of data, architecture and the responsibilities involved. Machine learning engineer job role for robotics will require a candidate to focus working on Neural Networks based architecture while the machine learning tasks for finance will focus working more on Linear and Logistic regression algorithms. A machine learning interview is definitely not a pop quiz and one must know what to expect going in.


Sampling Based Approaches for Minimizing Regret in Uncertain Markov Decision Processes (MDPs)

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are an effective model to represent decision processes in the presence of transitional uncertainty and reward tradeoffs. However, due to the difficulty in exactly specifying the transition and reward functions in MDPs, researchers have proposed uncertain MDP models and robustness objectives in solving those models. Most approaches for computing robust policies have focused on the computation of maximin policies which maximize the value in the worst case amongst all realisations of uncertainty. Given the overly conservative nature of maximin policies, recent work has proposed minimax regret as an ideal alternative to the maximin objective for robust optimization. However, existing algorithms for handling minimax regret are restricted to models with uncertainty over rewards only and they are also limited in their scalability. Therefore, we provide a general model of uncertain MDPs that considers uncertainty over both transition and reward functions. Furthermore, we also consider dependence of the uncertainty across different states and decision epochs. We also provide a mixed integer linear program formulation for minimizing regret given a set of samples of the transition and reward functions in the uncertain MDP. In addition, we provide two myopic variants of regret, namely Cumulative Expected Myopic Regret (CEMR) and One Step Regret (OSR) that can be optimized in a scalable manner. Specifically, we provide dynamic programming and policy iteration based algorithms to optimize CEMR and OSR respectively. Finally, to demonstrate the effectiveness of our approaches, we provide comparisons on two benchmark problems from literature. We observe that optimizing the myopic variants of regret, OSR and CEMR are better than directly optimizing the regret.


WatsonPaths: Scenario-Based Question Answering and Inference over Unstructured Information

AI Magazine

We present WatsonPaths, a novel system that can answer scenario-based questions. These include medical questions that present a patient summary and ask for the most likely diagnosis or most appropriate treatment. WatsonPaths builds on the IBM Watson question answering system. WatsonPaths breaks down the input scenario into individual pieces of information, asks relevant subquestions of Watson to conclude new information, and represents these results in a graphical model. Probabilistic inference is performed over the graph to conclude the answer. On a set of medical test preparation questions, WatsonPaths shows a significant improvement in accuracy over multiple baselines.


AI – The Present in the Making

@machinelearnbot

I attended the Huawei European Innovation Day recently, and was enthralled by how the new technology is giving rise to industrial revolutions. These revolutions are what will eventually unlock the development potential around the world. It is important to leverage the emerging technologies, since they are the resources which will lead us to innovation and progress. Huawei is innovative in its partnerships and collaboration to define the future, and the event was a huge success. For many people, the concept of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a thing of the future. It is the technology that has yet to be introduced.


Probabilistic Active Learning of Functions in Structural Causal Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the problem of learning the functions computing children from parents in a Structural Causal Model once the underlying causal graph has been identified. This is in some sense the second step after causal discovery. Taking a probabilistic approach to estimating these functions, we derive a natural myopic active learning scheme that identifies the intervention which is optimally informative about all of the unknown functions jointly, given previously observed data. We test the derived algorithms on simple examples, to demonstrate that they produce a structured exploration policy that significantly improves on unstructured base-lines.


Bottleneck Conditional Density Estimation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce a new framework for training deep generative models for high-dimensional conditional density estimation. The Bottleneck Conditional Density Estimator (BCDE) is a variant of the conditional variational autoencoder (CVAE) that employs layer(s) of stochastic variables as the bottleneck between the input $x$ and target $y$, where both are high-dimensional. Crucially, we propose a new hybrid training method that blends the conditional generative model with a joint generative model. Hybrid blending is the key to effective training of the BCDE, which avoids overfitting and provides a novel mechanism for leveraging unlabeled data. We show that our hybrid training procedure enables models to achieve competitive results in the MNIST quadrant prediction task in the fully-supervised setting, and sets new benchmarks in the semi-supervised regime for MNIST, SVHN, and CelebA.