The growing use of machine learning (ML) has raised concerns that an ML model may reveal private information about an individual who has contributed to the training dataset. To prevent leakage of sensitive data, we consider using differentially-private (DP), synthetic training data instead of real training data to train an ML model. A key desirable property of synthetic data is its ability to preserve the low-order marginals of the original distribution. Our main contribution comprises novel upper and lower bounds on the excess empirical risk of linear models trained on such synthetic data, for continuous and Lipschitz loss functions. We perform extensive experimentation alongside our theoretical results.

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have gained popularity for various graph-related tasks. However, similar to deep neural networks, GNNs are also vulnerable to adversarial attacks. Empirical studies have shown that adversarially robust generalization has a pivotal role in establishing effective defense algorithms against adversarial attacks. In this paper, we contribute by providing adversarially robust generalization bounds for two kinds of popular GNNs, graph convolutional network (GCN) and message passing graph neural network, using the PAC-Bayesian framework. Our result reveals that spectral norm of the diffusion matrix on the graph and spectral norm of the weights as well as the perturbation factor govern the robust generalization bounds of both models. Our bounds are nontrivial generalizations of the results developed in (Liao et al., 2020) from the standard setting to adversarial setting while avoiding exponential dependence of the maximum node degree. As corollaries, we derive better PAC-Bayesian robust generalization bounds for GCN in the standard setting, which improve the bounds in (Liao et al., 2020) by avoiding exponential dependence on the maximum node degree.

Spanning over two decades, the study of qubits in semiconductors for quantum computing has yielded significant breakthroughs. However, the development of large-scale semiconductor quantum circuits is still limited by challenges in efficiently tuning and operating these circuits. Identifying optimal operating conditions for these qubits is complex, involving the exploration of vast parameter spaces. This presents a real 'needle in the haystack' problem, which, until now, has resisted complete automation due to device variability and fabrication imperfections. In this study, we present the first fully autonomous tuning of a semiconductor qubit, from a grounded device to Rabi oscillations, a clear indication of successful qubit operation. We demonstrate this automation, achieved without human intervention, in a Ge/Si core/shell nanowire device. Our approach integrates deep learning, Bayesian optimization, and computer vision techniques. We expect this automation algorithm to apply to a wide range of semiconductor qubit devices, allowing for statistical studies of qubit quality metrics. As a demonstration of the potential of full automation, we characterise how the Rabi frequency and g-factor depend on barrier gate voltages for one of the qubits found by the algorithm. Twenty years after the initial demonstrations of spin qubit operation, this significant advancement is poised to finally catalyze the operation of large, previously unexplored quantum circuits.

In the current landscape of deep learning research, there is a predominant emphasis on achieving high predictive accuracy in supervised tasks involving large image and language datasets. However, a broader perspective reveals a multitude of overlooked metrics, tasks, and data types, such as uncertainty, active and continual learning, and scientific data, that demand attention. Bayesian deep learning (BDL) constitutes a promising avenue, offering advantages across these diverse settings. This paper posits that BDL can elevate the capabilities of deep learning. It revisits the strengths of BDL, acknowledges existing challenges, and highlights some exciting research avenues aimed at addressing these obstacles. Looking ahead, the discussion focuses on possible ways to combine large-scale foundation models with BDL to unlock their full potential.

Diffusion Models (DMs) have disrupted the image Super-Resolution (SR) field and further closed the gap between image quality and human perceptual preferences. They are easy to train and can produce very high-quality samples that exceed the realism of those produced by previous generative methods. Despite their promising results, they also come with new challenges that need further research: high computational demands, comparability, lack of explainability, color shifts, and more. Unfortunately, entry into this field is overwhelming because of the abundance of publications. To address this, we provide a unified recount of the theoretical foundations underlying DMs applied to image SR and offer a detailed analysis that underscores the unique characteristics and methodologies within this domain, distinct from broader existing reviews in the field. This survey articulates a cohesive understanding of DM principles and explores current research avenues, including alternative input domains, conditioning techniques, guidance mechanisms, corruption spaces, and zero-shot learning approaches. By offering a detailed examination of the evolution and current trends in image SR through the lens of DMs, this survey sheds light on the existing challenges and charts potential future directions, aiming to inspire further innovation in this rapidly advancing area.

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of latent variable models is often recast as an optimization problem over the extended space of parameters and probability distributions. For example, the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm can be interpreted as coordinate descent applied to a suitable free energy functional over this space. Recently, this perspective has been combined with insights from optimal transport and Wasserstein gradient flows to develop particle-based algorithms applicable to wider classes of models than standard EM. Drawing inspiration from prior works which interpret `momentum-enriched' optimisation algorithms as discretizations of ordinary differential equations, we propose an analogous dynamical systems-inspired approach to minimizing the free energy functional over the extended space of parameters and probability distributions. The result is a dynamic system that blends elements of Nesterov's Accelerated Gradient method, the underdamped Langevin diffusion, and particle methods. Under suitable assumptions, we establish quantitative convergence of the proposed system to the unique minimiser of the functional in continuous time. We then propose a numerical discretization of this system which enables its application to parameter estimation in latent variable models. Through numerical experiments, we demonstrate that the resulting algorithm converges faster than existing methods and compares favourably with other (approximate) MLE algorithms.

Low-rank adaptation (LoRA) has emerged as a new paradigm for cost-efficient finetuning of large language models (LLMs). However, fine-tuned LLMs often become overconfident especially when fine-tuned on small datasets. Bayesian methods, with their inherent ability to estimate uncertainty, serve as potent tools to mitigate overconfidence and enhance calibration. In this work, we introduce Laplace-LoRA, which applies a Bayesian approach to the LoRA parameters. Specifically, Laplace-LoRA applies a Laplace approximation to the posterior over the LoRA parameters, considerably improving the calibration of fine-tuned LLMs. In recent years, fine-tuning large language models (LLMs) have become increasingly important (Houlsby et al., 2019; Hu et al., 2021; Liu et al., 2022; Ding et al., 2022; 2023). Fine-tuning is used both to adapt LLMs for specific tasks and to create general instruction-following models (e.g. using Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback; RLHF Wei et al., 2021; Ouyang et al., 2022; Chung et al., 2022; Wang et al., 2022). However, fine-tuned LLMs have a notable limitation: they often exhibit overconfidence (Jiang et al., 2021; Xiao et al., 2022; He et al., 2023; Tian et al., 2023; OpenAI, 2023). This is particularly problematic in safety-critical applications or when making decisions in areas where limited data is available, such as medical diagnosis, finance and experimental design (Singhal et al., 2022; Wu et al., 2023; Lampinen et al., 2023; Li et al., 2022). Consequently, there is an urgent need for strategies that enhance the calibration of fine-tuned LLMs, ensuring that their predictions are as trustworthy as they are powerful. Bayesian deep learning is commonly proposed as a solution to overconfidence in deep networks (e.g. Historically, the field of Bayesian deep learning has frequently considered ResNets for image classification (Shridhar et al., 2019; Dusenberry et al., 2020; Izmailov et al., 2021).

Diffusion models are state-of-the-art deep learning generative models that are trained on the principle of learning forward and backward diffusion processes via the progressive addition of noise and denoising. In this paper, we seek to trick audio-based DNN models, such as those in the Hugging Face framework, for example, those that focus on audio, in particular transformer-based artificial intelligence models, which are powerful machine learning models that save time and deliver faster, more efficient results. We demonstrate the feasibility of backdoor attacks (called `BacKBayDiffMod`) on audio transformers derived from Hugging Face, a popular framework in the world of artificial intelligence (AI) research. The backdoor attack developed in this paper is based on poisoning the model's training data by incorporating backdoor diffusion sampling and a Bayesian approach to the distribution of poisoned data.

The \textit{local learning coefficient} (LLC) is a principled way of quantifying model complexity, originally derived in the context of Bayesian statistics using singular learning theory (SLT). Several methods are known for numerically estimating the local learning coefficient, but so far these methods have not been extended to the scale of modern deep learning architectures or data sets. Using a method developed in {\tt arXiv:2308.12108 [stat.ML]} we empirically show how the LLC may be measured accurately and self-consistently for deep linear networks (DLNs) up to 100M parameters. We also show that the estimated LLC has the rescaling invariance that holds for the theoretical quantity.

We study the problem of automatically discovering Granger causal relations from observational multivariate time-series data. Vector autoregressive (VAR) models have been time-tested for this problem, including Bayesian variants and more recent developments using deep neural networks. Most existing VAR methods for Granger causality use sparsity-inducing penalties/priors or post-hoc thresholds to interpret their coefficients as Granger causal graphs. Instead, we propose a new Bayesian VAR model with a hierarchical graph prior over binary Granger causal graphs, separately from the VAR coefficients. We develop an efficient algorithm to infer the posterior over binary Granger causal graphs. Our method provides better uncertainty quantification, has less hyperparameters, and achieves better performance than competing approaches, especially on sparse multivariate time-series data.