Directed Networks
A General MCMC Method for Bayesian Inference in Logic-Based Probabilistic Modeling
Sato, Taisuke (Tokyo Institute of Technology)
We propose a general MCMC method for Bayesian inference in logic-based probabilistic modeling. It covers a broad class of generative models including Bayesian networks and PCFGs. The idea is to generalize an MCMC method for PCFGs to the one for a Turing-complete probabilistic modeling language PRISM in the context of statistical abduction where parse trees are replaced with explanations. We describe how to estimate the marginal probability of data from MCMC samples and how to perform Bayesian Viterbi inference using an example of Naive Bayes model augmented with a hidden variable.
Learning Decision Rules from Data Streams
Gama, Joรฃo (University of Porto) | Kosina, Petr (University of Porto)
However, it has been shown that the antecedents of individual rules Decision rules, which can provide good interpretability may contain irrelevant conditions. C4.5rules (Quinlan, 1993) and flexibility for data mining tasks, uses an optimization procedure to simplify conditions. The have received very little attention in the stream optimization is done in two phases. First, each rule is generalized mining community so far. In this work we introduce by deleting conditions that do not seem to be helpful a new algorithm to learn rule sets, designed in discriminating the classes. A greedy search method is for open-ended data streams.
Continuous Correlated Beta Processes
Goetschalckx, Robby (University of Dundee) | Poupart, Pascal (University of Waterloo) | Hoey, Jesse (University of Waterloo)
In this paper we consider a (possibly continuous) space of Bernoulli experiments. We assume that the Bernoulli distributions of the points are correlated. All evidence data comes in the form of successful or failed experiments at different points. Current state-of-the-art methods for expressing a distribution over a continuum of Bernoulli distributions use logistic Gaussian processes or Gaussian copula processes. However, both of these require computationally expensive matrix operations (cubic in the general case). We introduce a more intuitive approach, directly correlating beta distributions by sharing evidence between them according to a kernel function, an approach which has linear time complexity. The approach can easily be extended to multiple outcomes, giving a continuous correlated Dirichlet process.This approach can be used for classification (both binary and multi-class) and learning the actual probabilities of the Bernoulli distributions. We show results for a number of data sets, as well as a case-study where a mixture of continuous beta processes is used as part of an automated stroke rehabilitation system.
Inference with Multinomial Data: Why to Weaken the Prior Strength
Campos, Cassio Polpo de (Dalle Molle Institute for Artificial Intelligence) | Benavoli, Alessio (Dalle Molle Institute for Artificial Intelligence)
This paper considers inference from multinomial data and addresses the problem of choosing the strength of the Dirichlet prior under a mean-squared error criterion. We compare the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) and the most commonly used Bayesian estimators obtained by assuming a prior Dirichlet distribution with non-informative prior parameters, that is, the parameters of the Dirichlet are equal and altogether sum up to the so called strength of the prior. Under this criterion, MLE becomes more preferable than the Bayesian estimators at the increase of the number of categories k of the multinomial, because non-informative Bayesian estimators induce a region where they are dominant that quickly shrinks with the increase of k. This can be avoided if the strength of the prior is not kept constant but decreased with the number of categories. We argue that the strength should decrease at least k times faster than usual estimators do.
User-Dependent Aspect Model for Collaborative Activity Recognition
Zheng, Vincent W. (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) | Yang, Qiang (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)
Activity recognition aims to discover one or more usersโ actions and goals based on sensor readings. In the real world, a single userโs data are often insufficient for training an activity recognition model due to the data sparsity problem. This is especially true when we are interested in obtaining a personalized model. In this paper, we study how to collaboratively use different usersโ sensor data to train a model that can provide personalized activity recognition for each user. We propose a user-dependent aspect model for this collaborative activity recognition task. Our model introduces user aspect variables to capture the user grouping information, so that a target user can also benefit from her similar users in the same group to train the recognition model. In this way, we can greatly reduce the need for much valuable and expensive labeled data required in training the recognition model for each user. Our model is also capable of incorporating time information and handling new user in activity recognition. We evaluate our model on a real-world WiFi data set obtained from an indoor environment, and show that the proposed model can outperform several state-of-art baseline algorithms.
Short Text Conceptualization Using a Probabilistic Knowledgebase
Song, Yangqiu (Microsoft Research Aisa) | Wang, Haixun (Microsoft Research Asia) | Wang, Zhongyuan (Microsoft Research Asia) | Li, Hongsong (Microsoft Research Asia) | Chen, Weizhu (Microsoft Research Asia)
Most of the text mining tasks, such as clustering, is dominated by statistical approaches that treat text as a bag of words. Semantics in the text is largely ignored in the mining process, and the mining results are often not easily interpretable. One particular challenge faced by such approaches is short text understanding, as short text lacks enough content from which a statistical conclusion can be drawn. For example, traditional topic analysis methods consider topic segments with tens of hundreds of words. Latent topic modeling, such as latent Dirichlet allocation, also requires sufficient words to infer document topic distribution. We enhance machine learning algorithms by first giving the machine a probabilistic knowledgebase that contains as big, rich, and consistent concepts (of worldly facts) as those in our mental world. Then a Bayesian inference mechanism is developed to conceptualize words and short text. We conducted comprehensive tests of our method on conceptualizing set of text terms, as well as clustering Twitter messages (tweets), which are typically approximately ten words long. Compared to latent semantic topic modeling and other four kinds of methods that using WordNet, Freebase and Wikipedia (category links and explicit semantic analysis), we show significant improvements in terms of tweets clustering accuracy.
Bayesian Abductive Logic Programs: A Probabilistic Logic for Abductive Reasoning
Raghavan, Sindhu V. (University of Texas at Austin)
In this proposal, we introduce Bayesian Abductive Logic Programs (BALP), a probabilistic logic that adapts Bayesian Logic Programs (BLPs) for abductive reasoning. Like BLPs, BALPs also combine first-order logic and Bayes nets. However, unlike BLPs, which use deduction to construct Bayes nets, BALPs employ logical abduction. As a result, BALPs are more suited for problems like plan/activity recognition that require abductive reasoning. In order to demonstrate the efficacy of BALPs, we apply it to two abductive reasoning tasks โ plan recognition and natural language understanding.
CHIME: An Efficient Error-Tolerant Chinese Pinyin Input Method
Zheng, Yabin (Tsinghua University) | Li, Chen (University of California, Irvine) | Sun, Maosong (Tsinghua University)
Chinese Pinyin input methods are very important for Chinese language processing. In many cases, users may make typing errors. For example, a user wants to type in "shenme" (ไปไน, meaning "what" in English) but may type in "shenem" instead. Existing Pinyin input methods fail in converting such a Pinyin sequence with errors to the right Chinese words. To solve this problem, we developed an efficient error-tolerant Pinyin input method called "CHIME'' that can handle typing errors. By incorporating state-of-the-art techniques and language-specific features, the method achieves a better performance than state-of-the-art input methods. It can efficiently find relevant words in milliseconds for an input Pinyin sequence.
Bayesian Chain Classifiers for Multidimensional Classification
Zaragoza, Julio Cesar (INAOE) | Sucar, Enrique (INAOE) | Morales, Eduardo (INAOE) | Bielza, Concha (Universidad Politécnica Madrid) | Larraรฑaga, Pedro (Universidad Politécnica Madrid)
In multidimensional classification the goal is to assign an instance to a set of different classes. This task is normally addressed either by defining a compound class variable with all the possible combinations of classes (label power-set methods, LPMs) or by building independent classifiers for each class (binary-relevance methods, BRMs). However, LPMs do not scale well and BRMs ignore the dependency relations between classes. We introduce a method for chaining binary Bayesian classifiers that combines the strengths of classifier chains and Bayesian networks for multidimensional classification. The method consists of two phases. In the first phase, a Bayesian network (BN) that represents the dependency relations between the class variables is learned from data. In the second phase, several chain classifiers are built, such that the order of the class variables in the chain is consistent with the class BN. At the end we combine the results of the different generated orders. Our method considers the dependencies between class variables and takes advantage of the conditional independence relations to build simplified models. We perform experiments with a chain of naive Bayes classifiers on different benchmark multidimensional datasets and show that our approach outperforms other state-of-the-art methods.
Pattern Field Classification with Style Normalized Transformation
Zhang, Xu-Yao (Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences) | Huang, Kaizhu (Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences) | Liu, Cheng-Lin (Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences)
Field classification is an extension of the traditional classification framework, by breaking the i.i.d. assumption. In field classification, patterns occur as groups (fields) of homogeneous styles. By utilizing style consistency, classifying groups of patterns is often more accurate than classifying single patterns. In this paper, we extend the Bayes decision theory, and develop the Field Bayesian Model (FBM) to deal with field classification. Specifically, we propose to learn a Style Normalized Transformation (SNT) for each field. Via the SNTs, the data of different fields are transformed to a uniform style space (i.i.d. space). The proposed model is a general and systematic framework, under which many probabilistic models can be easily extended for field classification. To transfer the model to unseen styles, we propose a transductive model called Transfer Bayesian Rule (TBR) based on self-training. We conducted extensive experiments on face, speech and a large-scale handwriting dataset, and got significant error rate reduction compared to the state-of-the-art methods.