Directed Networks
Symbol Emergence in Robotics: A Survey
Taniguchi, Tadahiro, Nagai, Takayuki, Nakamura, Tomoaki, Iwahashi, Naoto, Ogata, Tetsuya, Asoh, Hideki
Humans can learn the use of language through physical interaction with their environment and semiotic communication with other people. It is very important to obtain a computational understanding of how humans can form a symbol system and obtain semiotic skills through their autonomous mental development. Recently, many studies have been conducted on the construction of robotic systems and machine-learning methods that can learn the use of language through embodied multimodal interaction with their environment and other systems. Understanding human social interactions and developing a robot that can smoothly communicate with human users in the long term, requires an understanding of the dynamics of symbol systems and is crucially important. The embodied cognition and social interaction of participants gradually change a symbol system in a constructive manner. In this paper, we introduce a field of research called symbol emergence in robotics (SER). SER is a constructive approach towards an emergent symbol system. The emergent symbol system is socially self-organized through both semiotic communications and physical interactions with autonomous cognitive developmental agents, i.e., humans and developmental robots. Specifically, we describe some state-of-art research topics concerning SER, e.g., multimodal categorization, word discovery, and a double articulation analysis, that enable a robot to obtain words and their embodied meanings from raw sensory--motor information, including visual information, haptic information, auditory information, and acoustic speech signals, in a totally unsupervised manner. Finally, we suggest future directions of research in SER.
Learning without Recall: A Case for Log-Linear Learning
Rahimian, Mohammad Amin, Jadbabaie, Ali
We analyze a model of learning and belief formation in networks in which agents follow Bayes rule yet they do not recall their history of past observations and cannot reason about how other agents' beliefs are formed. They do so by making rational inferences about their observations which include a sequence of independent and identically distributed private signals as well as the beliefs of their neighboring agents at each time. Fully rational agents would successively apply Bayes rule to the entire history of observations. This leads to forebodingly complex inferences due to lack of knowledge about the global network structure that causes those observations. To address these complexities, we consider a Learning without Recall model, which in addition to providing a tractable framework for analyzing the behavior of rational agents in social networks, can also provide a behavioral foundation for the variety of non-Bayesian update rules in the literature. We present the implications of various choices for time-varying priors of such agents and how this choice affects learning and its rate.
Tractable Fully Bayesian Inference via Convex Optimization and Optimal Transport Theory
Kim, Sanggyun, Mesa, Diego, Ma, Rui, Coleman, Todd P.
We consider the problem of transforming samples from one continuous source distribution into samples from another target distribution. We demonstrate with optimal transport theory that when the source distribution can be easily sampled from and the target distribution is log-concave, this can be tractably solved with convex optimization. We show that a special case of this, when the source is the prior and the target is the posterior, is Bayesian inference. Here, we can tractably calculate the normalization constant and draw posterior i.i.d. samples. Remarkably, our Bayesian tractability criterion is simply log concavity of the prior and likelihood: the same criterion for tractable calculation of the maximum a posteriori point estimate. With simulated data, we demonstrate how we can attain the Bayes risk in simulations. With physiologic data, we demonstrate improvements over point estimation in intensive care unit outcome prediction and electroencephalography-based sleep staging.
Targeted Fused Ridge Estimation of Inverse Covariance Matrices from Multiple High-Dimensional Data Classes
Bilgrau, Anders Ellern, Peeters, Carel F. W., Eriksen, Poul Svante, Bรธgsted, Martin, van Wieringen, Wessel N.
We consider the problem of jointly estimating multiple precision matrices from (aggregated) high-dimensional data consisting of distinct classes. An $\ell_2$-penalized maximum-likelihood approach is employed. The suggested approach is flexible and generic, incorporating several other $\ell_2$-penalized estimators as special cases. In addition, the approach allows for the specification of target matrices through which prior knowledge may be incorporated and which can stabilize the estimation procedure in high-dimensional settings. The result is a targeted fused ridge estimator that is of use when the precision matrices of the constituent classes are believed to chiefly share the same structure while potentially differing in a number of locations of interest. It has many applications in (multi)factorial study designs. We focus on the graphical interpretation of precision matrices with the proposed estimator then serving as a basis for integrative or meta-analytic Gaussian graphical modeling. Situations are considered in which the classes are defined by data sets and/or (subtypes of) diseases. The performance of the proposed estimator in the graphical modeling setting is assessed through extensive simulation experiments. Its practical usability is illustrated by the differential network modeling of 11 large-scale diffuse large B-cell lymphoma gene expression data sets. The estimator and its related procedures are incorporated into the R-package rags2ridges.
A Bayesian Approach to Sparse plus Low rank Network Identification
Zorzi, Mattia, Chiuso, Alessandro
We consider the problem of modeling multivariate time series with parsimonious dynamical models which can be represented as sparse dynamic Bayesian networks with few latent nodes. This structure translates into a sparse plus low rank model. In this paper, we propose a Gaussian regression approach to identify such a model.
Efficient Computation of the Quasi Likelihood function for Discretely Observed Diffusion Processes
Hรถรถk, Lars Josef, Lindstrรถm, Erik
We introduce a simple method for nearly simultaneous computation of all moments needed for quasi maximum likelihood estimation of parameters in discretely observed stochastic differential equations commonly seen in finance. The method proposed in this papers is not restricted to any particular dynamics of the differential equation and is virtually insensitive to the sampling interval. The key contribution of the paper is that computational complexity is sublinear in the number of observations as we compute all moments through a single operation. Furthermore, that operation can be done offline. The simulations show that the method is unbiased for all practical purposes for any sampling design, including random sampling, and that the computational cost is comparable (actually faster for moderate and large data sets) to the simple, often severely biased, Euler-Maruyama approximation.
A Hierarchical Distance-dependent Bayesian Model for Event Coreference Resolution
Yang, Bishan, Cardie, Claire, Frazier, Peter
We present a novel hierarchical distance-dependent Bayesian model for event coreference resolution. While existing generative models for event coreference resolution are completely unsupervised, our model allows for the incorporation of pairwise distances between event mentions -- information that is widely used in supervised coreference models to guide the generative clustering processing for better event clustering both within and across documents. We model the distances between event mentions using a feature-rich learnable distance function and encode them as Bayesian priors for nonparametric clustering. Experiments on the ECB+ corpus show that our model outperforms state-of-the-art methods for both within- and cross-document event coreference resolution.
A Review of Feature Selection Methods Based on Mutual Information
Vergara, Jorge R., Estรฉvez, Pablo A.
In this work we present a review of the state of the art of information theoretic feature selection methods. The concepts of feature relevance, redundance and complementarity (synergy) are clearly defined, as well as Markov blanket. The problem of optimal feature selection is defined. A unifying theoretical framework is described, which can retrofit successful heuristic criteria, indicating the approximations made by each method. A number of open problems in the field are presented.
Deep Temporal Sigmoid Belief Networks for Sequence Modeling
Gan, Zhe, Li, Chunyuan, Henao, Ricardo, Carlson, David, Carin, Lawrence
Deep dynamic generative models are developed to learn sequential dependencies in time-series data. The multi-layered model is designed by constructing a hierarchy of temporal sigmoid belief networks (TSBNs), defined as a sequential stack of sigmoid belief networks (SBNs). Each SBN has a contextual hidden state, inherited from the previous SBNs in the sequence, and is used to regulate its hidden bias. Scalable learning and inference algorithms are derived by introducing a recognition model that yields fast sampling from the variational posterior. This recognition model is trained jointly with the generative model, by maximizing its variational lower bound on the log-likelihood. Experimental results on bouncing balls, polyphonic music, motion capture, and text streams show that the proposed approach achieves state-of-the-art predictive performance, and has the capacity to synthesize various sequences.
Probabilistic Group Testing under Sum Observations: A Parallelizable 2-Approximation for Entropy Loss
Han, Weidong, Rajan, Purnima, Frazier, Peter I., Jedynak, Bruno M.
We consider the problem of group testing with sum observations and noiseless answers, in which we aim to locate multiple objects by querying the number of objects in each of a sequence of chosen sets. We study a probabilistic setting with entropy loss, in which we assume a joint Bayesian prior density on the locations of the objects and seek to choose the sets queried to minimize the expected entropy of the Bayesian posterior distribution after a fixed number of questions. We present a new non-adaptive policy, called the dyadic policy, show it is optimal among non-adaptive policies, and is within a factor of two of optimal among adaptive policies. This policy is quick to compute, its nonadaptive nature makes it easy to parallelize, and our bounds show it performs well even when compared with adaptive policies. We also study an adaptive greedy policy, which maximizes the one-step expected reduction in entropy, and show that it performs at least as well as the dyadic policy, offering greater query efficiency but reduced parallelism. Numerical experiments demonstrate that both procedures outperform a divide-and-conquer benchmark policy from the literature, called sequential bifurcation, and show how these procedures may be applied in a stylized computer vision problem.