Government
A Prescriptive Framework for Determining Optimal Days for Short-Term Traffic Counts
Mukwaya, Arthur, Kasamala, Nancy, Gyimah, Nana Kankam, Mwakalonge, Judith, Comert, Gurcan, Siuhi, Saidi, Ruganuza, Denis, Ngotonie, Mark
The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) mandates that state Departments of Transportation (DOTs) collect reliable Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) data. However, many U.S. DOTs struggle to obtain accurate AADT, especially for unmonitored roads. While continuous count (CC) stations offer accurate traffic volume data, their implementation is expensive and difficult to deploy widely, compelling agencies to rely on short-duration traffic counts. This study proposes a machine learning framework, the first to our knowledge, to identify optimal representative days for conducting short count (SC) data collection to improve AADT prediction accuracy. Using 2022 and 2023 traffic volume data from the state of Texas, we compare two scenarios: an 'optimal day' approach that iteratively selects the most informative days for AADT estimation and a 'no optimal day' baseline reflecting current practice by most DOTs. To align with Texas DOT's traffic monitoring program, continuous count data were utilized to simulate the 24 hour short counts. The actual field short counts were used to enhance feature engineering through using a leave-one-out (LOO) technique to generate unbiased representative daily traffic features across similar road segments. Our proposed methodology outperforms the baseline across the top five days, with the best day (Day 186) achieving lower errors (RMSE: 7,871.15, MAE: 3,645.09, MAPE: 11.95%) and higher R^2 (0.9756) than the baseline (RMSE: 11,185.00, MAE: 5,118.57, MAPE: 14.42%, R^2: 0.9499). This research offers DOTs an alternative to conventional short-duration count practices, improving AADT estimation, supporting Highway Performance Monitoring System compliance, and reducing the operational costs of statewide traffic data collection.
JaxWildfire: A GPU-Accelerated Wildfire Simulator for Reinforcement Learning
รakฤฑr, Ufuk, Darvariu, Victor-Alexandru, Lacerda, Bruno, Hawes, Nick
Artificial intelligence methods are increasingly being explored for managing wildfires and other natural hazards. In particular, reinforcement learning (RL) is a promising path towards improving outcomes in such uncertain decision-making scenarios and moving beyond reactive strategies. However, training RL agents requires many environment interactions, and the speed of existing wildfire simulators is a severely limiting factor. We introduce $\texttt{JaxWildfire}$, a simulator underpinned by a principled probabilistic fire spread model based on cellular automata. It is implemented in JAX and enables vectorized simulations using $\texttt{vmap}$, allowing high throughput of simulations on GPUs. We demonstrate that $\texttt{JaxWildfire}$ achieves 6-35x speedup over existing software and enables gradient-based optimization of simulator parameters. Furthermore, we show that $\texttt{JaxWildfire}$ can be used to train RL agents to learn wildfire suppression policies. Our work is an important step towards enabling the advancement of RL techniques for managing natural hazards.
Empathy by Design: Aligning Large Language Models for Healthcare Dialogue
Umucu, Emre, Solis, Guillermina, Garza, Leon, Rivas, Emilia, Lee, Beatrice, Kotal, Anantaa, Piplai, Aritran
Abstract--General-purpose large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable generative and reasoning capabilities but remain limited in healthcare and caregiving applications due to two key deficiencies: factual unreliability and a lack of empathetic communication. These shortcomings pose significant risks in sensitive contexts where users, particularly nonprofessionals and caregivers, seek medically relevant guidance or emotional reassurance. T o address these challenges, we introduce a Direct Preference Optimization (DPO)-based alignment framework designed to improve factual correctness, semantic coherence, and human-centric qualities such as empathy, politeness, and simplicity in caregiver-patient dialogues. Our approach fine-tunes domain-adapted Large Language Models (LLMs) using pairwise preference data, where preferred responses reflect supportive and accessible communication styles while rejected ones represent prescriptive or overly technical tones. Empirical evaluations across multiple open and proprietary LLMs show that our DPO-tuned models achieve higher semantic alignment, improved factual accuracy, and stronger human-centric evaluation scores compared to baseline and commercial alternatives such as Google's medical dialogue systems. These improvements demonstrate that preference-based alignment offers a scalable and transparent pathway toward developing trustworthy, empathetic, and clinically informed AI assistants for caregiver and healthcare communication. Caring for individuals with chronic or neuro-degenerative conditions such as Alzheimer's disease and dementia requires not only clinical coordination but also constant emotional resilience. Family caregivers and care partners often become the primary interpreters of medical information, navigating complex treatment decisions, behavioral changes, and communication challenges on a daily basis. LLMs have rapidly become integrated into everyday life. They can explain complex ideas in plain language, adjust to a user's tone, and offer a sense of understanding that static websites cannot. For caregivers seeking clear, kind, and quick answers, these systems can feel like an always-available companion in moments of doubt or stress.
When Privacy Isn't Synthetic: Hidden Data Leakage in Generative AI Models
Mustaqim, S. M., Kotal, Anantaa, Yi, Paul H.
Generative models are increasingly used to produce privacy-preserving synthetic data as a safe alternative to sharing sensitive training datasets. However, we demonstrate that such synthetic releases can still leak information about the underlying training samples through structural overlap in the data manifold. We propose a black-box membership inference attack that exploits this vulnerability without requiring access to model internals or real data. The attacker repeatedly queries the generative model to obtain large numbers of synthetic samples, performs unsupervised clustering to identify dense regions of the synthetic distribution, and then analyzes cluster medoids and neighborhoods that correspond to high-density regions in the original training data. These neighborhoods act as proxies for training samples, enabling the adversary to infer membership or reconstruct approximate records. Our experiments across healthcare, finance, and other sensitive domains show that cluster overlap between real and synthetic data leads to measurable membership leakage-even when the generator is trained with differential privacy or other noise mechanisms. The results highlight an under-explored attack surface in synthetic data generation pipelines and call for stronger privacy guarantees that account for distributional neighborhood inference rather than sample-level memorization alone, underscoring its role in privacy-preserving data publishing. Implementation and evaluation code are publicly available at:github.com/Cluster-Medoid-Leakage-Attack.
The Road of Adaptive AI for Precision in Cybersecurity
Cybersecurity's evolving complexity presents unique challenges and opportunities for AI research and practice. This paper shares key lessons and insights from designing, building, and operating production-grade GenAI pipelines in cyberse-curity, with a focus on the continual adaptation required to keep pace with ever-shifting knowledge bases, tooling, and threats. Our goal is to provide an actionable perspective for AI practitioners and industry stakeholders navigating the frontier of GenAI for cybersecurity, with particular attention to how different adaptation mechanisms complement each other in end-to-end systems. We present practical guidance derived from real-world deployments, propose best practices for leveraging retrieval-and model-level adaptation, and highlight open research directions for making GenAI more robust, precise, and auditable in cyber defense. Disclaimer: The ideas and analysis presented here are subjective. We share them based on our experience of establishing robust and efficient pipelines of generative AI for cybersecurity. In light of the age of generative AI, the objective of this document is not to provide generic descriptions of GenAI techniques, but rather to explain their practical relevance for specific contexts, and to illustrate where particular choices have worked well or poorly in our own deployments.
Simple Agents Outperform Experts in Biomedical Imaging Workflow Optimization
Xuefei, null, Wang, null, Horstmann, Kai A., Lin, Ethan, Chen, Jonathan, Farhang, Alexander R., Stiles, Sophia, Sehgal, Atharva, Light, Jonathan, Van Valen, David, Yue, Yisong, Sun, Jennifer J.
Adapting production-level computer vision tools to bespoke scientific datasets is a critical "last mile" bottleneck. Current solutions are impractical: fine-tuning requires large annotated datasets scientists often lack, while manual code adaptation costs scientists weeks to months of effort. W e consider using AI agents to automate this manual coding, and focus on the open question of optimal agent design for this targeted task. W e introduce a systematic evaluation framework for agentic code optimization and use it to study three production-level biomedical imaging pipelines. W e demonstrate that a simple agent framework consistently generates adaptation code that outperforms human-expert solutions. Our analysis reveals that common, complex agent architectures are not universally beneficial, leading to a practical roadmap for agent design.
POrTAL: Plan-Orchestrated Tree Assembly for Lookahead
Conway, Evan, Porfirio, David, Chan, David, Roberts, Mark, Hiatt, Laura M.
Abstract-- Assigning tasks to robots often involves supplying the robot with an overarching goal, such as through natural language, and then relying on the robot to uncover and execute a plan to achieve that goal. In many settings common to human-robot interaction, however, the world is only partially observable to the robot, requiring that it create plans under uncertainty. Although many probabilistic planning algorithms exist for this purpose, these algorithms can be inefficient if executed with the robot's limited computational resources, or may require more steps than expected to achieve the goal. We thereby created a new, lightweight, probabilistic planning algorithm, Plan-Orchestrated Tree Assembly for Lookahead (POrTAL), that combines the strengths of two baseline planning algorithms, FF-Replan and POMCP . In a series of case studies, we demonstrate POrTAL's ability to quickly arrive at solutions that outperform these baselines in terms of number of steps. We additionally demonstrate how POrTAL performs under varying temporal constraints. The ability of modern robots to respond to arbitrary user requests has advanced considerably in recent years. This advancement is in large part due to robots' ability to autonomously plan their own actions. When receiving a goal such as "bring me a cup of coffee," for example, a robot can calculate the minimum number of steps required to achieve this goal: obtain the coffee grinds, proceeding to the coffee maker, load the grinds, and so on. In many scenarios common to human-robot interaction, however, this planning must be performed under considerable uncertainty.
FlockVote: LLM-Empowered Agent-Based Modeling for Simulating U.S. Presidential Elections
Zhou, Lingfeng, Xu, Yi, Wang, Zhenyu, Wang, Dequan
Modeling complex human behavior, such as voter decisions in national elections, is a long-standing challenge for computational social science. Traditional agent-based models (ABMs) are limited by oversimplified rules, while large-scale statistical models often lack interpretability. We introduce FlockVote, a novel framework that uses Large Language Models (LLMs) to build a "computational laboratory" of LLM agents for political simulation. Each agent is instantiated with a high-fidelity demographic profile and dynamic contextual information (e.g. candidate policies), enabling it to perform nuanced, generative reasoning to simulate a voting decision. We deploy this framework as a testbed on the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, focusing on seven key swing states. Our simulation's macro-level results successfully replicate the real-world outcome, demonstrating the high fidelity of our "virtual society". The primary contribution is not only the prediction, but also the framework's utility as an interpretable research tool. FlockVote moves beyond black-box outputs, allowing researchers to probe agent-level rationale and analyze the stability and sensitivity of LLM-driven social simulations.
Unsupervised decoding of encoded reasoning using language model interpretability
As large language models become increasingly capable, there is growing concern that they may develop reasoning processes that are encoded or hidden from human oversight. To investigate whether current interpretability techniques can penetrate such encoded reasoning, we construct a controlled testbed by fine-tuning a reasoning model (DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B) to perform chain-of-thought reasoning in ROT-13 encryption while maintaining intelligible English outputs. We evaluate mechanistic interpretability methods--in particular, logit lens analysis--on their ability to decode the model's hidden reasoning process using only internal activations. We show that logit lens can effectively translate encoded reasoning, with accuracy peaking in intermediate-to-late layers. Finally, we develop a fully unsupervised decoding pipeline that combines logit lens with automated paraphrasing, achieving substantial accuracy in reconstructing complete reasoning transcripts from internal model representations. These findings suggest that current mechanistic interpretability techniques may be more robust to simple forms of encoded reasoning than previously understood. Our work provides an initial framework for evaluating interpretability methods against models that reason in non-human-readable formats, contributing to the broader challenge of maintaining oversight over increasingly capable AI systems.
HPC-Driven Modeling with ML-Based Surrogates for Magnon-Photon Dynamics in Hybrid Quantum Systems
Song, Jialin, Tang, Yingheng, Ren, Pu, Takayoshi, Shintaro, Sawant, Saurabh, Zhu, Yujie, Hu, Jia-Mian, Nonaka, Andy, Mahoney, Michael W., Erichson, Benjamin, Yao, Zhi
Simulating hybrid magnonic quantum systems remains a challenge due to the large disparity between the timescales of the two systems. We present a massively parallel GPU-based simulation framework that enables fully coupled, large-scale modeling of on-chip magnon-photon circuits. T o accelerate design workflows, we develop a physics-informed machine learning surrogate trained on the simulation data, reducing computational cost while maintaining accuracy. This combined approach reveals real-time energy exchange dynamics and reproduces key phenomena such as anti-crossing behavior and the suppression of ferromagnetic resonance under strong electromagnetic fields. By addressing the multiscale and multiphysics challenges in magnon-photon modeling, our framework enables scalable simulation and rapid prototyping of next-generation quantum and spintronic devices. 1 Introduction Hybrid quantum systems, which combine distinct physical platforms, are a promising route toward advanced quantum technologies, as they harness strong interactions that may not be readily achievable in a single platform [1, 2]. These systems take many forms, coupling any two (or more) quantum platforms -- for example, superconducting qubits [3, 4], microwave resonators [5], single spins [6], spin ensembles [4, 7-9], or mechanical resonators [10-12] -- to harness strong interactions. These heterogeneous systems leverage complementary advantages of each component, but their rich multi-physics interactions pose formidable modeling challenges. A prominent example is cavity magnonics, where collective spin excitations (magnons) couple with microwave photons in a resonant cavity to form hybrid magnon-polariton modes when tuned into resonance [13-15]. These states are essential for quantum operations such as mode swapping [16, 17], quantum state storage [4, 18, 19], and dynamic control of energy exchange [19, 20]. The hallmark experimental signature of strong magnon-photon coupling is a pronounced avoided crossing (mode splitting) in the frequency spectrum, in agreement with theoretical predictions [21] and observed in many 3D [13, 22] and on-chip 2D [7, 8, 23] cavity based systems.