Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) represent a new paradigm for time series forecasting, offering zero-shot forecasting capabilities without the need for domain-specific pre-training or fine-tuning. However, as with Large Language Models (LLMs), evaluating TSFMs is tricky, as with ever more extensive training sets, it becomes more and more challenging to ensure the integrity of benchmarking data. Our investigation of existing TSFM evaluation highlights multiple challenges, ranging from the representativeness of the benchmark datasets, over the lack of spatiotemporal evaluation, to risks of information leakage due to overlapping and obscure datasets, and the memorization of global patterns caused by external shocks like economic crises or pandemics. Our findings reveal widespread confusion regarding data partitions, risking inflated performance estimates and incorrect transfer of global knowledge to local time series. We argue for the development of robust evaluation methodologies to prevent pitfalls already observed in LLM and classical time series benchmarking, and call upon the research community to design new, principled approaches, such as evaluations on truly out-of-sample future data, to safeguard the integrity of TSFM assessment.

AI-powered browser assistants (also known as autonomous browsing agents or agentic AI browsers) are emerging tools that use LLMs to help users navigate and interact with web content. For example, an AI agent can be instructed to summarize a webpage or perform actions like clicking links and filling forms on behalf of the user. While these agents promise enhanced productivity, they also introduce new security risks. One major risk is prompt injection, where an attacker embeds malicious instructions into web content that the agent will process [5]. Crucially, such instructions can be hidden from the human user (e.g., invisible text, HTML comments) yet still parsed by the LLM, causing it to alter its behavior in unintended ways [10]. In effect, the agent can be tricked into executing the attacker's commands rather than the user's, leading to potentially severe consequences [2]. Indirect prompt injections have been demonstrated in real-world scenarios.

Stellarators are inherently steady-state plasma confinement devices, which is among the key reasons behind their renaissance as promising candidates for fusion power plants. Ideal MHD equilibria are a central part in optimising the complex, three-dimensional plasma shapes which are a necessary condition for steady-state operation of such devices. The equilibrium magnetic field is required not only in optimisation but also plays a role in future real-time control algorithms and simulation frameworks (Schissel et al. 2025). Solving the three-dimensional MHD equations requires numerical approaches, because no analytical solutions throughout the full volume of ideal MHD equilibria with nested magnetic topology exists yet (Bruno & Laurence 1996). Recent work advanced analytical models for Fourier components of the equilibrium magnetic field in a subset of reactor-relevant magnetic fields and analytical expansions close to the magnetic axis are used extensively in research (Nikulsin et al. 2024; Sengupta et al. 2024). These analytical solutions and the following numerical solvers assume nested magnetic topology, or inte-grability throughout the volume, and computation of chaotic regions or magnetic islands takes considerably more effort (Hudson et al. 2012). Accuracy of numerical PDE solutions is inherently connected to the representation which defines gradients, and commonly used ideal MHD equilibrium solvers with nested magnetic field topology can be differentiated accordingly: A widely used finite-difference solver employed in the design of currently operating stellarator devices is VMEC (Hirshman & Whitson 1983), another pseudo spectral solver is DESC (Dudt & Kolemen 2020) and a third example is GVEC (Hindenlang et al. 2025), that abstracts the notion of basis functions, which enabled computation of plasmas with figure-8 shape (Plunk et al. 2025). Email address for correspondence: timo.thun@ipp.mpg.de

How does a cause lead to an effect, and which intermediate causal steps explain their connection? This work scrutinizes the mechanistic causal reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs) to answer these questions through the task of implicit causal chain discovery. In a diagnostic evaluation framework, we instruct nine LLMs to generate all possible intermediate causal steps linking given cause-effect pairs in causal chain structures. These pairs are drawn from recent resources in argumentation studies featuring polarized discussion on climate change. Our analysis reveals that LLMs vary in the number and granularity of causal steps they produce. Although they are generally self-consistent and confident about the intermediate causal connections in the generated chains, their judgments are mainly driven by associative pattern matching rather than genuine causal reasoning. Nonetheless, human evaluations confirmed the logical coherence and integrity of the generated chains. Our baseline causal chain discovery approach, insights from our diagnostic evaluation, and benchmark dataset with causal chains lay a solid foundation for advancing future work in implicit, mechanistic causal reasoning in argumentation settings.

Abstract--Holographic video communication is considered a paradigm shift in visual communications, becoming increasingly popular for its ability to offer immersive experiences. This article provides an overview of holographic video communication and outlines the requirements of a holographic video communication system. Particularly, following a brief review of semantic communication, an architecture for a semantic-enabled holographic video communication system is presented. Key technologies, including semantic sampling, joint semantic-channel coding, and semantic-aware transmission, are designed based on the proposed architecture. Two related use cases are presented to demonstrate the performance gain of the proposed methods. Finally, potential research topics are discussed to pave the way for the realization of semantic-enabled holographic video communications. Holographic video is a revolutionary information modality, which provides panoramic video content and an immer-sive experience based on three-dimensional view and high-resolution holograms [1]. Holographic video communication (HVC) is regarded as the dominant paradigm for future visual-type communications. It is considered the potential method to realize metaverse and enable numerous applications, such as holographic conferencing, education, and entertainment.

Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative game-theoretical frameworks, we place ourselves in a more general framework, based on prediction markets. There, independent agents trade forecasts of uncertain future events in exchange for rewards. We introduce and analyse a prediction market that (i) accounts for the historical performance of the agents, (ii) adapts to time-varying conditions, while (iii) permitting agents to enter and exit the market at will. The proposed design employs robust regression models to learn the optimal forecasts' combination whilst handling missing submissions. Moreover, we introduce a pay-off allocation mechanism that considers both in-sample and out-of-sample performance while satisfying several desirable economic properties. Case-studies using simulated and real-world data allow demonstrating the effectiveness and adaptability of the proposed market design.

Abstract--Dynamical downscaling is crucial for deriving high-resolution meteorological fields from coarse-scale simulations, enabling detailed analysis for critical applications such as weather forecasting and renewable energy modeling. Generative Diffusion models (DMs) have recently emerged as powerful data-driven tools for this task, offering reconstruction fidelity and more scalable sampling supporting uncertainty quantification. In this work, we tackle this issue by augmenting the downscaling pipeline with a conformal prediction framework. Specifically, the DM's samples are post-processed to derive conditional quantile estimates, incorporated into a conformalized quantile regression procedure targeting locally adaptive prediction intervals with finite-sample marginal validity. The proposed approach is evaluated on ERA5 reanalysis data over Italy, downscaled to a 2-km grid. Results demonstrate grid-point-level uncertainty estimates with markedly improved coverage and stable probabilistic scores relative to the DM baseline, highlighting the potential of con-formalized generative models for more trustworthy probabilistic downscaling to high-resolution meteorological fields.

Abstract--Ensuring safe autonomous driving in the presence of occlusions poses a significant challenge in its policy design. While existing model-driven control techniques based on set invariance can handle visible risks, occlusions create latent risks in which safety-critical states are not observable. Data-driven techniques also struggle to handle latent risks because direct mappings from risk-critical objects in sensor inputs to safe actions cannot be learned without visible risk-critical objects. Motivated by these challenges, in this paper, we propose a probabilistic safety certificate for latent risk. Our key technical enabler is the application of probabilistic invariance: It relaxes the strict observability requirements imposed by set-invariance methods that demand the knowledge of risk-critical states. The proposed techniques provide linear action constraints that confine the latent risk probability within tolerance. Such constraints can be integrated into model predictive controllers or embedded in data-driven policies to mitigate latent risks. The proposed method is tested using the CARLA simulator and compared with a few existing techniques. The theoretical and empirical analysis jointly demonstrate that the proposed methods assure long-term safety in real-time control in occluded environments without being overly conservative and with transparency to exposed risks. ISUAL occlusions impose significant challenges in the policy design of autonomous driving.

Abstract--T raditional time series analysis has long relied on pattern recognition, trained on static and well-established benchmarks. However, in real-world settings - where policies shift, human behavior adapts, and unexpected events unfold - effective analysis must go beyond surface-level trends to uncover the actual forces driving them. The recent rise of Large Language Models (LLMs) presents new opportunities for rethinking time series analysis by integrating multimodal inputs. However, as the use of LLMs becomes popular, we must remain cautious, asking why we use LLMs and how to exploit them effectively . Most existing LLM-based methods still employ their numerical regression ability and ignore their deeper reasoning potential. This paper argues for rethinking time series with LLMs as a reasoning task that prioritizes causal structure and explainability . This shift brings time series analysis closer to human-aligned understanding, enabling transparent and context-aware insights in complex real-world environments. Time series analysis has traditionally been framed as a pattern recognition problem, extracting trends and correlations from observed data.

In this letter, we introduce Geometric Model Predictive Path Integral (GMPPI), a sampling-based controller capable of tracking agile trajectories while avoiding obstacles. In each iteration, GMPPI generates a large number of candidate rollout trajectories and then averages them to create a nominal control to be followed by the Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV). We propose using geometric SE(3) control to generate part of the rollout trajectories, significantly increasing precision in agile flight. Furthermore, we introduce varying rollout simulation time step length and dynamic cost and noise parameters, vastly improving tracking performance of smooth and low-speed trajectories over an existing Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) implementation. Finally, we propose an integration of GMPPI with a stereo depth camera, enabling online obstacle avoidance at high speeds, a crucial step towards autonomous UAV flights in complex environments. The proposed controller can track simulated agile reference trajectories with position error similar to the geometric SE(3) controller. However, the same configuration of the proposed controller can avoid obstacles in a simulated forest environment at speeds of up to 13m/s, surpassing the performance of a state-of-the-art obstacle-aware planner. In real-world experiments, GMPPI retains the capability to track agile trajectories and avoids obstacles at speeds of up to 10m/s.