Energy
The Download: what's next for electricity, and living in the conspiracy age
Plus: Donald Trump wants to outlaw individual states' right to regulate AI The International Energy Agency recently released the latest version of the World Energy Outlook, the annual report that takes stock of the current state of global energy and looks toward the future. It contains some interesting insights and a few surprising figures about electricity, grids, and the state of climate change. Let's dig into some numbers . This article is from The Spark, MIT Technology Review's weekly climate newsletter. Everything is a conspiracy theory now. Our latest series " The New Conspiracy Age " delves into how conspiracies have gripped the White House, turning fringe ideas into dangerous policy, and how generative AI is altering the fabric of truth.
Optimizing the flight path for a scouting Uncrewed Aerial Vehicle
Adhikari, Raghav, Khatiwada, Sachet, Poudel, Suman
Hu et al. [1] suggested using uncrewed vehicles in civil infrastructure asset management. Similarly, Bechtsis et al. [2] propose using uncrewed ground vehicles (UGVs) in precision farming. One of the emerging areas where such vehicles can prove helpful is assisting in postdisaster evacuation. Natural disasters, including earthquakes, tsunamis, hurricanes, and volcanic eruptions, can severely damage the urban infrastructure, leading to considerable losses. Following such events, providing timely relief and disseminating crucial information, such as safe evacuation routes, becomes essential for affected individuals' safe and organized movement. Recently, among the advanced technologies integrated into disaster response missions include uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAVs) that have been crucial in assessing the state of critical infrastructure essential services, including telecommunications, transportation, and buildings, to facilitate efficient disaster response and evacuation [3]. UAV systems have proven to be increasingly valuable in disaster relief and emergency response (DRER) efforts by enhancing the capabilities of the first responders, offering advanced predictive insights, and enabling early warning systems [4]. UAVs have assisted in diverse tasks, including remote sensing, search and rescue, forest fire detection, survey and surveillance [5].
Reservoir Computing via Multi-Scale Random Fourier Features for Forecasting Fast-Slow Dynamical Systems
Forecasting nonlinear time series with multi-scale temporal structures remains a central challenge in complex systems modeling. We present a novel reservoir computing framework that combines delay embedding with random Fourier feature (RFF) mappings to capture such dynamics. Two formulations are investigated: a single-scale RFF reservoir, which employs a fixed kernel bandwidth, and a multi-scale RFF reservoir, which integrates multiple bandwidths to represent both fast and slow temporal dependencies. The framework is applied to a diverse set of canonical systems: neuronal models such as the Rulkov map, Izhikevich model, Hindmarsh-Rose model, and Morris-Lecar model, which exhibit spiking, bursting, and chaotic behaviors arising from fast-slow interactions; and ecological models including the predator-prey dynamics and Ricker map with seasonal forcing, which display multi-scale oscillations and intermittency. Across all cases, the multi-scale RFF reservoir consistently outperforms its single-scale counterpart, achieving lower normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) and more robust long-horizon predictions. These results highlight the effectiveness of explicitly incorporating multi-scale feature mappings into reservoir computing architectures for modeling complex dynamical systems with intrinsic fast-slow interactions.
Optimus-Q: Utilizing Federated Learning in Adaptive Robots for Intelligent Nuclear Power Plant Operations through Quantum Cryptography
Puppala, Sai, Hossain, Ismail, Alam, Jahangir, Talukder, Sajedul
The integration of advanced robotics in nuclear power plants (NPPs) presents a transformative opportunity to enhance safety, efficiency, and environmental monitoring in high-stakes environments. Our paper introduces the Optimus-Q robot, a sophisticated system designed to autonomously monitor air quality and detect contamination while leveraging adaptive learning techniques and secure quantum communication. Equipped with advanced infrared sensors, the Optimus-Q robot continuously streams real-time environmental data to predict hazardous gas emissions, including carbon dioxide (CO$_2$), carbon monoxide (CO), and methane (CH$_4$). Utilizing a federated learning approach, the robot collaborates with other systems across various NPPs to improve its predictive capabilities without compromising data privacy. Additionally, the implementation of Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) ensures secure data transmission, safeguarding sensitive operational information. Our methodology combines systematic navigation patterns with machine learning algorithms to facilitate efficient coverage of designated areas, thereby optimizing contamination monitoring processes. Through simulations and real-world experiments, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the Optimus-Q robot in enhancing operational safety and responsiveness in nuclear facilities. This research underscores the potential of integrating robotics, machine learning, and quantum technologies to revolutionize monitoring systems in hazardous environments.
PCARNN-DCBF: Minimal-Intervention Geofence Enforcement for Ground Vehicles
Yu, Yinan, Scheidegger, Samuel
Runtime geofencing for ground vehicles is rapidly emerging as a critical technology for enforcing Operational Design Domains (ODDs). However, existing solutions struggle to reconcile high-fidelity learning with the structural requirements of verifiable control. We address this by introducing PCARNN-DCBF, a novel pipeline integrating a Physics-encoded Control-Affine Residual Neural Network with a preview-based Discrete Control Barrier Function. Unlike generic learned models, PCARNN explicitly preserves the control-affine structure of vehicle dynamics, ensuring the linearity required for reliable optimization. This enables the DCBF to enforce polygonal keep-in constraints via a real-time Quadratic Program (QP) that handles high relative degree and mitigates actuator saturation. Experiments in CARLA across electric and combustion platforms demonstrate that this structure-preserving approach significantly outperforms analytical and unstructured neural baselines.
Theoretical Closed-loop Stability Bounds for Dynamical System Coupled with Diffusion Policies
Lauzier, Gabriel, Girard, Alexandre, Ferland, François
Diffusion Policy has shown great performance in robotic manipulation tasks under stochastic perturbations, due to its ability to model multimodal action distributions. Nonetheless, its reliance on a computationally expensive reverse-time diffusion (denoising) process, for action inference, makes it challenging to use for real-time applications where quick decision-making is mandatory. This work studies the possibility of conducting the denoising process only partially before executing an action, allowing the plant to evolve according to its dynamics in parallel to the reverse-time diffusion dynamics ongoing on the computer. In a classical diffusion policy setting, the plant dynamics are usually slow and the two dynamical processes are uncoupled. Here, we investigate theoretical bounds on the stability of closed-loop systems using diffusion policies when the plant dynamics and the denoising dynamics are coupled. The contribution of this work gives a framework for faster imitation learning and a metric that yields if a controller will be stable based on the variance of the demonstrations.
Discovering Optimal Natural Gaits of Dissipative Systems via Virtual Energy Injection
Griesbauer, Korbinian, Calzolari, Davide, Raff, Maximilian, Remy, C. David, Albu-Schäffer, Alin
Legged robots offer several advantages when navigating unstructured environments, but they often fall short of the efficiency achieved by wheeled robots. One promising strategy to improve their energy economy is to leverage their natural (unactuated) dynamics using elastic elements. This work explores that concept by designing energy-optimal control inputs through a unified, multi-stage framework. It starts with a novel energy injection technique to identify passive motion patterns by harnessing the system's natural dynamics. This enables the discovery of passive solutions even in systems with energy dissipation caused by factors such as friction or plastic collisions. Building on these passive solutions, we then employ a continuation approach to derive energy-optimal control inputs for the fully actuated, dissipative robotic system. The method is tested on simulated models to demonstrate its applicability in both single- and multi-legged robotic systems. This analysis provides valuable insights into the design and operation of elastic legged robots, offering pathways to improve their efficiency and adaptability by exploiting the natural system dynamics.
Multi-layer Stack Ensembles for Time Series Forecasting
Bosch, Nathanael, Shchur, Oleksandr, Erickson, Nick, Bohlke-Schneider, Michael, Türkmen, Caner
Ensembling is a powerful technique for improving the accuracy of machine learning models, with methods like stacking achieving strong results in tabular tasks. In time series forecasting, however, ensemble methods remain underutilized, with simple linear combinations still considered state-of-the-art. In this paper, we systematically explore ensembling strategies for time series forecasting. We evaluate 33 ensemble models -- both existing and novel -- across 50 real-world datasets. Our results show that stacking consistently improves accuracy, though no single stacker performs best across all tasks. To address this, we propose a multi-layer stacking framework for time series forecasting, an approach that combines the strengths of different stacker models. We demonstrate that this method consistently provides superior accuracy across diverse forecasting scenarios. Our findings highlight the potential of stacking-based methods to improve AutoML systems for time series forecasting.