Africa
Online Model-Free Reinforcement Learning for the Automatic Control of a Flexible Wing Aircraft
Abouheaf, Mohammed, Gueaieb, Wail, Lewis, Frank
The control problem of the flexible wing aircraft is challenging due to the prevailing and high nonlinear deformations in the flexible wing system. This urged for new control mechanisms that are robust to the real-time variations in the wing's aerodynamics. An online control mechanism based on a value iteration reinforcement learning process is developed for flexible wing aerial structures. It employs a model-free control policy framework and a guaranteed convergent adaptive learning architecture to solve the system's Bellman optimality equation. A Riccati equation is derived and shown to be equivalent to solving the underlying Bellman equation. The online reinforcement learning solution is implemented using means of an adaptive-critic mechanism. The controller is proven to be asymptotically stable in the Lyapunov sense. It is assessed through computer simulations and its superior performance is demonstrated on two scenarios under different operating conditions.
New global map shows populations are growing faster in flood-prone areas
And while the global population grew by 18.6% from 2000 to 2015, the population in these areas outpaced that growth, increasing by 34.1% over the same period. That means between 58 million and 86 million more people were exposed to flooding in those places over the course of 15 years. "It's not particularly surprising that floods would increase," says Beth Tellman, cofounder of the flood-mapping startup Cloud to Street and the lead author of the study. "But what was striking to me was that people were moving into places where we've observed flooding in the past." The researchers looked at over 3,000 events in the Dartmouth Flood Observatory database, which logs floods reported in media coverage.
With One Voice: Composing a Travel Voice Assistant from Re-purposed Models
Poran, Shachaf, Amsalem, Gil, Beka, Amit, Goldenberg, Dmitri
Voice assistants provide users a new way of interacting with digital products, allowing them to retrieve information and complete tasks with an increased sense of control and flexibility. Such products are comprised of several machine learning models, like Speech-to-Text transcription, Named Entity Recognition and Resolution, and Text Classification. Building a voice assistant from scratch takes the prolonged efforts of several teams constructing numerous models and orchestrating between components. Alternatives such as using third-party vendors or re-purposing existing models may be considered to shorten time-to-market and development costs. However, each option has its benefits and drawbacks. We present key insights from building a voice search assistant for Booking.com search and recommendation system. Our paper compares the achieved performance and development efforts in dedicated tailor-made solutions against existing re-purposed models. We share and discuss our data-driven decisions about implementation trade-offs and their estimated outcomes in hindsight, showing that a fully functional machine learning product can be built from existing models.
Mixture of Linear Models Co-supervised by Deep Neural Networks
Seo, Beomseok, Lin, Lin, Li, Jia
Deep neural network (DNN) models have achieved phenomenal success for applications in many domains, ranging from academic research in science and engineering to industry and business. The modeling power of DNN is believed to have come from the complexity and over-parameterization of the model, which on the other hand has been criticized for the lack of interpretation. Although certainly not true for every application, in some applications, especially in economics, social science, healthcare industry, and administrative decision making, scientists or practitioners are resistant to use predictions made by a black-box system for multiple reasons. One reason is that a major purpose of a study can be to make discoveries based upon the prediction function, e.g., to reveal the relationships between measurements. Another reason can be that the training dataset is not large enough to make researchers feel completely sure about a purely data-driven result. Being able to examine and interpret the prediction function will enable researchers to connect the result with existing knowledge or gain insights about new directions to explore. Although classic statistical models are much more explainable, their accuracy often falls considerably below DNN. In this paper, we propose an approach to fill the gap between relatively simple explainable models and DNN such that we can more flexibly tune the trade-off between interpretability and accuracy. Our main idea is a mixture of discriminative models that is trained with the guidance from a DNN. Although mixtures of discriminative models have been studied before, our way of generating the mixture is quite different.
Under the Radar -- Auditing Fairness in ML for Humanitarian Mapping
Kondmann, Lukas, Zhu, Xiao Xiang
Humanitarian mapping from space with machine learning helps policy-makers to timely and accurately identify people in need. However, recent concerns around fairness and transparency of algorithmic decision-making are a significant obstacle for applying these methods in practice. In this paper, we study if humanitarian mapping approaches from space are prone to bias in their predictions. We map village-level poverty and electricity rates in India based on nighttime lights (NTLs) with linear regression and random forest and analyze if the predictions systematically show prejudice against scheduled caste or tribe communities. To achieve this, we design a causal approach to measure counterfactual fairness based on propensity score matching. This allows to compare villages within a community of interest to synthetic counterfactuals. Our findings indicate that poverty is systematically overestimated and electricity systematically underestimated for scheduled tribes in comparison to a synthetic counterfactual group of villages. The effects have the opposite direction for scheduled castes where poverty is underestimated and electrification overestimated. These results are a warning sign for a variety of applications in humanitarian mapping where fairness issues would compromise policy goals.
Cracking the Language Barrier for a Multilingual Africa, 2021
This webinar series will be hosted by the International Research Centre in Artificial Intelligence (IRCAI) and supported by UNESCO and Knowledge 4 All Foundation, to present the Fellowship to develop datasets and strengthen capacities and innovation potential for Low Resource African Languages project that is composed of research in natural language processing, open dataset creation and publishing, and the development of an interface between policy and technology sphere. The project delivered three main components from research in natural language processing, dataset creation, and policy creation: 1. Fellowship for African AI researchers focused on African languages, based on previously IDRC and Knowledge 4 All Foundation funded work on language datasets. This work contributes to a roadmap for better integration of African languages on digital platforms in aid of lowering the barrier for African participation in the digital economy, 2. Improvement of the representation of AI research carried out on African languages by creating resources for a variety of NLP tasks and in a variety of African languages that will enable good, data-driven results in AI research, 3. Attract an African community of native speakers as contributors of language resources and language technology tools to adopt and support Masakhane NLP, a platform for sharing, maintaining and making use of language resources and tools; establishing widely agreed benchmarks for NLP tasks and stimulating competition between methods and systems, 4. Be used as a model case to inform African evidence-based policymaking concerning Artificial Intelligence and will be included in UNESCO’s AI Decision maker’s Essential to inform policymakers. Find more information at IRCAI Webinar Series
Nonperturbative renormalization for the neural network-QFT correspondence
Erbin, Harold, Lahoche, Vincent, Samary, Dine Ousmane
In a recent work arXiv:2008.08601, Halverson, Maiti and Stoner proposed a description of neural networks in terms of a Wilsonian effective field theory. The infinite-width limit is mapped to a free field theory, while finite $N$ corrections are taken into account by interactions (non-Gaussian terms in the action). In this paper, we study two related aspects of this correspondence. First, we comment on the concepts of locality and power-counting in this context. Indeed, these usual space-time notions may not hold for neural networks (since inputs can be arbitrary), however, the renormalization group provides natural notions of locality and scaling. Moreover, we comment on several subtleties, for example, that data components may not have a permutation symmetry: in that case, we argue that random tensor field theories could provide a natural generalization. Second, we improve the perturbative Wilsonian renormalization from arXiv:2008.08601 by providing an analysis in terms of the nonperturbative renormalization group using the Wetterich-Morris equation. An important difference with usual nonperturbative RG analysis is that only the effective (IR) 2-point function is known, which requires setting the problem with care. Our aim is to provide a useful formalism to investigate neural networks behavior beyond the large-width limit (i.e.~far from Gaussian limit) in a nonperturbative fashion. A major result of our analysis is that changing the standard deviation of the neural network weight distribution can be interpreted as a renormalization flow in the space of networks. We focus on translations invariant kernels and provide preliminary numerical results.
Electrical peak demand forecasting- A review
Dai, Shuang, Meng, Fanlin, Dai, Hongsheng, Wang, Qian, Chen, Xizhong
The power system is undergoing rapid evolution with the roll-out of advanced metering infrastructure and local energy applications (e.g. electric vehicles) as well as the increasing penetration of intermittent renewable energy at both transmission and distribution level, which characterizes the peak load demand with stronger randomness and less predictability and therefore poses a threat to the power grid security. Since storing large quantities of electricity to satisfy load demand is neither economically nor environmentally friendly, effective peak demand management strategies and reliable peak load forecast methods become essential for optimizing the power system operations. To this end, this paper provides a timely and comprehensive overview of peak load demand forecast methods in the literature. To our best knowledge, this is the first comprehensive review on such topic. In this paper we first give a precise and unified problem definition of peak load demand forecast. Second, 139 papers on peak load forecast methods were systematically reviewed where methods were classified into different stages based on the timeline. Thirdly, a comparative analysis of peak load forecast methods are summarized and different optimizing methods to improve the forecast performance are discussed. The paper ends with a comprehensive summary of the reviewed papers and a discussion of potential future research directions.
RAIN: Reinforced Hybrid Attention Inference Network for Motion Forecasting
Li, Jiachen, Yang, Fan, Ma, Hengbo, Malla, Srikanth, Tomizuka, Masayoshi, Choi, Chiho
Motion forecasting plays a significant role in various domains (e.g., autonomous driving, human-robot interaction), which aims to predict future motion sequences given a set of historical observations. However, the observed elements may be of different levels of importance. Some information may be irrelevant or even distracting to the forecasting in certain situations. To address this issue, we propose a generic motion forecasting framework (named RAIN) with dynamic key information selection and ranking based on a hybrid attention mechanism. The general framework is instantiated to handle multi-agent trajectory prediction and human motion forecasting tasks, respectively. In the former task, the model learns to recognize the relations between agents with a graph representation and to determine their relative significance. In the latter task, the model learns to capture the temporal proximity and dependency in long-term human motions. We also propose an effective double-stage training pipeline with an alternating training strategy to optimize the parameters in different modules of the framework. We validate the framework on both synthetic simulations and motion forecasting benchmarks in different domains, demonstrating that our method not only achieves state-of-the-art forecasting performance, but also provides interpretable and reasonable hybrid attention weights.
Levi-Strauss' Dr. Katia Walsh on why diversity in AI and ML is non-negotiable
All the sessions from Transform 2021 are available on-demand now. As part of VentureBeat's series of interviews with women and BIPOC leaders in the AI industry, we sat down with Dr. Katia Walsh, chief strategy and artificial intelligence officer, Levi Strauss & Co. In her career she has forged paths for people from every intersection of race, culture, class, and education, giving them the tools they need in an AI- and data-centric world to be creative, solve problems, develop new solutions, and change the game in their roles across their companies. VB: Could you tell us about your background, and your current role at your company? I started my career as a journalist in communist Bulgaria, where I personally experienced the power of information through a story I wrote while still in high school.