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Sparse Weak-Form Discovery of Stochastic Generators
A, Eshwar R, Honnavar, Gajanan V.
The proposed algorithm seeks to provide a novel data-driven framework for the discovery of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) by application of the Weak-formulation to stochastic SINDy. This Weak formulation of the algorithm provides a noise-robust methodology that avoids traditional noisy derivative computation using finite differences. An additional novelty is the adoption of spatial Gaussian test functions in place of temporal test functions, wherein the use of the kernel weight $K_j(X_{t_n})$ guarantees unbiasedness in expectation and prevents the structural regression bias that is otherwise pertinent with temporal test functions. The proposed framework converts the SDE identification problem into two SINDy based linear sparse identification problems. We validate the algorithm on three SDEs, for which we recover all active non-linear terms with coefficient errors below 4%, stationary-density total-variation distances below 0.01, and autocorrelation functions that reproduce true relaxation timescales across all three benchmarks faithfully.
An Index Policy Based on Sarsa and Q-learning for Heterogeneous Smart Target Tracking
Hao, Yuhang, Wang, Zengfu, Fu, Jing, Pan, Quan
In solving the non-myopic radar scheduling for multiple smart target tracking within an active and passive radar network, we need to consider both short-term enhanced tracking performance and a higher probability of target maneuvering in the future with active tracking. Acquiring the long-term tracking performance while scheduling the beam resources of active and passive radars poses a challenge. To address this challenge, we model this problem as a Markov decision process consisting of parallel restless bandit processes. Each bandit process is associated with a smart target, of which the estimation state evolves according to different discrete dynamic models for different actions - whether or not the target is being tracked. The discrete state is defined by the dynamic mode. The problem exhibits the curse of dimensionality, where optimal solutions are in general intractable. We resort to heuristics through the famous restless multi-armed bandit techniques. It follows with efficient scheduling policies based on the indices that are real numbers representing the marginal rewards of taking different actions. For the inevitable practical case with unknown transition matrices, we propose a new method that utilizes the forward Sarsa and backward Q-learning to approximate the indices through adapting the state-action value functions, or equivalently the Q-functions, and propose a new policy, namely ISQ, aiming to maximize the long-term tracking rewards. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed ISQ policy outperforms conventional Q-learning-based methods and rapidly converges to the well-known Whittle index policy with revealed state transition models, which is considered the benchmark.
Is There an Analog of Nesterov Acceleration for MCMC?
Ma, Yi-An, Chatterji, Niladri, Cheng, Xiang, Flammarion, Nicolas, Bartlett, Peter, Jordan, Michael I.
While optimization methodology has provided much of the underlying algorithmic machinery that has driven the theory and practice of machine learning in recent years, sampling-based methodology, in particular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), remains of critical importance, given its role in linking algorithms to statistical inference and, in particular, its ability to provide notions of confidence that are lacking in optimization-based methodology. However, the classical theory of MCMC is largely asymptotic and the theory has not developed as rapidly in recent years as the theory of optimization. Recently, however, a literature has emerged that derives nonasymptotic rates for MCMC algorithms [see, e.g., 9, 12, 10, 8, 6, 14, 21, 22, 2, 5]. This work has explicitly aimed at making use of ideas from optimization; in particular, whereas the classical literature on MCMC focused on reversible Markov chains, the recent literature has focused on nonreversible stochastic processes that are built on gradients [see, e.g., 18, 20, 3, 1]. In particular, the gradient-based Langevin algorithm [33, 32, 13] has been shown to be a form of gradient descent on the space of probabilities [see, e.g., 36]. What has not yet emerged is an analog of acceleration. Recall that the notion of acceleration has played a key role in gradient-based optimization methods [26]. In particular, the Nesterov accelerated gradient descent (AGD) method, an instance of the general family of "momentum methods," provably achieves faster convergence rate than gradient descent (GD) in a variety of settings [25]. Moreover, it achieves the optimal convergence rate under an oracle model of optimization complexity in the convex setting [24].