In such settings, the inverse scattering transform (IST) of Ablowitz, Kaup, Newell, and Segur [2] has enjoyed a rich and successful history, and is now the standard theoretical framework for deriving reduced-order evolution equations for soliton dynamics. Although these derivations are traditionally of an analytical - rather than data-driven - nature, recent work has employed the IST formalism as a tool for experimental data analysis, using the technique to analyze soliton content from empirical measurements [8, 15, 24]. Moreover, recent approaches using alternative parameterization techniques have demonstrated that the learning of reduced-order, interpretable equations of motion for solitons is tenable in a data-driven setting [6, 26, 27]. Despite the success of this recent work, however, little effort has been devoted to developing a data-driven modeling approach based on the IST itself, most likely due to the fact that the framework is fundamentally problem-specific. In this paper, we address the question of whether effective soliton dynamics can be inferred directly from observed scattering data (as opposed to being derived or approximated analytically).

What if a reasoning model could decide when to decompose and parallelize independent subtasks, how many concurrent threads to spawn, and how to coordinate them based on the problem at hand? We provide a detailed analysis of recent progress in the field of parallel reasoning, especially adaptive parallel reasoning. Disclosure: this post is part landscape survey, part perspective on adaptive parallel reasoning. One of the authors (Tony Lian) co-led ThreadWeaver ( Lian et al., 2025), one of the methods discussed below. The authors aim to present each approach on its own terms. Recent progress in LLM reasoning capabilities has been largely driven by inference-time scaling, in addition to data and parameter scaling ( OpenAI et al., 2024; DeepSeek-AI et al., 2025). Models that explicitly output reasoning tokens (through intermediate steps, backtracking, and exploration) now dominate math, coding, and agentic benchmarks.

We investigate a forecasting framework based on a simple discrete-time dynamic model with coefficients varying in time. The parameters of the model are recovered within a deep learning framework, which makes it possible to retain a transparent parametric structure while simultaneously accounting for complex and nonstationary patterns in the observed phenomenon. Our analysis covers two specifications of the noise process. Besides the standard Gaussian setting, we also consider Laplace-distributed noise, which can offer a more adequate description in the presence of heavier tails and sharper local fluctuations. For both cases, we formulate the predictive scheme of the model and analyze the associated uncertainty quantification, including the construction of prediction intervals. The results illustrate that a relatively simple model, when combined with time-dependent parameter estimation, can serve as a mathematically tractable and practically flexible tool for forecasting complex dynamics under different noise assumptions. The general model is stated for TVAR($p$), while the prediction-interval formulas and the numerical experiments are developed for the TVAR(1) case.

Autoencoders (AEs) have emerged as powerful tools for non-linear dimensionality reduction, often surpassing traditional linear methods such as Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) in scenarios characterized by slowly decaying Kolmogorov $n$-widths. In the realm of Reduced-Order Modelling (ROM), these models are increasingly utilized to learn low-dimensional representations of solution manifolds associated with parametric Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). However, the high expressivity of AEs presents a challenge: although trained networks typically minimize reconstruction error, they often struggle to capture the essential properties necessary for building accurate and robust ROMs. Recent works by arXiv:2307.15288v2 and arXiv:2506.11641v1 have tackled this challenge in fully connected AEs by proposing representation-consistent architectures, which preserve some of the properties belonging to POD. This study builds upon that concept by extending representation consistency for convolutional layers. We introduce a novel class of symmetric Convolutional AutoEncoders (CAEs) designed to embody the primary properties of manifold parametrization mappings. When integrated into a ROM framework, this architecture demonstrates significantly improved predictive capabilities. Specifically, we compared the performance of the ROMs based on classical and symmetric CAEs on three one dimensional academic test cases, namely the Linear Advection, the Viscous Burger and the Kuramoto Sivashinsky equation. Numerical results demonstrate that our proposed symmetric approach consistently yields more accurate latent trajectories, lower reconstruction errors, and enhanced model robustness.

Many modern Language Model (LM) pipelines return an averaged model, such as an exponential moving average of the training iterates, rather than the final iterate itself. This raises a fundamental question: given that we will return an iterate average, how should we change training to improve the performance of this average? We study this question by formulating optimizer design for the iterate-average estimator as an optimal-control problem. In a continuous-time stochastic quadratic model, we solve for the control strategy that minimizes the error of the returned average subject to a penalty on the size of the intervention. A practical approximation to this controller yields PACE, a lightweight wrapper around AdamW that pulls the live weights toward their exponential moving average with a clipped, per-coordinate control strength. We prove that a stylized version of PACE converges at the standard stochastic convex optimization rate, up to a factor depending on the averaging rule, while in the quadratic setting it can strictly improve the limiting squared error of the iterate-average estimator and can do so by an arbitrarily large factor on some instances. Empirically, our results suggest that PACE improves over AdamW and EMA-evaluated AdamW in supervised fine-tuning of 1-2B parameter LMs and in GPT-2 pretraining on FineWeb for a wide range of learning rates, decay schedules, and other hyperparameters.

Modern LLM workflows move coordinate-indexed objects across checkpoints: steering vectors, sparse autoencoders, top-$k$ neuron sets, attribution lists, and merge alignments. This is only well posed after fixing the model's residual-stream gauge, which we show is architecture-dependent: LayerNorm residual charts have permutation gauge $S_d$ (up to a global sign flip), while RMSNorm charts with generic per-channel gain have signed-permutation gauge $B_d = S_d \ltimes \{\pm 1\}^d$. Permutation-only alignment is therefore symmetry-incomplete for RMSNorm models. We introduce sign-marginalized Hungarian matching and prove a sharp failure mode: with decorrelated coordinates, raw signed-correlation matching has a structural permutation-accuracy ceiling at the positive-sign fraction of the true gauge, which sign-marginalization removes. We then make coordinate-preserving transport, not function-level merging, the primary object: composing saved-checkpoint local $B_d$ gauges along same-base fine-tuning trajectories recovers 91.1% of cross-run coordinates at 1500 steps versus 60.3% for endpoint matching, and the gain is not explained by merely routing through the base. The recovered gauge transfers tools that permutation-only alignment breaks: TinyLlama SAE reconstruction has NMSE 0.004 under $B_d$ versus 1.08 under $S_d$; Qwen sentiment steering preserves 95.8% of its effect versus 17.2%; refusal steering reverses sign under $S_d$; coordinate-preserving merges behave the same way. The same covariance governs stateful training: signed transport of AdamW state preserves the resumed trajectory, while permutation-only state follows a different one from a functionally identical checkpoint. Finally, gauge-sweep audits show index-level interpretability claims are reproducible only relative to an explicit gauge.

This work presents a new bidirectional autoregressive latent diffusion approach for predicting the evolution of multiple fields (mass density, pressure, velocity, and magnetic field components) for magnetohydrodynamics. We show that this bidirectional flow can be used as a self-supervised consistency metric for uncertainty and error estimation, which enables the model to estimate test-time uncertainty and error without access to ground truth, by comparing how closely flowing forwards and backwards in time returns to the same predicted fields. We also demonstrate this methods's potential to serve as a non-invasive plasma diagnostic, and show how adaptive feedback can be used to make the model more robust based on sparse diagnostics or limited views/measurements.

These notes recapitulate the high level mathematical principles behind different techniques for generative modeling. I show the connections between optimal transport and standard techniques such as Schr{ö}dinger bridge and flow matching.

Bayesian filtering of partially and noisily observed dynamical systems seeks to infer the evolving conditional distribution of the state of a dynamical system, given observations, in an online fashion. This Bayesian filtering distribution is the natural object for uncertainty quantification, but it is rarely available as a supervised learning target. However, one can often use the forecast model to generate synthetic system trajectories, along with synthetic observations. We introduce the proper scoring ensemble filter (PSEF), an ensemble data assimilation method based on training an analysis map to approximate the filtering distribution using only synthetic state--observation trajectories. The analysis step is represented as a permutation-invariant, transformer-based map that takes as input a forecast ensemble and observations, producing an analysis ensemble. Training is based on strictly proper scoring rules -- with the energy score used in our implementation -- so that probabilistic accuracy is rewarded over the whole probability distribution. We prove that, under a realizability assumption, the population objective is minimized by the true Bayesian filtering distribution. We also derive the finite-ensemble empirical objective used in training and relate its single state--observation trajectory form to the population objective, using a mean-field consistency argument. Numerical experiments show that the learned filter accurately approximates challenging filtering distributions, including nonlinear, non-Gaussian, and multi-modal posteriors, and achieves stronger performance in data assimilation tasks than classical methods or learning-based methods with mean-squared-error objectives. For close-to-Gaussian problems, learning a correction to the EnKF is the best approach, while for highly non-Gaussian problems an end-to-end approach that discards this inductive bias is superior.

Learning effective policies for adaptive data acquisition remains challenging: posterior-based methods rely on surrogate models and posterior approximations that can be misspecified or biased, while direct policy-learning methods map from historical observations and fail to exploit available model representations, making learning harder. We introduce policy learning with belief representations (POLAR), based on the insight that optimal data acquisition depends on the observation history only through a sufficient belief state. Specifically, POLAR decouples representation learning from policy learning by leveraging pretrained predictive foundation models as belief-state encoders, training a policy head on top of their representations. This yields a simple, unified amortised policy learning framework for Bayesian experimental design, Bayesian optimisation, and active learning, differing only in the task-specific utility used to train the policy. Empirically, we find that POLAR outperforms state-of-the-art amortised methods across diverse tasks while requiring far fewer training samples, demonstrating a significant step in the scalability and efficiency of amortised data acquisition.