How does the training data affect a model's behavior? This is the question we seek to answer with data attribution. The leading practical approaches to data attribution are based on influence functions (IF). IFs utilize a first-order Taylor approximation to efficiently predict the effect of removing a set of samples from the training set without retraining the model, and are used in a wide variety of machine learning applications. However, especially in the high-dimensional regime (# params Ω(# samples)), they are often imprecise and tend to underestimate the effect of sample removals, even for simple models such as logistic regression. We present rescaled influence functions (RIF), a tool for data attribution which can be used as a dropin replacement for influence functions, with little computational overhead but significant improvement in accuracy. We compare IF and RIF on a range of realworld datasets, showing that RIFs offer significantly better predictions in practice, and present a theoretical analysis explaining this improvement. Finally, we present a simple class of data poisoning attacks that would fool IF-based detections but would be detected by RIF.

We consider the Tree Alternating Optimization (TAO) algorithm to train regression trees with linear predictors in the leaves. Unlike the traditional, greedy recursive partitioning algorithms such as CART, TAO guarantees a monotonic decrease of the objective function and results in smaller trees of much better accuracy. We modify the TAO algorithm so that it produces exactly the same result but is much faster, particularly for high input dimensionality or deep trees. The idea is based on the fact that, at each iteration of TAO, each leaf receives only a subset of the training instances. Thus, the optimization of the leaf model can be done exactly but faster by using the Sherman-Morrison-Woodbury formula. This has the unexpected advantage that, once a tree exceeds a critical depth, then making it deeper makes it faster to train, even though the tree is larger and has more parameters. Indeed, this can make learning a nonlinear model (the tree) asymptotically faster than a regular linear regression model. We analyze the corresponding computational complexity and verify the speedups experimentally in various datasets. The argument can be applied to other types of trees, whenever the optimization of a node can be computed in superlinear time of the number of instances.

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a popular framework for constructing prediction bands with valid coverage in finite samples, while being free of any distributional assumption. A well-known limitation of conformal prediction is the lack of adaptivity, although several works introduced practically efficient alternate procedures. In this work, we build upon recent ideas that rely on recasting the CP problem as a statistical learning problem, directly targeting coverage and adaptivity. This statistical learning problem is based on reproducible kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) and kernel sum-of-squares (SoS) methods. First, we extend previous results with a general representer theorem and exhibit the dual formulation of the learning problem.

This paper examines the performance of ridge regression in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces in the presence of noise that exhibits a finite number of higher moments. We establish excess risk bounds consisting of subgaussian and polynomial terms based on the well known integral operator framework. The dominant subgaussian component allows to achieve convergence rates that have previously only been derived under subexponential noise--a prevalent assumption in related work from the last two decades. These rates are optimal under standard eigenvalue decay conditions, demonstrating the asymptotic robustness of regularized least squares against heavy-tailed noise. Our derivations are based on a Fuk-Nagaev inequality for Hilbert-space valued random variables.

Weak-to-strong generalization--where a student model trained on imperfect labels generated by a weaker teacher nonetheless surpasses that teacher--has been widely observed, but the mechanisms that enable it have remained poorly understood. In this paper, through a theoretical analysis of simple models, we uncover three core mechanisms that can drive this phenomenon. First, by analyzing ridge linear regression, we study the interplay between the teacher and student regularization parameters and prove that a student can compensate for a teacher's under-regularization and achieve lower test error. We also analyze the role of the parameterization regime of the models and show that qualitatively different phenomena can happen in different regimes. Second, by analyzing weighted ridge linear regression, we show that a student model with a regularization structure better aligned to the target function, can outperform its teacher. Third, in a nonlinear multi-index learning setting, we demonstrate that a student can learn easy, task-specific features from the teacher while leveraging its own broader pre-training to learn hard-to-learn features that the teacher cannot capture.

In this paper, we study the problem minx Rd,Nx=v Pn i=1 f((Ax b)i)for a quasiself-concordant function f: R R, where A,N are n d and m d matrices, b,v are vectors of length n and m with n d. We show an algorithm based on a trust-region method with an oracle that can be implemented using eO(d1/3)linear system solves, improving the eO(n1/3) oracle by [Adil-Bullins-Sachdeva, NeurIPS 2021]. Our implementation of the oracle relies on solving the overdetermined ℓ regression problem minx Rd,Nx=v Ax b . We provide an algorithm that finds a (1+ε)-approximate solution to this problem using O((d1/3/ε+1/ε2)log(n/ε)) linear system solves. This algorithm leverages ℓ Lewis weight overestimates and achieves this iteration complexity via a simple lightweight IRLS approach, inspired by the work of [Ene-Vladu, ICML 2019]. Experimentally, we demonstrate that our algorithm significantly improves the runtime of the standard CVX solver.

Understanding how the test risk scales with model complexity is a central question in machine learning. Classical theory is challenged by the learning curves observed for large over-parametrized deep networks. Capacity measures based on parameter count typically fail to account for these empirical observations. To tackle this challenge, we consider norm-based capacity measures and develop our study for random features based estimators, widely used as simplified theoretical models for more complex networks. In this context, we provide a precise characterization of how the estimator's norm concentrates and how it governs the associated test error. Our results show that the predicted learning curve admits a phase transition from under-to over-parameterization, but no double descent behavior. This confirms that more classical U-shaped behavior is recovered considering appropriate capacity measures based on models norms rather than size. From a technical point of view, we leverage deterministic equivalence as the key tool and further develop new deterministic quantities which are of independent interest.

We study the problem of preconditioning in sequential prediction. From the theoretical lens of linear dynamical systems, we show that convolving the target sequence corresponds to applying a polynomial to the hidden transition matrix. Building on this insight, we propose a universal preconditioning method that convolves the target with coefficients from orthogonal polynomials such as Chebyshev or Legendre. We prove that this approach reduces regret for two distinct prediction algorithms and yields the first ever sublinear and hidden-dimension-independent regret bounds (up to logarithmic factors) that hold for systems with marginally stable and asymmetric transition matrices. Finally, extensive synthetic and realworld experiments show that this simple preconditioning strategy improves the performance of a diverse range of algorithms, including recurrent neural networks, and generalizes to signals beyond linear dynamical systems.

We study gradient descent (GD) with a constant stepsize for ℓ2-regularized logistic regression with linearly separable data. Classical theory suggests small stepsizes to ensure monotonic reduction of the optimization objective, achieving exponential convergence in eO(κ) steps with κ being the condition number. Surprisingly, we show that this can be accelerated to eO( κ)by simply using a large stepsize--for which the objective evolves nonmonotonically. The acceleration brought by large stepsizes extends to minimizing the population risk for separable distributions, improving on the best-known upper bounds on the number of steps to reach a nearoptimum. Finally, we characterize the largest stepsize for the local convergence of GD, which also determines the global convergence in special scenarios. Our results extend the analysis of Wu et al. (2024) from convex settings with minimizers at infinity to strongly convex cases with finite minimizers.

Transfer learning is a powerful paradigm for leveraging knowledge from source domains to enhance learning in a target domain. However, traditional transfer learning approaches often focus on scalar or multivariate data within Euclidean spaces, limiting their applicability to complex data structures such as probability distributions. To address this limitation, we introduce a novel transfer learning framework for regression models whose outputs are probability distributions residing in the Wasserstein space. When the informative subset of transferable source domains is known, we propose an estimator with provable asymptotic convergence rates, quantifying the impact of domain similarity on transfer efficiency. For cases where the informative subset is unknown, we develop a data-driven transfer learning procedure designed to mitigate negative transfer. The proposed methods are supported by rigorous theoretical analysis and are validated through extensive simulations and real-world applications. The code is available at https://github.com/h7nian/WaTL.