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Simulation-Based Inference for Adaptive Experiments
Multi-arm bandit experimental designs are increasingly being adopted over standard randomized trials due to their potential to improve outcomes for study participants, enable faster identification of the best-performing options, and/or enhance the precision of estimating key parameters. Current approaches for inference after adaptive sampling either rely on asymptotic normality under restricted experiment designs or underpowered martingale concentration inequalities that lead to weak power in practice. To bypass these limitations, we propose a simulation-based approach for conducting hypothesis tests and constructing confidence intervals for arm specific means and their differences. Our simulation-based approach uses positively biased nuisances to generate additional trajectories of the experiment, which we call simulation with optimism. Using these simulations, we characterize the distribution potentially non-normal sample mean test statistic to conduct inference. We provide guarantees for (i) asymptotic type I error control, (ii) convergence of our confidence intervals, and (iii) asymptotic strong consistency of our estimator over a wide variety of common bandit designs. Our empirical results show that our approach achieves the desired coverage while reducing confidence interval widths by up to 50%, with drastic improvements for arms not targeted by the design.
Nearly-Linear Time and Massively Parallel Algorithms for k-Anonymity
Previous algorithms with provable guarantees either (1) achieve the same O(k)approximation ratio but require at least O(n2k) runtime, or (2) provide a better O(logk) approximation ratio at the cost of an impractical O(n2k) worst-case runtime for general d and k. Our algorithm extends to the Massively Parallel Computation (MPC) model, where it gives an MPC algorithm requiring eO(log1+ฮต n) rounds and total space O(n1+ฮณ(d+k)). Empirically, we also demonstrate that our algorithmic ideas can be adapted to existing heuristic methods, leading to significant speed-ups while preserving comparable performance. On the hardness side, we study the related single-point k-anonymity problem, where the goal is to select k 1 additional records to make a given record indistinguishable. Assuming the dense vs random conjecture in complexity theory, we show that for n = kc, no algorithm can achieve a k1 O(1/c) approximation in poly(n) time, providing evidence for the inherent hardness of the k-anonymity problem.
Schrรถdinger Bridge Matching for Tree-Structured Costs and Entropic Wasserstein Barycentres
Recent advances in flow-based generative modelling have provided scalable methods for computing the Schr odinger Bridge (SB) between distributions, a dynamic form of entropy-regularised Optimal Transport (OT) for the quadratic cost. The successful Iterative Markovian Fitting (IMF) procedure solves the SB problem via sequential bridge-matching steps, presenting an elegant and practical approach with many favourable properties over the more traditional Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF) procedure. Beyond the standard setting, optimal transport can be generalised to the multi-marginal case in which the objective is to minimise a cost defined over several marginal distributions. Of particular importance are costs defined over a tree structure, from which Wasserstein barycentres can be recovered as a special case. In this work, we extend the IMF procedure to solve for the tree-structured SB problem. Our resulting algorithm inherits the many advantages of IMF over IPF approaches in the tree-based setting. In the case of Wasserstein barycentres, our approach can be viewed as extending the widely used fixed-point approach to use flow-based entropic OT solvers, while requiring only simple bridge-matching steps at each iteration.
Listening to the Brain: Multi-Band sEEGAuditory Reconstruction via Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Hypergraphs
Speech is a fundamental form of human communication, and speech perception constitutes the initial stage of language comprehension. Although brain-to-speech interface technologies have made significant progress in recent years, most existing studies focus on neural decoding during speech production. Such approaches heavily rely on articulatory motor regions, rendering them unsuitable for individuals with speech motor impairments, such as those with aphasia or locked-in syndrome. To address this limitation, we construct and release NeuroListen, the first publicly available stereo-electroencephalography (sEEG) dataset specifically designed for auditory reconstruction. It contains over 10 hours of neuralspeech paired recordings from 5 clinical participants, covering a wide range of semantic categories. Building on this dataset, we propose HyperSpeech, a multi-band neural decoding framework that employs dynamic spatio-temporal hypergraph neural networks to capture high-order dependencies across frequency, spatial, and temporal dimensions. Experimental results demonstrate that HyperSpeech significantly outperforms existing methods across multiple objective speech quality metrics, and achieves superior performance in human subjective evaluations, validating its effectiveness and advancement. This study provides a dedicated dataset and modeling framework for auditory speech decoding, offering foundations for neural language processing and assistive communication systems.
Synthetic-Powered Predictive Inference
Conformal prediction is a framework for predictive inference with a distributionfree, finite-sample guarantee. However, it tends to provide uninformative prediction sets when calibration data are scarce. This paper introduces Synthetic-powered predictive inference (SPI), a novel framework that incorporates synthetic data-- e.g., from a generative model--to improve sample efficiency. At the core of our method is a score transporter: an empirical quantile mapping that aligns nonconformity scores from trusted, real data with those from synthetic data. By carefully integrating the score transporter into the calibration process, SPIprovably achieves finite-sample coverage guarantees without making any assumptions about the real and synthetic data distributions. When the score distributions are well aligned, SPIyields substantially tighter and more informative prediction sets than standard conformal prediction. Experiments on image classification--augmenting data with synthetic diffusion-model generated images--and on tabular regression demonstrate notable improvements in predictive efficiency in data-scarce settings.
TSENOR: Highly-Efficient Algorithm for Finding Transposable N: MSparse Masks
Network pruning reduces computational requirements of large neural networks, with N:M sparsity--retaining only N out of every M consecutive weights--offering a compelling balance between compressed model quality and hardware acceleration. However, N:M sparsity only accelerates forward-pass computations, as N:M patterns are not preserved during matrix transposition, limiting efficiency during training where both passes are computationally intensive. While transposable N:M sparsity has been proposed to address this limitation, existing methods for finding transposable N:M sparse masks either fail to scale to large models or are restricted to M=4 which results in suboptimal compression-accuracy trade-off. We introduce an efficient solver for transposable N:M masks that scales to billion-parameter models. We formulate mask generation as optimal transport problems and solve through entropy regularization and Dykstra's algorithm, followed by a rounding procedure. Our tensor-based implementation exploits GPU parallelism, achieving up to 100 speedup with only 1-10% error compared to existing methods. Our approach can be integrated with layer-wise N:M pruning frameworks including Wanda, SparseGPT and ALPS to produce transposable N:M sparse models with arbitrary N:M values. Experiments show that LLaMA3.2-8B with transposable 16:32 sparsity maintains performance close to its standard N:M counterpart and outperforms standard 2:4 sparse model, showing the practical value of our approach.
Bayesian Concept Bottleneck Models with LLMPriors
Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) have been proposed as a compromise between white-box and black-box models, aiming to achieve interpretability without sacrificing accuracy. The standard training procedure for CBMs is to predefine a candidate set of human-interpretable concepts, extract their values from the training data, and identify a sparse subset as inputs to a transparent prediction model. However, such approaches are often hampered by the tradeoff between exploring a sufficiently large set of concepts versus controlling the cost of obtaining concept extractions, resulting in a large interpretability-accuracy tradeoff. This work investigates a novel approach that sidesteps these challenges: BC-LLM iteratively searches over a potentially infinite set of concepts within a Bayesian framework, in which Large Language Models (LLMs) serve as both a concept extraction mechanism and prior. Even though LLMs can be miscalibrated and hallucinate, we prove that BC-LLM can provide rigorous statistical inference and uncertainty quantification. Across image, text, and tabular datasets, BC-LLM outperforms interpretable baselines and even black-box models in certain settings, converges more rapidly towards relevant concepts, and is more robust to out-of-distribution samples. 1
Direct Fisher Score Estimation for Likelihood Maximization
We study the problem of likelihood maximization when the likelihood function is intractable but model simulations are readily available. We propose a sequential, gradient-based optimization method that directly models the Fisher score based on a local score matching technique which uses simulations from a localized region around each parameter iterate. By employing a linear parameterization for the surrogate score model, our technique admits a closed-form, least-squares solution. This approach yields a fast, flexible, and efficient approximation to the Fisher score, effectively smoothing the likelihood objective and mitigating the challenges posed by complex likelihood landscapes. We provide theoretical guarantees for our score estimator, including bounds on the bias introduced by the smoothing. Empirical results on a range of synthetic and real-world problems demonstrate the superior performance of our method compared to existing benchmarks.