polylog
Low Rank for Rank: Uncertainty-Aware Task-Specific LLM Ranking under Sparse Pairwise Comparisons
Li, Jiachun, Simchi-Levi, David, Sun, Will Wei
Pairwise human-preference platforms such as Chatbot Arena have become central to large language model (LLM) evaluation, yet reliable task-specific ranking remains challenging. Global leaderboards mask task heterogeneity, while ranking each fine-grained task independently is unstable under sparse, imbalanced comparisons. We propose a low-rank framework for task-specific LLM ranking from sparse pairwise comparisons, modeling the task-by-model ability matrix $ฮ^\star \in \mathbb{R}^{d_t \times d_m}$ as low rank so that information is shared across related tasks while task-specific differences are preserved. We first develop a max-norm ($\ell_\infty$) accurate estimator for the latent scores, combining a convex initializer with alternating-minimization refinement, and prove task-wise top-$K$ recovery guarantees under sparse sampling. Our main contribution is an uncertainty quantification framework for task-specific ranking. We construct cross-fitted one-step debiased estimators for fixed score contrasts -- such as the task-specific ability gap between two models -- yielding asymptotically valid confidence intervals that attain the semiparametric efficiency bound. We then extend the inference to the high-dimensional ranking regime, where per-task ranks and top-$K$ membership are determined by many dependent score-gap hypotheses. Using Gaussian and multiplier-bootstrap calibration, we obtain simultaneous confidence sets for per-task ranks and valid top-$K$ membership tests across many tasks and models. Experiments on synthetic data and Chatbot Arena show that low-rank sharing improves sample efficiency over independent task-wise Bradley-Terry estimation and produces tighter, better-calibrated ranking certificates, with the largest gains in the sparse regime typical of real LLM benchmarks.
Streaming Algorithms and Lower Bounds for Estimating Correlation Clustering Cost
Correlation clustering is a fundamental optimization problem at the intersection of machine learning and theoretical computer science. Motivated by applications to big data processing, recent years have witnessed a flurry of results on this problem in the streaming model. In this model, the algorithm needs to process the input n-vertex graph by making one or few passes over the stream of its edges and using a limited memory, much smaller than the input size. All previous work on streaming correlation clustering has focused on semistreaming algorithms with โฆ(n) memory, whereas in this work, we study streaming algorithms with much smaller memory requirements of only polylog(n) bits. This stringent memory requirement is in the same spirit of classical streaming algorithms that instead of recovering a full solution to the problem--which can be prohibitively large with such small memory as is the case in our problem--, aimed to learn certain statistical properties of their inputs.
Transformer Approximations from ReLUs
Hu, Jerry Yao-Chieh, Lu, Mingcheng, Lee, Yi-Chen, Liu, Han
We present a systematic recipe for translating ReLU approximation results to softmax Transformers1. Given a constructive ReLU approximator for a target, we construct an explicit softmax transformer with the same accuracy. The recipe applies to many common approximation targets and yields quantitative resource bounds beyond universal approximation statements. This matters because broad Universal Approximation Properties (UAP) still dominate Transformer approximation theory. For softmax Transformer, many universality results provide explicit constructions and quantitative resource bounds (e.g., parameters, depth, width...etc) [Yun et al., 2020, Kajitsuka and Sato, 2023, Takakura and Suzuki, 2023, Jiang and Li, 2024, Hu et al., 2025,
ANotation and Preliminaries
We use the notation G= (V,E) to represent unweighted graphs, and G= (V,E,w) for weighted graphs. We use lowercase letters u,v to refer to vertices in V, and given a vertex v, we use dG(v) to refer to its degree in graph G. We use capital letters S,T to represent subsets of vertices, and given a vertex set S V, we use |S|to refer to its cardinality, S:= V \S to refer to its complement, and G[S] to refer to the subgraph of Ginduced by vertex set S. Furthermore, given two disjoint vertex sets S,T, we use wG(S,T):= P Given a graph G = (V,E), we use T to refer to a hierarchical clustering (tree) of the vertex set V, and costG(T) to refer to the cost of this clustering in graph G. Without loss of generality, we restrict our attention to just full binary hierarchical clustering trees, since the optimal tree is binary [20].
Approximating the Top Eigenvector in Random Order Streams
When rows of an $n \times d$ matrix $A$ are given in a stream, we study algorithms for approximating the top eigenvector of $A^T A$ (equivalently, the top right singular vector of $A$). We consider worst case inputs $A$ but assume that the rows are presented to the streaming algorithm in a uniformly random order. We show that when the gap parameter $R = \sigma_1(A)^2/\sigma_2(A)^2 = \Omega(1)$, then there is a randomized algorithm that uses $O(h \cdot d \cdot \text{polylog}(d))$ bits of space and outputs a unit vector $v$ that has a correlation $1 - O(1/\sqrt{R})$ with the top eigenvector $v_1$. Here $h$ denotes the number of ``heavy rows'' in the matrix, defined as the rows with Euclidean norm at least $\|{A}\|_F/\sqrt{d \cdot \text{polylog}(d)}$. We also provide a lower bound showing that any algorithm using $O(hd/R)$ bits of space can obtain at most $1 - \Omega(1/R^2)$ correlation with the top eigenvector. Thus, parameterizing the space complexity in terms of the number of heavy rows is necessary for high accuracy solutions.Our results improve upon the $R = \Omega(\log n \cdot \log d)$ requirement in a recent work of Price. We note that Price's algorithm works for arbitrary order streams whereas our algorithm requires a stronger assumption that the rows are presented in a uniformly random order. We additionally show that the gap requirements in Price's analysis can be brought down to $R = \Omega(\log^2 d)$ for arbitrary order streams and $R = \Omega(\log d)$ for random order streams. The requirement of $R = \Omega(\log d)$ for random order streams is nearly tight for Price's analysis as we obtain a simple instance with $R = \Omega(\log d/\log\log d)$ for which Price's algorithm, with any fixed learning rate, cannot output a vector approximating the top eigenvector $v_1$.
Learning to Reason with Curriculum I: Provable Benefits of Autocurriculum
Rajaraman, Nived, Huang, Audrey, Dudik, Miro, Schapire, Robert, Foster, Dylan J., Krishnamurthy, Akshay
Chain-of-thought reasoning, where language models expend additional computation by producing thinking tokens prior to final responses, has driven significant advances in model capabilities. However, training these reasoning models is extremely costly in terms of both data and compute, as it involves collecting long traces of reasoning behavior from humans or synthetic generators and further post-training the model via reinforcement learning. Are these costs fundamental, or can they be reduced through better algorithmic design? We show that autocurriculum, where the model uses its own performance to decide which problems to focus training on, provably improves upon standard training recipes for both supervised fine-tuning (SFT) and reinforcement learning (RL). For SFT, we show that autocurriculum requires exponentially fewer reasoning demonstrations than non-adaptive fine-tuning, by focusing teacher supervision on prompts where the current model struggles. For RL fine-tuning, autocurriculum decouples the computational cost from the quality of the reference model, reducing the latter to a burn-in cost that is nearly independent of the target accuracy. These improvements arise purely from adaptive data selection, drawing on classical techniques from boosting and learning from counterexamples, and requiring no assumption on the distribution or difficulty of prompts.
Near-Optimal Algorithms for Gaussians with Huber Contamination: Mean Estimation and Linear Regression
We study the fundamental problems of Gaussian mean estimation and linear regression with Gaussian covariates in the presence of Huber contamination. Our main contribution is the design of the first sample near-optimal and almost linear-time algorithms with optimal error guarantees for both these problems. Specifically, for Gaussian robust mean estimation on Rd with contamination parameter ฯต (0,ฯต0) for a small absolute constant ฯต0, we give an algorithm with sample complexity n = O(d/ฯต2) and almost linear runtime that approximates the target mean within โ2-error O(ฯต). This improves on prior work that achieved this error guarantee with polynomially suboptimal sample and time complexity. For robust linear regression, we give the first algorithm with sample complexity n = O(d/ฯต2) and almost linear runtime that approximates the target regressor within โ2-error O(ฯต). This is the first polynomial sample and time algorithm achieving the optimal error guarantee, answering an open question in the literature. At the technical level, we develop a methodology that yields almost-linear time algorithms for multi-directional filtering that may be of broader interest.