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Multilingual Lexical Feature Analysis of Spoken Language for Predicting Major Depression Symptom Severity

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Background: Captured between clinical appointments using mobile devices, spoken language has potential for objective, more regular assessment of symptom severity and earlier detection of relapse in major depressive disorder. However, research to date has largely been in non-clinical cross-sectional samples of written language using complex machine learning (ML) approaches with limited interpretability. Methods: We describe an initial exploratory analysis of longitudinal speech data and PHQ-8 assessments from 5,836 recordings of 586 participants in the UK, Netherlands, and Spain, collected in the RADAR-MDD study. We sought to identify interpretable lexical features associated with MDD symptom severity with linear mixed-effects modelling. Interpretable features and high-dimensional vector embeddings were also used to test the prediction performance of four regressor ML models. Results: In English data, MDD symptom severity was associated with 7 features including lexical diversity measures and absolutist language. In Dutch, associations were observed with words per sentence and positive word frequency; no associations were observed in recordings collected in Spain. The predictive power of lexical features and vector embeddings was near chance level across all languages. Limitations: Smaller samples in non-English speech and methodological choices, such as the elicitation prompt, may have also limited the effect sizes observable. A lack of NLP tools in languages other than English restricted our feature choice. Conclusion: To understand the value of lexical markers in clinical research and practice, further research is needed in larger samples across several languages using improved protocols, and ML models that account for within- and between-individual variations in language.


Complexity Dependent Error Rates for Physics-informed Statistical Learning via the Small-ball Method

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Physics-informed statistical learning (PISL) integrates empirical data with physical knowledge to enhance the statistical performance of estimators. While PISL methods are widely used in practice, a comprehensive theoretical understanding of how informed regularization affects statistical properties is still missing. Specifically, two fundamental questions have yet to be fully addressed: (1) what is the trade-off between considering soft penalties versus hard constraints, and (2) what is the statistical gain of incorporating physical knowledge compared to purely data-driven empirical error minimisation. In this paper, we address these questions for PISL in convex classes of functions under physical knowledge expressed as linear equations by developing appropriate complexity dependent error rates based on the small-ball method. We show that, under suitable assumptions, (1) the error rates of physics-informed estimators are comparable to those of hard constrained empirical error minimisers, differing only by constant terms, and that (2) informed penalization can effectively reduce model complexity, akin to dimensionality reduction, thereby improving learning performance. This work establishes a theoretical framework for evaluating the statistical properties of physics-informed estimators in convex classes of functions, contributing to closing the gap between statistical theory and practical PISL, with potential applications to cases not yet explored in the literature.


Ultra-Reliable Risk-Aggregated Sum Rate Maximization via Model-Aided Deep Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Traditionally, the WSR problem is addressed either deterministically using well-known methodologies such as Zero-Forcing [1], WMMSE [2], or fractional programming [3], or stochastically through the design of ergodic-optimal resource allocation policies, maximizing expected WSR under stochastic resource constraints [4], under either perfect or imperfect channel state information (CSI) [5]. While resource policies (e.g., beamforming) optimizing ergodic (i.e., expected) or even deterministic QoS metrics (e.g., WSR) may be proven to perform optimally "on average" or "in the long term", they often result in inferior user-perceived system performance. In particular, such optimal policies do not respond adequately to the presence of relatively (in)frequent, albeit operationally significant deep-fade events or, more generally, fading channel adversities, causing severe and abrupt drops in (perceived) service. This is a real and practical issue, especially considering that, in many actual scenarios, statistical dispersion of channel fading typically exhibits heavy-tailed characteristics. In fact, it is well-known that ergodic-optimal policies often behave in a channel-opportunistic manner [6, 7], completely discontinuing service to certain users in case of adverse channel conditions and low signal-to-noise ratio. This is not only inefficient in terms of communications, but also leads to substantial spectrum under-utilization. To mitigate those issues, contemporary works have considered formulations based on outage probabilities, or explicit minimum user rate constraints [8-12].


The Wasserstein Believer: Learning Belief Updates for Partially Observable Environments through Reliable Latent Space Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) are used to model environments where the full state cannot be perceived by an agent. As such the agent needs to reason taking into account the past observations and actions. However, simply remembering the full history is generally intractable due to the exponential growth in the history space. Maintaining a probability distribution that models the belief over what the true state is can be used as a sufficient statistic of the history, but its computation requires access to the model of the environment and is often intractable. While SOTA algorithms use Recurrent Neural Networks to compress the observation-action history aiming to learn a sufficient statistic, they lack guarantees of success and can lead to sub-optimal policies. To overcome this, we propose the Wasserstein Belief Updater, an RL algorithm that learns a latent model of the POMDP and an approximation of the belief update. Our approach comes with theoretical guarantees on the quality of our approximation ensuring that our outputted beliefs allow for learning the optimal value function.


Fast Algorithm for Constrained Linear Inverse Problems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider the constrained Linear Inverse Problem (LIP), where a certain atomic norm (like the $\ell_1 $ and the Nuclear norm) is minimized subject to a quadratic constraint. Typically, such cost functions are non-differentiable which makes them not amenable to the fast optimization methods existing in practice. We propose two equivalent reformulations of the constrained LIP with improved convex regularity: (i) a smooth convex minimization problem, and (ii) a strongly convex min-max problem. These problems could be solved by applying existing acceleration based convex optimization methods which provide better $ O \big( \frac{1}{k^2} \big) $ theoretical convergence guarantee. However, to fully exploit the utility of these reformulations, we also provide a novel algorithm, to which we refer as the Fast Linear Inverse Problem Solver (FLIPS), that is tailored to solve the reformulation of the LIP. We demonstrate the performance of FLIPS on the sparse coding problem arising in image processing tasks. In this setting, we observe that FLIPS consistently outperforms the Chambolle-Pock and C-SALSA algorithms--two of the current best methods in the literature.


On the coercivity condition in the learning of interacting particle systems

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In the learning of systems of interacting particles or agents, coercivity condition ensures identifiability of the interaction functions, providing the foundation of learning by nonparametric regression. The coercivity condition is equivalent to the strictly positive definiteness of an integral kernel arising in the learning. We show that for a class of interaction functions such that the system is ergodic, the integral kernel is strictly positive definite, and hence the coercivity condition holds true.


PAC-Bayes unleashed: generalisation bounds with unbounded losses

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Since its emergence in the late 90s, the PAC-Bayes theory (see the seminal papers by Shawe-Taylor and Williamson, 1997 and McAllester, 1998, 1999, or the recent survey by Guedj, 2019) has been a powerful tool to obtain generalisation bounds and derive efficient learning algorithms. PAC-Bayes bounds were originally meant for binary classification problems (Seeger, 2002; Langford, 2005; Catoni, 2007) but the literature now includes many contributions involving any bounded loss function (without loss of generality, with values in r0; 1s), not just the binary loss. Generalisation bounds are helpful to ensure that a learning algorithm will have a good performance on future similar batches of data. Our goal is to provide new PAC-Bayesian generalisation bounds holding for unbounded loss functions, and thus extend the usability of PAC-Bayes to a much larger class of learning problems. Some ways to circumvent the bounded range assumption on the losses have been addressed in the recent literature.


Average Individual Fairness: Algorithms, Generalization and Experiments

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a new family of fairness definitions for classification problems that combine some of the best properties of both statistical and individual notions of fairness. We posit not only a distribution over individuals, but also a distribution over (or collection of) classification tasks. We then ask that standard statistics (such as error or false positive/negative rates) be (approximately) equalized across individuals, where the rate is defined as an expectation over the classification tasks. Because we are no longer averaging over coarse groups (such as race or gender), this is a semantically meaningful individual-level constraint. Given a sample of individuals and classification problems, we design an oracle-efficient algorithm (i.e. one that is given access to any standard, fairness-free learning heuristic) for the fair empirical risk minimization task. We also show that given sufficiently many samples, the ERM solution generalizes in two directions: both to new individuals, and to new classification tasks, drawn from their corresponding distributions. Finally we implement our algorithm and empirically verify its effectiveness.


Sum decomposition of divergence into three divergences

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Divergence functions play a key role as to measure the discrepancy between two points in the field of machine learning, statistics and signal processing. Well-known divergences are the Bregman divergences, the Jensen divergences and the f-divergences. In this paper, we show that the symmetric Bregman divergence can be decomposed into the sum of two types of Jensen divergences and the Bregman divergence. Furthermore, applying this result, we show another sum decomposition of divergence is possible which includes f-divergences explicitly.


Learning Bounds for Importance Weighting

Neural Information Processing Systems

This paper presents an analysis of importance weighting for learning from finite samples and gives a series of theoretical and algorithmic results. We point out simple cases where importance weighting can fail, which suggests the need for an analysis of the properties of this technique. We then give both upper and lower bounds for generalization with bounded importance weights and, more significantly, give learning guarantees for the more common case of unbounded importance weights under the weak assumption that the second moment is bounded, a condition related to the Renyi divergence of the training and test distributions. These results are based on a series of novel and general bounds we derive for unbounded loss functions, which are of independent interest. We use these bounds to guide the definition of an alternative reweighting algorithm and report the results of experiments demonstrating its benefits. Finally, we analyze the properties of normalized importance weights which are also commonly used.