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Deep operator neural network applied to efficient computation of asteroid surface temperature and the Yarkovsky effect

Zhao, Shunjing, Lei, Hanlun, Shi, Xian

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Surface temperature distribution is crucial for thermal property-based studies about irregular asteroids in our Solar System. While direct numerical simulations could model surface temperatures with high fidelity, they often take a significant amount of computational time, especially for problems where temperature distributions are required to be repeatedly calculated. To this end, deep operator neural network (DeepONet) provides a powerful tool due to its high computational efficiency and generalization ability. In this work, we applied DeepONet to the modelling of asteroid surface temperatures. Results show that the trained network is able to predict temperature with an accuracy of ~1% on average, while the computational cost is five orders of magnitude lower, hence enabling thermal property analysis in a multidimensional parameter space. As a preliminary application, we analyzed the orbital evolution of asteroids through direct N-body simulations embedded with instantaneous Yarkovsky effect inferred by DeepONet-based thermophysical modelling.Taking asteroids (3200) Phaethon and (89433) 2001 WM41 as examples, we show the efficacy and efficiency of our AI-based approach.


'Never summon a power you can't control': Yuval Noah Harari on how AI could threaten democracy and divide the world

The Guardian

Throughout history many traditions have believed that some fatal flaw in human nature tempts us to pursue powers we don't know how to handle. The Greek myth of Phaethon told of a boy who discovers that he is the son of Helios, the sun god. Wishing to prove his divine origin, Phaethon demands the privilege of driving the chariot of the sun. Helios warns Phaethon that no human can control the celestial horses that pull the solar chariot. But Phaethon insists, until the sun god relents. After rising proudly in the sky, Phaethon indeed loses control of the chariot. The sun veers off course, scorching all vegetation, killing numerous beings and threatening to burn the Earth itself. The gods reassert control of the sky and save the world. Two thousand years later, when the Industrial Revolution was making its first steps and machines began replacing humans in numerous tasks, Johann Wolfgang von Goethe published a similar cautionary tale titled The Sorcerer's Apprentice. Goethe's poem (later popularised as a Walt Disney animation starring Mickey Mouse) tells of an old sorcerer who leaves a young apprentice in charge of his workshop and gives him some chores to tend to while he is gone, such as fetching water from the river. The apprentice decides to make things easier for himself and, using one of the sorcerer's spells, enchants a broom to fetch the water for him.


3200 Phaethon Pictures Show Dark Heart Of 'Potentially Hazardous' Giant Asteroid

International Business Times

An asteroid NASA has called "potentially hazardous" was caught whizzing by Earth shortly before Christmas, showing astronomers the dark void at its heart. The Arecibo Observatory in Puerto Rico used its radio telescope to keep an eye on asteroid 3200 Phaethon during its close approach to the planet, creating radar images that revealed new features of the space rock. According to NASA, the asteroid is roughly shaped like a ball and "has a large concavity, or depression, at least several hundred meters in extent near its equator, and a conspicuous dark, circular feature near one of the poles." Arecibo is in an area that was battered by Hurricane Maria earlier this year, and returned to its asteroid-watching activities this month. Astronomers at the Arecibo radio telescope in Puerto Rico took radar images of the large asteroid Phaethon as it passed close to Earth this month.