merge point
A Data-Informed Analysis of Scalable Supervision for Safety in Autonomous Vehicle Fleets
Hickert, Cameron, Yan, Zhongxia, Wu, Cathy
Autonomous driving is a highly anticipated approach toward eliminating roadway fatalities. At the same time, the bar for safety is both high and costly to verify. This work considers the role of remotely-located human operators supervising a fleet of autonomous vehicles (AVs) for safety. Such a 'scalable supervision' concept was previously proposed to bridge the gap between still-maturing autonomy technology and the pressure to begin commercial offerings of autonomous driving. The present article proposes DISCES, a framework for Data-Informed Safety-Critical Event Simulation, to investigate the practicality of this concept from a dynamic network loading standpoint. With a focus on the safety-critical context of AVs merging into mixed-autonomy traffic, vehicular arrival processes at 1,097 highway merge points are modeled using microscopic traffic reconstruction with historical data from interstates across three California counties. Combined with a queuing theoretic model, these results characterize the dynamic supervision requirements and thereby scalability of the teleoperation approach. Across all scenarios we find reductions in operator requirements greater than 99% as compared to in-vehicle supervisors for the time period analyzed. The work also demonstrates two methods for reducing these empirical supervision requirements: (i) the use of cooperative connected AVs -- which are shown to produce an average 3.67 orders-of-magnitude system reliability improvement across the scenarios studied -- and (ii) aggregation across larger regions.
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A model of communication-enabled traffic interactions
Siebinga, O., Zgonnikov, A., Abbink, D. A.
A major challenge for autonomous vehicles is handling interactive scenarios, such as highway merging, with human-driven vehicles. A better understanding of human interactive behaviour could help address this challenge. Such understanding could be obtained through modelling human behaviour. However, existing modelling approaches predominantly neglect communication between drivers and assume that some drivers in the interaction only respond to others, but do not actively influence them. Here we argue that addressing these two limitations is crucial for accurate modelling of interactions. We propose a new computational framework addressing these limitations. Similar to game-theoretic approaches, we model the interaction in an integral way rather than modelling an isolated driver who only responds to their environment. Contrary to game theory, our framework explicitly incorporates communication and bounded rationality. We demonstrate the model in a simplified merging scenario, illustrating that it generates plausible interactive behaviour (e.g., aggressive and conservative merging). Furthermore, human-like gap-keeping behaviour emerged in a car-following scenario directly from risk perception without the explicit implementation of time or distance gaps in the model's decision-making. These results suggest that our framework is a promising approach to interaction modelling that can support the development of interaction-aware autonomous vehicles.
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Cooperation for Scalable Supervision of Autonomy in Mixed Traffic
Hickert, Cameron, Li, Sirui, Wu, Cathy
Improvements in autonomy offer the potential for positive outcomes in a number of domains, yet guaranteeing their safe deployment is difficult. This work investigates how humans can intelligently supervise agents to achieve some level of safety even when performance guarantees are elusive. The motivating research question is: In safety-critical settings, can we avoid the need to have one human supervise one machine at all times? The paper formalizes this 'scaling supervision' problem, and investigates its application to the safety-critical context of autonomous vehicles (AVs) merging into traffic. It proposes a conservative, reachability-based method to reduce the burden on the AVs' human supervisors, which allows for the establishment of high-confidence upper bounds on the supervision requirements in this setting. Order statistics and traffic simulations with deep reinforcement learning show analytically and numerically that teaming of AVs enables supervision time sublinear in AV adoption. A key takeaway is that, despite present imperfections of AVs, supervision becomes more tractable as AVs are deployed en masse. While this work focuses on AVs, the scalable supervision framework is relevant to a broader array of autonomous control challenges.
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Cooperation-Aware Reinforcement Learning for Merging in Dense Traffic
Bouton, Maxime, Nakhaei, Alireza, Fujimura, Kikuo, Kochenderfer, Mykel J.
Decision making in dense traffic can be challenging for autonomous vehicles. An autonomous system only relying on predefined road priorities and considering other drivers as moving objects will cause the vehicle to freeze and fail the maneuver. Human drivers leverage the cooperation of other drivers to avoid such deadlock situations and convince others to change their behavior. Decision making algorithms must reason about the interaction with other drivers and anticipate a broad range of driver behaviors. In this work, we present a reinforcement learning approach to learn how to interact with drivers with different cooperation levels. We enhanced the performance of traditional reinforcement learning algorithms by maintaining a belief over the level of cooperation of other drivers. We show that our agent successfully learns how to navigate a dense merging scenario with less deadlocks than with online planning methods.
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Interaction-aware Decision Making with Adaptive Strategies under Merging Scenarios
Hu, Yeping, Nakhaei, Alireza, Tomizuka, Masayoshi, Fujimura, Kikuo
In order to drive safely and efficiently under merging scenarios, autonomous vehicles should be aware of their surroundings and make decisions by interacting with other road participants. Moreover, different strategies should be made when the autonomous vehicle is interacting with drivers having different level of cooperativeness. Whether the vehicle is on the merge-lane or main-lane will also influence the driving maneuvers since drivers will behave differently when they have the right-of-way than otherwise. Many traditional methods have been proposed to solve decision making problems under merging scenarios. However, these works either are incapable of modeling complicated interactions or require implementing hand-designed rules which cannot properly handle the uncertainties in real-world scenarios. In this paper, we proposed an interaction-aware decision making with adaptive strategies (IDAS) approach that can let the autonomous vehicle negotiate the road with other drivers by leveraging their cooperativeness under merging scenarios. A single policy is learned under the multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) setting via the curriculum learning strategy, which enables the agent to automatically infer other drivers' various behaviors and make decisions strategically. A masking mechanism is also proposed to prevent the agent from exploring states that violate common sense of human judgment and increase the learning efficiency. An exemplar merging scenario was used to implement and examine the proposed method.
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