The detection of outliers within cryptocurrency limit order books (LOBs) is of paramount importance for comprehending market dynamics, particularly in highly volatile and nascent regulatory environments. This study conducts a comprehensive comparative analysis of robust statistical methods and advanced machine learning techniques for real-time anomaly identification in cryptocurrency LOBs. Within a unified testing environment, named AITA Order Book Signal (AITA-OBS), we evaluate the efficacy of thirteen diverse models to identify which approaches are most suitable for detecting potentially manipulative trading behaviours. An empirical evaluation, conducted via backtesting on a dataset of 26,204 records from a major exchange, demonstrates that the top-performing model, Empirical Covariance (EC), achieves a 6.70% gain, significantly outperforming a standard Buy-and-Hold benchmark. These findings underscore the effectiveness of outlier-driven strategies and provide insights into the trade-offs between model complexity, trade frequency, and performance. This study contributes to the growing corpus of research on cryptocurrency market microstructure by furnishing a rigorous benchmark of anomaly detection models and highlighting their potential for augmenting algorithmic trading and risk management.

Purpose: This study introduces a novel framework for identifying and exploiting predictive lead-lag relationships in financial markets. We propose an integrated approach that combines advanced statistical methodologies with machine learning models to enhance the identification and exploitation of predictive relationships between equities. Methods: We employed a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) to cluster nine prominent stocks based on their mid-range historical volatility profiles over a three-year period. From the resulting clusters, we constructed a multi-stage causal inference pipeline, incorporating the Granger Causality Test (GCT), a customised Peter-Clark Momentary Conditional Independence (PCMCI) test, and Effective Transfer Entropy (ETE) to identify robust, predictive linkages. Subsequently, Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) and a K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN) classifier were utilised to determine the optimal time lag for trade execution. The resulting strategy was rigorously backtested. Results: The proposed volatility-based trading strategy, tested from 8 June 2023 to 12 August 2023, demonstrated substantial efficacy. The portfolio yielded a total return of 15.38%, significantly outperforming the 10.39% return of a comparative Buy-and-Hold strategy. Key performance metrics, including a Sharpe Ratio up to 2.17 and a win rate up to 100% for certain pairs, confirmed the strategy's viability. Conclusion: This research contributes a systematic and robust methodology for identifying profitable trading opportunities derived from volatility-based causal relationships. The findings have significant implications for both academic research in financial modelling and the practical application of algorithmic trading, offering a structured approach to developing resilient, data-driven strategies.

In this study, we investigated the application of bio-inspired optimization algorithms, including Genetic Algorithm, Particle Swarm Optimization, and Whale Optimization Algorithm, for feature selection in chronic disease prediction. The primary goal was to enhance the predictive accuracy of models streamline data dimensionality, and make predictions more interpretable and actionable. The research encompassed a comparative analysis of the three bio-inspired feature selection approaches across diverse chronic diseases, including diabetes, cancer, kidney, and cardiovascular diseases. Performance metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, and f1 score are used to assess the effectiveness of the algorithms in reducing the number of features needed for accurate classification. The results in general demonstrate that the bio-inspired optimization algorithms are effective in reducing the number of features required for accurate classification. However, there have been variations in the performance of the algorithms on different datasets. The study highlights the importance of data pre-processing and cleaning in ensuring the reliability and effectiveness of the analysis. This study contributes to the advancement of predictive analytics in the realm of chronic diseases. The potential impact of this work extends to early intervention, precision medicine, and improved patient outcomes, providing new avenues for the delivery of healthcare services tailored to individual needs. The findings underscore the potential benefits of using bio-inspired optimization algorithms for feature selection in chronic disease prediction, offering valuable insights for improving healthcare outcomes.