lane change
Characterizing Lane-Changing Behavior in Mixed Traffic
Chung, Sungyong, Talebpour, Alireza, Hamdar, Samer H.
Characterizing and understanding lane-changing behavior in the presence of automated vehicles (AVs) is crucial to ensuring safety and efficiency in mixed traffic. Accordingly, this study aims to characterize the interactions between the lane-changing vehicle (active vehicle) and the vehicle directly impacted by the maneuver in the target lane (passive vehicle). Utilizing real-world trajectory data from the Waymo Open Motion Dataset (WOMD), this study explores patterns in lane-changing behavior and provides insight into how these behaviors evolve under different AV market penetration rates (MPRs). In particular, we propose a game-theoretic framework to analyze cooperative and defective behaviors in mixed traffic, applied to the 7,636 observed lane-changing events in the WOMD. First, we utilize k-means clustering to classify vehicles as cooperative or defective, revealing that the proportions of cooperative AVs are higher than those of HDVs in both active and passive roles. Next, we jointly estimate the utilities of active and passive vehicles to model their behaviors using the quantal response equilibrium framework. Empirical payoff tables are then constructed based on these utilities. Using these payoffs, we analyze the presence of social dilemmas and examine the evolution of cooperative behaviors using evolutionary game theory. Our results reveal the presence of social dilemmas in approximately 4% and 11% of lane-changing events for active and passive vehicles, respectively, with most classified as Stag Hunt or Prisoner's Dilemma (Chicken Game rarely observed). Moreover, the Monte Carlo simulation results show that repeated lane-changing interactions consistently lead to increased cooperative behavior over time, regardless of the AV penetration rate.
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- Research Report > New Finding (1.00)
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From Real-World Traffic Data to Relevant Critical Scenarios
Lüttner, Florian, Neis, Nicole, Stadler, Daniel, Moss, Robin, Fehling-Kaschek, Mirjam, Pfriem, Matthias, Stolz, Alexander, Ziehn, Jens
The reliable operation of autonomous vehicles, automated driving functions, and advanced driver assistance systems across a wide range of relevant scenarios is critical for their development and deployment. Identifying a near-complete set of relevant driving scenarios for such functionalities is challenging due to numerous degrees of freedom involved, each affecting the outcomes of the driving scenario differently. Moreover, with increasing technical complexity of new functionalities, the number of potentially relevant, particularly "unknown unsafe" scenarios is increasing. To enhance validation efficiency, it is essential to identify relevant scenarios in advance, starting with simpler domains like highways before moving to more complex environments such as urban traffic. To address this, this paper focuses on analyzing lane change scenarios in highway traffic, which involve multiple degrees of freedom and present numerous safetyrelevant scenarios. We describe the process of data acquisition and processing of real-world data from public highway traffic, followed by the application of criticality measures on trajectory data to evaluate scenarios, as conducted within the AVEAS project (www.aveas.org). By linking the calculated measures to specific lane change driving scenarios and the conditions under which the data was collected, we facilitate the identification of safetyrelevant driving scenarios for various applications. Further, to tackle the extensive range of "unknown unsafe" scenarios, we propose a way to generate relevant scenarios by creating synthetic scenarios based on recorded ones. Consequently, we demonstrate and evaluate a processing chain that enables the identification of safety-relevant scenarios, the development of data-driven methods for extracting these scenarios, and the generation of synthetic critical scenarios via sampling on highways.
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- Transportation > Ground > Road (1.00)
- Automobiles & Trucks (1.00)
Multi-Scenario Highway Lane-Change Intention Prediction: A Physics-Informed AI Framework for Three-Class Classification
Shi, Jiazhao, Lin, Yichen, Hua, Yiheng, Wang, Ziyu, Zhang, Zijian, Zheng, Wenjia, Song, Yun, Lu, Kuan, Lu, Shoufeng
Lane-change maneuvers are a leading cause of highway accidents, underscoring the need for accurate intention prediction to improve the safety and decision-making of autonomous driving systems. While prior studies using machine learning and deep learning methods (e.g., SVM, CNN, LSTM, Transformers) have shown promise, most approaches remain limited by binary classification, lack of scenario diversity, and degraded performance under longer prediction horizons. In this study, we propose a physics-informed AI framework that explicitly integrates vehicle kinematics, interaction feasibility, and traffic-safety metrics (e.g., distance headway, time headway, time-to-collision, closing gap time) into the learning process. lane-change prediction is formulated as a three-class problem that distinguishes left change, right change, and no change, and is evaluated across both straight highway segments (highD) and complex ramp scenarios (exiD). By integrating vehicle kinematics with interaction features, our machine learning models, particularly LightGBM, achieve state-of-the-art accuracy and strong generalization. Results show up to 99.8% accuracy and 93.6% macro F1 on highD, and 96.1% accuracy and 88.7% macro F1 on exiD at a 1-second horizon, outperforming a two-layer stacked LSTM baseline. These findings demonstrate the practical advantages of a physics-informed and feature-rich machine learning framework for real-time lane-change intention prediction in autonomous driving systems.
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Improvement of Collision Avoidance in Cut-In Maneuvers Using Time-to-Collision Metrics
This paper proposes a new strategy for collision avoidance system leveraging Time-to-Collision (TTC) metrics for handling cut-in scenarios, which are particularly challenging for autonomous vehicles (AVs). By integrating a deep learning with TTC calculations, the system predicts potential collisions and determines appropriate evasive actions compared to traditional TTC -based approaches.
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Are LLMs The Way Forward? A Case Study on LLM-Guided Reinforcement Learning for Decentralized Autonomous Driving
Anvar, Timur, Chen, Jeffrey, Wang, Yuyan, Chandra, Rohan
Are LLMs The W ay Forward? Abstract--Autonomous vehicle navigation in complex environments such as dense and fast-moving highways and merging scenarios remains an active area of research. In the past decade, many planning and control approaches have used reinforcement learning (RL) with notable success. However, a key limitation of RL is its reliance on well-specified reward functions, which often fail to capture the full semantic and social complexity of diverse, out-of-distribution situations. As a result, a rapidly growing line of research explores using Large Language Models (LLMs) to replace or supplement RL for direct planning and control, on account of their ability to reason about rich semantic context. However, LLMs present significant drawbacks: they can be unstable in zero-shot safety-critical settings, produce inconsistent outputs, and often depend on expensive API calls with network latency. This motivates our investigation into whether small, locally deployed LLMs ( 14B parameters) can meaningfully support autonomous highway driving through reward shaping rather than direct control. These models are attractive for practical deployment as they can run on a single GPU and avoid external API dependencies. We present a case study comparing RL-only, LLM-only, and hybrid approaches, where LLMs augment RL rewards by scoring state-action transitions during training, while standard RL policies execute at test time.
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Your Ride, Your Rules: Psychology and Cognition Enabled Automated Driving Systems
Despite rapid advances in autonomous driving technology, current autonomous vehicles (AVs) primarily respond to external traffic conditions and treat humans as passive occupants, lacking mechanisms for active adaptation and collaboration. This limitation c onstrains their ability to personalize driving behavior to human expectations and hinders effective navigation of ambiguous traffic scenarios that could benefit from leveraging the occupant's advanced cognitive input, resulting in increased delays and pote ntial safety risks. This inadequacy in the long term undermines occupant trust and hinder s the widespread adoption of AV technologies. This research is motivated to propose PACE - ADS (Psychology and Cognition Enabled Automated Driving Systems): a human - centered autonomy framework that enables AVs to sense, interpret, and respond to both external traffic conditions and internal occupant states. PACE - ADS is built on an agentic workflow where three foundation model agents collaborate: the Driver Age nt interprets the external environment; the Psychologist Agent decodes passive psychological signals ( e.g., facial expressions) and active cognitive inputs (e.g., verbal commands); and the Coordinator Agent synthesizes these inputs to generate high - level driving behavior decisions and parameters that enhance responsiveness in ambiguous scenarios and person alize the ride. PACE - ADS is designed to complement, rather than replace, conventional AV modules. It operates at the low - frequency semantic planning layer while delegating low - level, high - frequency control to the vehicle's native systems.
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An Intention-driven Lane Change Framework Considering Heterogeneous Dynamic Cooperation in Mixed-traffic Environment
Qiu, Xiaoyun, Liu, Haichao, Pan, Yue, Ma, Jun, Zheng, Xinhu
Abstract--In mixed-traffic environments, where autonomous vehicles (A Vs) must interact with diverse human-driven vehicles (HVs), the unpredictability of human intentions and heterogeneous driving behaviors poses significant challenges to safe and efficient lane change maneuvers. Existing methods often oversimplify these interactions by assuming uniform or fixed behavioral patterns. T o address this limitation, we propose an intention-driven lane change framework that integrates driving-style recognition with cooperation-aware decision-making and motion-planning. First, a deep learning-based classifier is developed to identify distinct human driving styles from the NGSIM dataset in real time. Second, we introduce a cooperation score composed of intrinsic and interactive components, which estimates surrounding drivers' intentions and quantifies their willingness to cooperate with the ego vehicle's lane change. Third, a decision-making module is designed by combining behavior cloning (BC) with inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) to determine whether a lane change should be initiated under current conditions. Finally, a coordinated motion-planning architecture is established, integrating IRL-based intention inference with model predictive control (MPC) to generate collision-free and socially compliant trajectories. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed intention-driven BC-IRL model achieves superior performance, reaching 94.2% accuracy and 94.3% F1-score, and outperforming multiple rule-based and learning-based baselines. In particular, it improves lane change recognition by 4-15% in F1-score, highlighting the benefit of modeling inter-driver heterogeneity via intrinsic and interactive cooperation scores.
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What Do Agents Think One Another Want? Level-2 Inverse Games for Inferring Agents' Estimates of Others' Objectives
Khan, Hamzah I., Li, Jingqi, Fridovich-Keil, David
Effectively interpreting strategic interactions among multiple agents requires us to infer each agent's objective from limited information. Existing inverse game-theoretic approaches frame this challenge in terms of a "level-1" inference problem, in which we take the perspective of a third-party observer and assume that individual agents share complete knowledge of one another's objectives. However, this assumption breaks down in decentralized, real-world scenarios like urban driving and bargaining, in which agents may act based on conflicting views of one another's objectives. We demonstrate the necessity of inferring agents' different estimates of each other's objectives through empirical examples, and by theoretically characterizing the prediction error of level-1 inference on fictitious gameplay data from linear-quadratic games. To address this fundamental issue, we propose a framework for level-2 inference to address the question: "What does each agent believe about other agents' objectives?" We prove that the level-2 inference problem is non-convex even in benign settings like linear-quadratic games, and we develop an efficient gradient-based approach for identifying local solutions. Experiments on a synthetic urban driving example show that our approach uncovers nuanced misalignments that level-1 methods miss.
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An Adaptive Transition Framework for Game-Theoretic Based Takeover
Shehmar, Dikshant, Taylor, Matthew E., Hashemi, Ehsan
The transition of control from autonomous systems to human drivers is critical in automated driving systems, particularly due to the out-of-the-loop (OOTL) circumstances that reduce driver readiness and increase reaction times. Existing takeover strategies are based on fixed time-based transitions, which fail to account for real-time driver performance variations. This paper proposes an adaptive transition strategy that dynamically adjusts the control authority based on both the time and tracking ability of the driver trajectory. Shared control is modeled as a cooperative differential game, where control authority is modulated through time-varying objective functions instead of blending control torques directly. To ensure a more natural takeover, a driver-specific state-tracking matrix is introduced, allowing the transition to align with individual control preferences. Multiple transition strategies are evaluated using a cumulative trajectory error metric. Human-in-the-loop control scenarios of the standardized ISO lane change maneuvers demonstrate that adaptive transitions reduce trajectory deviations and driver control effort compared to conventional strategies. Experiments also confirm that continuously adjusting control authority based on real-time deviations enhances vehicle stability while reducing driver effort during takeover.
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A Trajectory Generator for High-Density Traffic and Diverse Agent-Interaction Scenarios
Yang, Ruining, Xu, Yi, Chen, Yixiao, Fu, Yun, Su, Lili
Accurate trajectory prediction is fundamental to autonomous driving, as it underpins safe motion planning and collision avoidance in complex environments. However, existing benchmark datasets suffer from a pronounced long-tail distribution problem, with most samples drawn from low-density scenarios and simple straight-driving behaviors. This underrepresentation of high-density scenarios and safety critical maneuvers such as lane changes, overtaking and turning is an obstacle to model generalization and leads to overly optimistic evaluations. To address these challenges, we propose a novel trajectory generation framework that simultaneously enhances scenarios density and enriches behavioral diversity. Specifically, our approach converts continuous road environments into a structured grid representation that supports fine-grained path planning, explicit conflict detection, and multi-agent coordination. Built upon this representation, we introduce behavior-aware generation mechanisms that combine rule-based decision triggers with Frenet-based trajectory smoothing and dynamic feasibility constraints. This design allows us to synthesize realistic high-density scenarios and rare behaviors with complex interactions that are often missing in real data. Extensive experiments on the large-scale Argoverse 1 and Argoverse 2 datasets demonstrate that our method significantly improves both agent density and behavior diversity, while preserving motion realism and scenario-level safety. Our synthetic data also benefits downstream trajectory prediction models and enhances performance in challenging high-density scenarios.
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