According to Alg. 2, in each exploration, at least one leaf node will be expanded. Moreover, the overall size of the belief tree isO((|A|min(Pδmax,Nmax))D), where Nmax is the maximum sample size given by KLD-Sampling,Pδmax = supb,aPδ(Yb,a), and Yb,a is the set of reachable beliefs after executing actiona at belief b. The tree size is limited sinceNmax is finite. The weights are normalized, i.e., There exist bounded functionsα and α0 such that V (b) = R α(s)b(s)ds, and V (b0) = R α0(s)b0(s)ds. Wecan bound the first and third terms, respectively,byλinlight ofthe assumptions.

Thepartially observableMarkovdecision process (POMDP) provides ageneral framework for modeling an agent's decision process with state uncertainty, and online planning plays a pivotal role in solving it. A belief is a distribution of states representing state uncertainty. Methods forlarge-scale POMDP problems rely on the same idea of sampling both states and observations.

Particle filters (PFs) are often combined with swarm intelligence (SI) algorithms, such as Chicken Swarm Optimization (CSO), for particle rejuvenation. Separately, Kullback--Leibler divergence (KLD) sampling is a common strategy for adaptively sizing the particle set. However, the theoretical interaction between SI-based rejuvenation kernels and KLD-based adaptive sampling is not yet fully understood. This paper investigates this specific interaction. We analyze, under a simplified modeling framework, the effect of the CSO rejuvenation step on the particle set distribution. We propose that the fitness-driven updates inherent in CSO can be approximated as a form of mean-square contraction. This contraction tends to produce a particle distribution that is more concentrated than that of a baseline PF, or in mathematical terms, a distribution that is plausibly more ``peaked'' in a majorization sense. By applying Karamata's inequality to the concave function that governs the expected bin occupancy in KLD-sampling, our analysis suggests a connection: under the stated assumptions, the CSO-enhanced PF (CPF) is expected to require a lower \emph{expected} particle count than the standard PF to satisfy the same statistical error bound. The goal of this study is not to provide a fully general proof, but rather to offer a tractable theoretical framework that helps to interpret the computational efficiency empirically observed when combining these techniques, and to provide a starting point for designing more efficient adaptive filters.

According to Alg. 2, in each exploration, at least one leaf node will be expanded. Thus, we have the conclusion that AdaOPS is guaranteed to terminate. First, we will demonstrate that the value of any belief can be formulated as an integral. This lemma is a concentration inequality of self-normalized importance sampling estimator. The ESS threshold µ for adaptive resampling is set to .

Over the last years, particle filters have been applied with great success to a variety of state estimation problems. We present a statistical approach to increasing the efficiency of particle filters by adapting the size of sample sets on-the-fly. The key idea of the KLD-sampling method is to bound the approximation error introduced by the sample-based representation of the particle filter. The name KLD-sampling is due to the fact that we measure the approximation error by the Kullback-Leibler distance. Our adaptation approach chooses a small number of samples if the density is focused on a small part of the state space, and it chooses a large number of samples if the state uncertainty is high.