inflow
Morning commute in congested urban rail transit system: A macroscopic model for equilibrium distribution of passenger arrivals
Zhang, Jiahua, Wada, Kentaro, Oguchi, Takashi
In many metropolises, the congestion and delay of rail transit have brought about tremendous psychological stress to commuters and considerable economic loss to the society. For example, according to a report by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism of Japan, on an average, train delays (more than 5 min) were observed for 45 railway lines in the Tokyo metropolitan area in 11.7 days of 20 weekdays in a month, and more than half of the short delays (within 10 min) were caused by extended dwell time (MLIT, 2020). Kariyazaki et al (2015) estimated that in Japan, train delays resulted in social cost in excess of 1.8 billion dollars per year. In a high-frequency operated rail transit system, when a train delay occurs because of either an accident or extended dwell time, the subsequent trains are forced to decelerate or stop between stations to maintain a safety clearance, which is a so-called "knock-on delay" on the rail track (Carey and Kwieci nski, 1994). Meanwhile, more passengers are kept waiting on the platform when trains decelerate or stop (because headways of trains are extended), which results in a longer dwell time of trains.
- Asia > Japan > Honshū > Kantō > Tokyo Metropolis Prefecture > Tokyo (0.34)
- Asia > Japan > Honshū > Kantō > Ibaraki Prefecture > Tsukuba (0.04)
- North America > United States > California > San Francisco County > San Francisco (0.04)
Optimizing Energy Production Using Policy Search and Predictive State Representations
Yuri Grinberg, Doina Precup, Michel Gendreau
We consider the challenging practical problem of optimizing the power production of a complex of hydroelectric power plants, which involves control over three continuous action variables, uncertainty in the amount of water inflows and a variety of constraints that need to be satisfied. We propose a policy-search-based approach coupled with predictive modelling to address this problem. This approach has some key advantages compared to other alternatives, such as dynamic programming: the policy representation and search algorithm can conveniently incorporate domain knowledge; the resulting policies are easy to interpret, and the algorithm is naturally parallelizable. Our algorithm obtains a policy which outperforms the solution found by dynamic programming both quantitatively and qualitatively.
- Energy > Power Industry (1.00)
- Energy > Renewable > Hydroelectric (0.72)
CSP-AIT-Net: A contrastive learning-enhanced spatiotemporal graph attention framework for short-term metro OD flow prediction with asynchronous inflow tracking
Accurate origin-destination (OD) passenger flow prediction is crucial for enhancing metro system efficiency, optimizing scheduling, and improving passenger experiences. However, current models often fail to effectively capture the asynchronous departure characteristics of OD flows and underutilize the inflow and outflow data, which limits their prediction accuracy. To address these issues, we propose CSP-AIT-Net, a novel spatiotemporal graph attention framework designed to enhance OD flow prediction by incorporating asynchronous inflow tracking and advanced station semantics representation. Our framework restructures the OD flow prediction paradigm by first predicting outflows and then decomposing OD flows using a spatiotemporal graph attention mechanism. To enhance computational efficiency, we introduce a masking mechanism and propose asynchronous passenger flow graphs that integrate inflow and OD flow with conservation constraints. Furthermore, we employ contrastive learning to extract high-dimensional land use semantics of metro stations, enriching the contextual understanding of passenger mobility patterns. Validation of the Shanghai metro system demonstrates improvement in short-term OD flow prediction accuracy over state-of-the-art methods. This work contributes to enhancing metro operational efficiency, scheduling precision, and overall system safety.
- Asia > China > Shanghai > Shanghai (0.25)
- North America > Trinidad and Tobago > Trinidad > Arima > Arima (0.05)
- Asia > China > Beijing > Beijing (0.04)
- (8 more...)
- Transportation > Passenger (1.00)
- Transportation > Ground > Rail (1.00)
Ensemble-based, large-eddy reconstruction of wind turbine inflow in a near-stationary atmospheric boundary layer through generative artificial intelligence
Rybchuk, Alex, Martínez-Tossas, Luis A., Letizia, Stefano, Hamilton, Nicholas, Scholbrock, Andy, Maric, Emina, Houck, Daniel R., Herges, Thomas G., de Velder, Nathaniel B., Doubrawa, Paula
To validate the second-by-second dynamics of turbines in field experiments, it is necessary to accurately reconstruct the winds going into the turbine. Current time-resolved inflow reconstruction techniques estimate wind behavior in unobserved regions using relatively simple spectral-based models of the atmosphere. Here, we develop a technique for time-resolved inflow reconstruction that is rooted in a large-eddy simulation model of the atmosphere. Our "large-eddy reconstruction" technique blends observations and atmospheric model information through a diffusion model machine learning algorithm, allowing us to generate probabilistic ensembles of reconstructions for a single 10-min observational period. Our generated inflows can be used directly by aeroelastic codes or as inflow boundary conditions in a large-eddy simulation. We verify the second-by-second reconstruction capability of our technique in three synthetic field campaigns, finding positive Pearson correlation coefficient values (0.20>r>0.85) between ground-truth and reconstructed streamwise velocity, as well as smaller positive correlation coefficient values for unobserved fields (spanwise velocity, vertical velocity, and temperature). We validate our technique in three real-world case studies by driving large-eddy simulations with reconstructed inflows and comparing to independent inflow measurements. The reconstructions are visually similar to measurements, follow desired power spectra properties, and track second-by-second behavior (0.25 > r > 0.75).
- North America > United States > Texas > Lubbock County > Lubbock (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.04)
- North America > United States > New Mexico > Bernalillo County > Albuquerque (0.04)
- (2 more...)
- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (1.00)
- Energy > Renewable > Wind (1.00)
Generalized Multi-hop Traffic Pressure for Heterogeneous Traffic Perimeter Control
Li, Xiaocan, Wang, Xiaoyu, Smirnov, Ilia, Sanner, Scott, Abdulhai, Baher
Perimeter control prevents loss of traffic network capacity due to congestion in urban areas. Homogeneous perimeter control allows all access points to a protected region to have the same maximal permitted inflow. However, homogeneous perimeter control performs poorly when the congestion in the protected region is heterogeneous (e.g., imbalanced demand) since the homogeneous perimeter control does not consider location-specific traffic conditions around the perimeter. When the protected region has spatially heterogeneous congestion, it can often make sense to modulate the perimeter inflow rate to be higher near low-density regions and vice versa for high-density regions. To assist with this modulation, we can leverage the concept of 1-hop traffic pressure to measure intersection-level traffic congestion. However, as we show, 1-hop pressure turns out to be too spatially myopic for perimeter control and hence we formulate multi-hop generalizations of pressure that look ``deeper'' inside the perimeter beyond the entry intersection. In addition, we formulate a simple heterogeneous perimeter control methodology that can leverage this novel multi-hop pressure to redistribute the total permitted inflow provided by the homogeneous perimeter controller. Experimental results show that our heterogeneous perimeter control policies leveraging multi-hop pressure significantly outperform homogeneous perimeter control in scenarios where the origin-destination flows are highly imbalanced with high spatial heterogeneity.
- North America > Canada > Ontario > Toronto (0.15)
- Asia > Japan > Honshū > Kantō > Kanagawa Prefecture > Yokohama (0.04)
- Transportation > Ground > Road (1.00)
- Transportation > Infrastructure & Services (0.69)
Optimizing Energy Production Using Policy Search and Predictive State Representations
We consider the challenging practical problem of optimizing the power production of a complex of hydroelectric power plants, which involves control over three continuous action variables, uncertainty in the amount of water inflows and a variety of constraints that need to be satisfied. We propose a policy-search-based approach coupled with predictive modelling to address this problem. This approach has some key advantages compared to other alternatives, such as dynamic programming: the policy representation and search algorithm can conveniently incorporate domain knowledge; the resulting policies are easy to interpret, and the algorithm is naturally parallelizable. Our algorithm obtains a policy which outperforms the solution found by dynamic programming both quantitatively and qualitatively.
- Energy > Power Industry (1.00)
- Energy > Renewable > Hydroelectric (0.72)
Applying Machine Learning Analysis for Software Quality Test
Khan, Al, Mekuria, Remudin Reshid, Isaev, Ruslan
One of the biggest expense in software development is the maintenance. Therefore, it is critical to comprehend what triggers maintenance and if it may be predicted. Numerous research have demonstrated that specific methods of assessing the complexity of created programs may produce useful prediction models to ascertain the possibility of maintenance due to software failures. As a routine it is performed prior to the release, and setting up the models frequently calls for certain, object-oriented software measurements. It is not always the case that software developers have access to these measurements. In this paper, the machine learning is applied on the available data to calculate the cumulative software failure levels. A technique to forecast a software`s residual defectiveness using machine learning can be looked into as a solution to the challenge of predicting residual flaws. Software metrics and defect data were separated out of the static source code repository. Static code is used to create software metrics, and reported bugs in the repository are used to gather defect information. By using a correlation method, metrics that had no connection to the defect data were removed. This makes it possible to analyze all the data without pausing the programming process. Large, sophisticated software`s primary issue is that it is impossible to control everything manually, and the cost of an error can be quite expensive. Developers may miss errors during testing as a consequence, which will raise maintenance costs. Finding a method to accurately forecast software defects is the overall objective.
A Correlation Information-based Spatiotemporal Network for Traffic Flow Forecasting
Zhu, Weiguo, Sun, Yongqi, Yi, Xintong, Wang, Yan
The technology of traffic flow forecasting plays an important role in intelligent transportation systems. Based on graph neural networks and attention mechanisms, most previous works utilize the transformer architecture to discover spatiotemporal dependencies and dynamic relationships. However, they have not considered correlation information among spatiotemporal sequences thoroughly. In this paper, based on the maximal information coefficient, we present two elaborate spatiotemporal representations, spatial correlation information (SCorr) and temporal correlation information (TCorr). Using SCorr, we propose a correlation information-based spatiotemporal network (CorrSTN) that includes a dynamic graph neural network component for integrating correlation information into spatial structure effectively and a multi-head attention component for modeling dynamic temporal dependencies accurately. Utilizing TCorr, we explore the correlation pattern among different periodic data to identify the most relevant data, and then design an efficient data selection scheme to further enhance model performance. The experimental results on the highway traffic flow (PEMS07 and PEMS08) and metro crowd flow (HZME inflow and outflow) datasets demonstrate that CorrSTN outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in terms of predictive performance. In particular, on the HZME (outflow) dataset, our model makes significant improvements compared with the ASTGNN model by 12.7%, 14.4% and 27.4% in the metrics of MAE, RMSE and MAPE, respectively.
- Asia > China > Beijing > Beijing (0.04)
- North America > United States > California (0.04)
- Asia > China > Zhejiang Province > Hangzhou (0.04)
- (3 more...)
- Consumer Products & Services > Travel (0.83)
- Transportation > Ground > Road (0.55)
Learning a Robust Multiagent Driving Policy for Traffic Congestion Reduction
Zhang, Yulin, Macke, William, Cui, Jiaxun, Urieli, Daniel, Stone, Peter
The advent of automated and autonomous vehicles (AVs) creates opportunities to achieve system-level goals using multiple AVs, such as traffic congestion reduction. Past research has shown that multiagent congestion-reducing driving policies can be learned in a variety of simulated scenarios. While initial proofs of concept were in small, closed traffic networks with a centralized controller, recently successful results have been demonstrated in more realistic settings with distributed control policies operating in open road networks where vehicles enter and leave. However, these driving policies were mostly tested under the same conditions they were trained on, and have not been thoroughly tested for robustness to different traffic conditions, which is a critical requirement in real-world scenarios. This paper presents a learned multiagent driving policy that is robust to a variety of open-network traffic conditions, including vehicle flows, the fraction of AVs in traffic, AV placement, and different merging road geometries. A thorough empirical analysis investigates the sensitivity of such a policy to the amount of AVs in both a simple merge network and a more complex road with two merging ramps. It shows that the learned policy achieves significant improvement over simulated human-driven policies even with AV penetration as low as 2%. The same policy is also shown to be capable of reducing traffic congestion in more complex roads with two merging ramps.
- North America > United States > Texas > Travis County > Austin (0.04)
- North America > United States > Texas > Brazos County > College Station (0.04)
- Asia > Middle East > Israel (0.04)
- Asia > Japan (0.04)
- Research Report > New Finding (0.46)
- Research Report > Experimental Study (0.46)
- Consumer Products & Services > Travel (0.59)
- Transportation > Infrastructure & Services (0.48)
- Transportation > Ground > Road (0.48)