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 individual behavior


Decoding the fingerprint of a humpback whale

Popular Science

Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent every weekday. It is in these waters that marine mammal ecologist Ari Friedlaender shuts off the inflatable boat's engine and waits. This is the edge of the world--remote, hostile, and stunningly alive. Beneath the hull, the dark sea churns with wonder abound. A humpback whale (Megaptera novaeangliae) emerges, slow, deliberate, and gentle in its curious demeanor, casting a ripple across the surface.


Model-agnostic Fits for Understanding Information Seeking Patterns in Humans

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In decision making tasks under uncertainty, humans display characteristic biases in seeking, integrating, and acting upon information relevant to the task. Here, we reexamine data from previous carefully designed experiments, collected at scale, that measured and catalogued these biases in aggregate form. We design deep learning models that replicate these biases in aggregate, while also capturing individual variation in behavior. A key finding of our work is that paucity of data collected from each individual subject can be overcome by sampling large numbers of subjects from the population, while still capturing individual differences. In addition, we can predict human behavior with high accuracy without making any assumptions about task goals, reward structure, or individual biases, thus providing a model-agnostic fit to human behavior in the task. Such an approach can sidestep potential limitations in modeler-specified inductive biases, and has implications for computational modeling of human cognitive function in general, and of human-AI interfaces in particular.


An Integrated Modeling Environment to Study the Coevolution of Networks, Individual Behavior, and Epidemics

AI Magazine

We discuss an interaction-based approach to study the coevolution between sociotechnical networks, individual behaviors, and contagion processes on these networks. We use epidemics in human populations as an example of this phenomenon. The methods consist of developing synthetic yet realistic national-scale networks using a first-principles approach. Unlike simple random graph techniques, these methods combine real-world data sources with behavioral and social theories to synthesize detailed social contact (proximity) networks. Individual-based models of within-host disease progression and interhost transmission are then used to model the contagion process.


Cognitive Marketing AI And The Future Of Advertising

#artificialintelligence

Things have changed for marketing over the last 20 years. The idea of the big ad campaign and its hold on the consciousness of the consumer has given way to more nuanced approaches. These have more to do with understanding cognitive intelligence and delivering solutions using artificial intelligence than broad brand concepts. The change has partly happened because of developments in technology. It also has to do with how new demographics such as Gen Z have grown up in a world where smart devices are common, turning them into consumer with a desire for a more tailored experiences.


Technical challenges in machine ethics

#artificialintelligence

Machine ethics offers an alternative solution for artificial intelligence (AI) safety governance. In order to mitigate risks in human-robot interactions, robots will have to comply with humanity's ethical and legal norms, once they've merged into our daily life with highly autonomous capability. In terms of technical challenges, there are still many open questions in machine ethics. For example, what is deontic logic and how can it be used for improving AI safety? How do we fashion the knowledge representation for ethical robots? These are all significant questions for us to investigate. In this interview, we invite Prof. Ronald C. Arkin to share his insights on robot ethics, with a focus on its technical aspects.



Communication-Based Decomposition Mechanisms for Decentralized MDPs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multi-agent planning in stochastic environments can be framed formally as a decentralized Markov decision problem. Many real-life distributed problems that arise in manufacturing, multi-robot coordination and information gathering scenarios can be formalized using this framework. However, finding the optimal solution in the general case is hard, limiting the applicability of recently developed algorithms. This paper provides a practical approach for solving decentralized control problems when communication among the decision makers is possible, but costly. We develop the notion of communication-based mechanism that allows us to decompose a decentralized MDP into multiple single-agent problems. In this framework, referred to as decentralized semi-Markov decision process with direct communication (Dec-SMDP-Com), agents operate separately between communications. We show that finding an optimal mechanism is equivalent to solving optimally a Dec-SMDP-Com. We also provide a heuristic search algorithm that converges on the optimal decomposition. Restricting the decomposition to some specific types of local behaviors reduces significantly the complexity of planning. In particular, we present a polynomial-time algorithm for the case in which individual agents perform goal-oriented behaviors between communications. The paper concludes with an additional tractable algorithm that enables the introduction of human knowledge, thereby reducing the overall problem to finding the best time to communicate. Empirical results show that these approaches provide good approximate solutions.


An Integrated Modeling Environment to Study the Co-evolution of Networks, Individual Behavior and Epidemics

AI Magazine

We discuss an interaction-based approach to study the coevolution between socio-technical networks, individual behaviors, and contagion processes on these networks. Finally, models of individual behaviors are composed with disease progression models to develop a realistic representation of the complex system in which individual behaviors and the social network adapt to the contagion. These methods are embodied within Simdemics – a general purpose modeling environment to support pandemic planning and response. New advances in network science, machine learning, high performance computing, data mining and behavioral modeling were necessary to develop Simdemics.


A multiagent urban traffic simulation. Part II: dealing with the extraordinary

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In Probabilistic Risk Management, risk is characterized by two quantities: the magnitude (or severity) of the adverse consequences that can potentially result from the given activity or action, and by the likelihood of occurrence of the given adverse consequences. But a risk seldom exists in isolation: chain of consequences must be examined, as the outcome of one risk can increase the likelihood of other risks. Systemic theory must complement classic PRM. Indeed these chains are composed of many different elements, all of which may have a critical importance at many different levels. Furthermore, when urban catastrophes are envisioned, space and time constraints are key determinants of the workings and dynamics of these chains of catastrophes: models must include a correct spatial topology of the studied risk. Finally, literature insists on the importance small events can have on the risk on a greater scale: urban risks management models belong to self-organized criticality theory. We chose multiagent systems to incorporate this property in our model: the behavior of an agent can transform the dynamics of important groups of them.


Estimating the Impact of Public and Private Strategies for Controlling an Epidemic: A Multi-Agent Approach

AAAI Conferences

This paper describes a novel approach based on a combination of techniques in AI, parallel computing, and network science to address an important problem in social sciences and public health: planning and responding in the event of epidemics. Spread of infectious disease is an important societal problem -- human behavior, social networks, and the civil infrastructures all play a crucial role in initiating and controlling such epidemic processes.  We specifically consider the economic and social effects of realistic interventions  proposed and adopted by public health officials and behavioral changes  of  private citizens in the event of a ``flu-like'' epidemic. Our results provide new insights for developing robust public policies that can prove useful for epidemic planning.