The Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC) and its joint-independence extension $d\mathrm{HSIC}$ are degenerate $V$-statistics whose data-dependent weighted-$χ^2$ null limits force a permutation calibration that multiplies the per-test cost by the number of permutations, in practice two orders of magnitude. Adapting the recent martingale MMD construction for two-sample testing to the (joint) independence problem, we introduce two studentised statistics whose null distributions are standard normal regardless of the data law, so that a single normal-quantile lookup replaces the permutation step entirely. The first, $m\mathrm{HSIC}$, is a self-normalised lower-triangular sum of the Hadamard product of two empirically centred Gram matrices. Under independence and bounded-fourth-moment kernels it converges to a standard normal. It is consistent against every fixed alternative, and runs at quadratic cost in the sample size without any sample split, matching the biased HSIC $V$-statistic. Our second statistic, $md\mathrm{HSIC}$, achieves finite-sample consistency with a single half-sample split: the centring is estimated on one half and the lower-triangular self-normalised martingale is run on the other, shrinking the conditional-mean residual to a quantity that is exponentially small in $d$, so the statistic is asymptotically standard normal at every fixed number of jointly tested variables, with a per-test cost that grows only linearly in $d$. On synthetic data with per-variable input dimension from $1$ to $500$ and between $2$ and $10$ jointly tested variables, both statistics match the empirical type-I error rate and test power of permutation-calibrated baselines while running $25$ to $60\times$ faster.

Deep learning methods have proved highly effective for classification and image recognition problems. In this paper, we ask whether this success can be transferred to hypothesis testing: if a neural network can distinguish, for example, an image of a handwritten digit from another, can it also distinguish an "image of a sample" (such as a scatter plot) generated under a given statistical model from one generated outside that model? Motivated by this idea, we propose a novel procedure called deep-testing, which approaches the classical inferential problem of hypothesis testing through deep learning. More specifically, the test statistic is a classification map learned by a deep neural network from simulated data satisfying the null and alternative hypotheses, leveraging its strong discriminating power to construct a highly powerful test. As a proof of concept, we apply deep-testing to the problem of independence testing, arguably one of the most important problems in statistics. In a large-scale simulation study, deep-testing achieves the highest overall power against nineteen competing methods across a broad range of complex dependence structures, confirming the viability of the proposed approach.

Communication compression is a common technique in distributed optimization that can alleviate communication overhead by transmitting compressed gradients and model parameters. However, compression can introduce information distortion, which slows down convergence and incurs more communication rounds to achieve desired solutions. Given the trade-off between lower per-round communication costs and additional rounds of communication, it is unclear whether communication compression reduces the total communication cost. This paper explores the conditions under which unbiased compression, a widely used form of compression, can reduce the total communication cost, as well as the extent to which it can do so. To this end, we present the first theoretical formulation for characterizing the total communication cost in distributed optimization with unbiased compressors. We demonstrate that unbiased compression alone does not necessarily save the total communication cost, but this outcome can be achieved if the compressors used by all workers are further assumed independent. We establish lower bounds on the communication rounds required by algorithms using independent unbiased compressors to minimize smooth convex functions and show that these lower bounds are tight by refining the analysis for ADIANA. Our results reveal that using independent unbiased compression can reduce the total communication cost by a factor of up to Θ( p min{n,κ}) when all local smoothness constants are constrained by a common upper bound, where nis the number of workers and κis the condition number of the functions being minimized. These theoretical findings are supported by experimental results.

We consider adversarial multi-armed bandit problems where the learner is allowed to observe losses of a number of arms beside the arm that it actually chose. We study the case where all non-chosen arms reveal their loss with a fixed but unknown probability $r$, independently of each other and the action of the learner. We propose two algorithms that work for different ranges of $r$. We show that after $T$ rounds in a bandit problem with $N$ arms, the expected regret of our first algorithm is $O(\sqrt{(T /r) \log N })$ whenever $r\ge(\log T)/(2N)$, while our second algorithm achieves a regret of $O(\sqrt{(T/r) \log (N+T)})$ for smaller values of $r$. We also give a quick estimation procedure that decides the range of~$r$. All our bounds are within logarithmic factors of the best achievable performance of any algorithm that is even allowed to know~$r$.

Accurate time series forecasting in scientific domains such as climate modeling, physiological monitoring, and energy systems benefits from both competitive predictions and model transparency: practitioners value understanding how a model transforms temporal features, not merely what it predicts. Transformer-based models achieve strong accuracy but their attention weights reveal only token-level relevance, not the functional transformations applied to each feature. This work proposes DECOMPKAN, a lightweight attention-free architecture that combines trend-residual decomposition, channel-wise patching, learned instance normalization, and B-spline Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN) edge functions. Each KAN edge learns an explicit, inspectable 1D scalar function ϕ(x) over learned patch-embedding coordinates that can be directly visualized, offering a form of architectural transparency not directly available in attention-based or MLP-based architectures. On standard benchmarks, DECOMPKAN achieves best or tied-best MSE on 15 of 32 dataset-horizon combinations among selected published baselines, and achieves best or tied-best MSE on 20 of 36 comparisons (25 of 36 MAE; ties counted for all tied models) under a controlled same-recipe evaluation across 9 datasets including the physiological PPG-DaLiA benchmark. The architecture shows particular strength on datasets with smooth temporal dynamics (Solar 17%, ECL 10%vs.